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Tennessee vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-76
38-42 41-34
Position#23
Record23-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game60.8
Tennessee 🏆
USA
vs
Alabama
USA
Position#34
Record23-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tennessee v Alabama
28 Feb 2026
TENN69
ALAB71
01 Mar 2025
TENN79
ALAB76
20 Jan 2024
TENN91
ALAB71
15 Feb 2023
TENN68
ALAB59
02 Jan 2021
TENN63
ALAB71
12 Mar 2020
TENN v ALAB
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A22/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-16
34-40
20-22
31-31
33-30
40-48
24-21
40-23
28-34
57-47
45-25
25-27
26-33
38-42
31-44
50-32
36-32
41-37
26-23
39-36
134.1Avg total
69.8Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.360.8135.1+13.682%
Season at home (18)78.858.6137.4+20.294%
Season away (10)66.264.6130.8+1.660%
Last 10 (10)69.864.3134.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)71.466.2137.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.558.5112.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.167.2137.3+2.956%
vs Weaker (19)78.559.3137.7+19.295%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H22/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H26/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
103-80
103
80
+23
A12/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-31
55-56
40-40
40-33
44-39
44-45
39-28
51-41
40-34
45-47
49-31
54-49
33-42
52-52
46-59
52-51
47-40
49-43
53-27
58-46
177.3Avg total
93.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)91.580.1171.7+11.482%
Season at home (16)90.175.2165.2+14.981%
Season away (12)93.586.8180.2+6.883%
Last 10 (10)93.983.4177.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)98.688.0186.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.786.7167.3-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)91.080.8171.8+10.276%
vs Weaker (10)93.577.9171.4+15.6100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
TennesseeAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A08/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A22/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A26/02
NCAA
58.3Avg total
30.3Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.128.762.8+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.827.863.7+8.074%-
Last 30 away (11)31.030.361.3+0.755%-
Last 10 (10)30.328.058.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.464.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)19.527.547.0-8.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.230.461.7+0.844%-
vs Weaker (19)36.928.165.0+8.979%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H22/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H26/02
NCAA
81.0Avg total
43.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.079.1+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.333.175.4+9.276%-
Last 30 away (13)44.239.883.9+4.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.181.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.885.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.740.776.3-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.336.981.2+7.482%-
vs Weaker (10)43.333.176.4+10.270%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tennessee wins
3
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Alabama v Tennessee74-81
20/01/24Tennessee v Alabama91-71
16/02/23Tennessee v Alabama68-59
30/12/21Alabama v Tennessee73-68
13/03/21Alabama v Tennessee73-68
02/01/21Tennessee v Alabama63-71
05/02/20Alabama v Tennessee68-69
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ALSU65-59
22/02/25ATexas A&M77-69
15/02/25HVanderbilt81-76
12/02/25AKentucky64-75
08/02/25AOklahoma70-52
06/02/25HMissouri85-81
01/02/25HFlorida64-44
29/01/25HKentucky73-78
26/01/25AAuburn51-53
22/01/25HMississippi St.68-56
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HMississippi St.111-73
22/02/25HKentucky96-83
20/02/25AMissouri98-110
15/02/25HAuburn85-94
12/02/25ATexas103-80
09/02/25AArkansas85-81
01/02/25HGeorgia90-69
30/01/25AMississippi St.88-84
26/01/25HLSU80-73
22/01/25HVanderbilt103-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %82%94%60%
Points / game74.378.866.2
Allowed / game60.858.664.6
Point differential+13.6+20.2+1.6
Avg total135.1137.4130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%83%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW82%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %82%81%83%
Points / game91.590.193.5
Allowed / game80.175.286.8
Point differential+11.4+14.9+6.8
Avg total171.7165.2180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2927293%85.468.8+16.7
2 Florida2824486%83.667.1+16.5
3 Tennessee2823582%74.360.8+13.6
4 Alabama2823582%91.580.1+11.4
5 Missouri2821775%84.370.9+13.4
6 Texas A&M2820871%73.966.7+7.2
7 Ole Miss2920969%77.971.0+6.9
8 Mississippi St.2920969%79.173.1+6.0
9 Vanderbilt2819968%79.873.3+6.5
10 Kentucky29191066%85.377.2+8.1
11 Georgia28171161%75.369.2+6.1
12 Arkansas29171259%75.669.9+5.7
13 Oklahoma29171259%78.174.3+3.8
14 Texas28161257%78.470.4+8.0
15 LSU29141548%75.372.5+2.8
16 South Carolina29121741%70.271.2-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee384179
Alabama423476
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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