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Tennessee vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-75
34-32 28-43
Position#67
Record7-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#35
Record6-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee v Illinois
06 Dec 2025
TENN62
ILLI75
09 Dec 2023
TENN86
ILLI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A30/03
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H08/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H13/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H21/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
15-34
35-35
33-21
43-40
52-31
43-25
47-30
52-36
39-26
52-40
43-21
46-39
56-30
29-30
35-39
41-34
41-34
35-47
30-32
30-30
145.1Avg total
79.7Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.065.0148.0+18.078%
Season at home (7)87.364.3151.6+23.086%
Season away (2)68.067.5135.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.765.4145.1+14.370%
Last 5 (5)77.267.2144.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.868.0134.8-1.250%
vs Similar (12)75.267.4142.7+7.867%
vs Weaker (14)77.365.6142.9+11.679%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#82
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H22/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
113-55
113
55
+58
H04/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
113-70
113
70
+43
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
46-38
32-37
43-47
60-27
53-28
59-27
54-43
45-32
36-45
41-30
43-35
42-41
44-49
54-19
44-39
42-31
45-42
32-43
29-31
160.3Avg total
88.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.470.2160.6+20.175%
Season at home (8)90.470.2160.6+20.175%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.471.9160.3+16.570%
Last 5 (5)83.272.0155.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.396.3163.7-29.00%
vs Similar (11)80.177.0157.1+3.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.873.8162.6+15.075%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +4.0+4.0
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +4.0+4.0
TennesseeIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
15-34
15
34
-19
A30/03
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H08/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H21/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H24/11
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
39.1Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.765.9+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.129.667.6+8.578%-
Last 30 away (12)30.932.463.3-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.129.868.9+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.031.272.2+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.033.259.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (12)35.129.564.6+5.658%-
vs Weaker (14)37.931.068.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#82
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H04/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
59-27
59
27
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H22/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
76.9Avg total
44.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.276.1+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.433.876.1+8.675%-
Last 30 away (10)37.938.276.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.732.276.9+12.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.875.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.349.784.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (11)36.835.972.7+0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.932.176.9+12.888%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee wins
0
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Illinois v Tennessee64-66
09/12/23Tennessee v Illinois86-79
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ASyracuse60-62
27/11/25HKansas76-81
25/11/25AHouston76-73
24/11/25HRutgers85-60
21/11/25HTennessee State89-60
18/11/25HRice91-66
13/11/25HNorth Florida99-66
08/11/25HNorthern Kentucky95-56
04/11/25HMercer76-61
30/03/25AHouston50-69
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HUconn61-74
25/11/25HUTRGV87-73
22/11/25HLIU Sharks98-58
20/11/25HAlabama86-90
15/11/25HColgate84-65
12/11/25HTexas Tech81-77
08/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast113-70
04/11/25HJackson State113-55
23/03/25AKentucky75-84
22/03/25HXavier86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %78%86%50%
Points / game83.087.368.0
Allowed / game65.064.367.5
Point differential+18.0+23.0+0.5
Avg total148.0151.6135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWLWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games88-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game90.490.4-
Allowed / game70.270.2-
Point differential+20.1+20.1-
Avg total160.6160.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%62%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU880100%92.268.4+23.9
2 Vanderbilt990100%96.873.0+23.8
3 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
4 Missouri98189%90.469.0+21.4
5 Tennessee97278%83.065.0+18.0
6 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
7 Arkansas97278%87.671.0+16.6
8 Auburn97278%87.974.4+13.4
9 Oklahoma86275%86.573.6+12.9
10 Alabama86275%94.982.2+12.6
11 Texas96367%88.473.7+14.8
12 South Carolina96367%81.169.7+11.4
13 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
14 Ole Miss85362%77.568.6+8.9
15 Mississippi St.85362%82.478.2+4.1
16 Kentucky95456%83.667.0+16.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan880100%94.666.6+28.0
2 Nebraska880100%84.870.1+14.6
3 Iowa98189%79.962.6+17.3
4 Purdue98189%85.269.1+16.1
5 Michigan State98189%76.661.0+15.6
6 Penn State98189%83.170.0+13.1
7 USC98189%89.078.2+10.8
8 Ohio State87188%88.469.1+19.2
9 Indiana97278%85.466.3+19.1
10 Wisconsin97278%87.973.8+14.1
11 UCLA97278%77.265.0+12.2
12 Illinois86275%90.470.2+20.1
13 Washington96367%82.473.9+8.6
14 Maryland106460%77.178.5-1.4
15 Northwestern95456%81.173.1+8.0
16 Minnesota95456%73.467.9+5.6
17 Rutgers105550%69.972.3-2.4
18 Oregon94544%72.975.4-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee342862
Illinois324375
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