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Alabama vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 80-73
40-40 40-33
Position#34
Record16-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game78.8
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#255
Record12-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alabama v LSU
05 Jan 2027
ALAB v LSU
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
ALAB80
LSU73
27 Jan 2024
ALAB109
LSU88
14 Jan 2023
ALAB106
LSU66
19 Jan 2022
ALAB70
LSU67
14 Mar 2021
ALAB80
LSU79
03 Feb 2021
ALAB78
LSU60
15 Feb 2020
ALAB88
LSU82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#59
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H15/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
81-54
81
54
+27
H22/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
105-82
105
82
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
107-79
107
79
+28
H04/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A12/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
46-44
35-38
62-52
39-24
42-30
57-33
48-49
48-29
59-50
45-28
43-40
52-44
42-44
36-32
28-42
47-45
55-52
48-31
55-56
171.8Avg total
92.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.978.8169.7+12.184%
Season at home (11)89.073.7162.7+15.382%
Season away (8)93.585.8179.2+7.888%
Last 10 (10)92.479.4171.8+13.090%
Last 5 (5)90.282.8173.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.583.0161.5-4.550%
vs Similar (20)88.784.0172.7+4.765%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)95.880.5176.2+15.2100%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A14/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H18/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
110-45
110
45
+65
H30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-27
38-44
33-27
31-47
47-10
52-43
30-29
56-41
55-13
55-32
27-34
45-46
27-42
40-41
26-28
39-49
34-36
44-38
30-30
27-38
147.3Avg total
77.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.769.6149.3+10.167%
Season at home (13)85.068.2153.2+16.885%
Season away (5)65.873.4139.2-7.620%
Last 10 (10)77.869.5147.3+8.350%
Last 5 (5)67.876.4144.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.080.3151.3-9.318%
vs Similar (11)76.573.4149.9+3.273%
vs Weaker (7)89.462.4151.9+27.0100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
AlabamaLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#59
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H22/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H29/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A09/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H22/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
44.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.779.8+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.534.175.6+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)42.842.585.3+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.433.577.9+10.990%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.081.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (20)42.938.881.7+4.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.434.475.8+7.050%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A14/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
47-10
47
10
+37
H18/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
55-13
55
13
+42
H30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A19/01
NCAA
62.7Avg total
35.1Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.632.365.9+1.337%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.230.965.1+3.440%-
Last 30 away (10)32.235.267.4-3.030%-
Last 10 (10)35.127.662.7+7.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.062.8-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.837.067.8-6.218%-
vs Similar (11)32.332.264.5+0.136%-
vs Weaker (7)40.324.364.6+16.071%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alabama wins
1
LSU wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24LSU v Alabama92-109
28/01/24Alabama v LSU109-88
04/02/23LSU v Alabama69-79
14/01/23Alabama v LSU106-66
05/03/22LSU v Alabama80-77 OT
20/01/22Alabama v LSU70-67
14/03/21Alabama v LSU80-79
04/02/21Alabama v LSU78-60
20/01/21LSU v Alabama75-105
15/02/20Alabama v LSU88-82
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HVanderbilt103-87
18/01/25AKentucky102-97
15/01/25HOle Miss64-74
12/01/25ATexas A&M94-88
09/01/25ASouth Carolina88-68
04/01/25HOklahoma107-79
29/12/24HSouth Dakota St.105-82
22/12/24HKent State81-54
19/12/24ANorth Dakota97-90
15/12/24HCreighton83-75
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ATexas A&M57-68
15/01/25HArkansas78-74
11/01/25AOle Miss65-77
08/01/25AMissouri67-83
04/01/25HVanderbilt72-80
30/12/24HMiss. Valley St.110-45
22/12/24HNew Orleans86-70
18/12/24HStetson99-53
14/12/24ASMU Mustangs64-74
08/12/24HFlorida Gulf Coast80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %84%82%88%
Points / game90.989.093.5
Allowed / game78.873.785.8
Point differential+12.1+15.3+7.8
Avg total169.7162.7179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
LSU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL67%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %67%85%20%
Points / game79.785.065.8
Allowed / game69.668.273.4
Point differential+10.1+16.8-7.6
Avg total149.3153.2139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%54%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1817194%85.766.1+19.6
2 Florida2018290%85.265.4+19.9
3 Tennessee1917289%76.458.6+17.7
4 Alabama1916384%90.978.8+12.1
5 Missouri2016480%83.269.0+14.2
6 Vanderbilt2016480%81.969.6+12.3
7 Mississippi St.2016480%80.769.5+11.2
8 Oklahoma1814478%80.870.9+9.9
9 Ole Miss2015575%77.866.4+11.4
10 Texas A&M2015575%75.365.8+9.6
11 Kentucky1914574%88.176.0+12.1
12 Texas2014670%78.966.3+12.6
13 Georgia2014670%76.366.5+9.9
14 LSU1812667%79.769.6+10.1
15 Arkansas1912763%76.968.3+8.6
16 South Carolina20101050%70.968.8+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama404080
LSU403373
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