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Kentucky vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 84-75
37-32 47-43
Position#71
Record23-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game77.3
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#100
Record22-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A15/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
37-45
41-40
41-21
40-47
43-49
43-41
40-41
34-49
44-45
50-23
45-41
38-29
53-54
40-38
45-46
38-45
32-54
35-27
41-30
162.3Avg total
82.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.077.3162.3+7.868%
Season at home (21)88.573.2161.7+15.381%
Season away (13)79.583.8163.3-4.446%
Last 10 (10)82.180.2162.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)83.477.4160.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.394.3185.7-3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.081.2161.2-1.350%
vs Weaker (7)91.663.6155.1+28.0100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
67-110
67
110
-43
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H13/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A14/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H22/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
52-53
41-37
24-42
41-47
33-48
37-54
30-56
37-30
44-31
31-30
62-43
40-42
48-38
49-45
57-49
31-57
34-31
40-35
46-38
163.9Avg total
80.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.974.6158.4+9.365%
Season at home (22)85.072.4157.4+12.673%
Season away (12)81.878.5160.3+3.350%
Last 10 (10)80.883.1163.9-2.360%
Last 5 (5)87.681.6169.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.396.3163.7-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.976.1160.0+7.771%
vs Weaker (13)86.269.3155.5+16.969%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +0.1+0.1
KentuckyIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H21/03
NCAA
77.6Avg total
40.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.777.0+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.334.876.1+6.478%-
Last 30 away (12)36.242.178.3-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.677.6+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.472.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.047.087.0-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.539.577.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (7)43.928.772.6+15.1100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H23/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A14/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/03
NCAA
78.0Avg total
37.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.734.173.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.932.473.3+8.572%-
Last 30 away (12)38.036.674.6+1.458%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.278.0-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.880.0-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.349.784.0-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.634.673.3+4.064%-
vs Weaker (13)42.229.872.0+12.385%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HTroy76-57
15/03/25AAlabama70-99
14/03/25HOklahoma85-84
08/03/25AMissouri91-83
05/03/25HLSU95-64
01/03/25HAuburn78-94
27/02/25AOklahoma83-82
22/02/25AAlabama83-96
20/02/25HVanderbilt82-61
16/02/25ATexas78-82
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HXavier86-73
14/03/25AMaryland65-88
13/03/25HIowa106-94
08/03/25HPurdue88-80
02/03/25AMichigan93-73
26/02/25HIowa81-61
23/02/25HDuke67-110
19/02/25AWisconsin74-95
16/02/25HMichigan State65-79
12/02/25HUCLA83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342113
Win %68%81%46%
Points / game85.088.579.5
Allowed / game77.373.283.8
Point differential+7.8+15.3-4.4
Avg total162.3161.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342212
Win %65%73%50%
Points / game83.985.081.8
Allowed / game74.672.478.5
Point differential+9.3+12.6+3.3
Avg total158.4157.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3632489%85.469.4+16.1
2 Auburn3530586%83.869.4+14.3
3 Tennessee3629781%74.662.9+11.7
4 Alabama3426876%91.181.4+9.7
5 Kentucky34231168%85.077.3+7.8
6 Texas A&M34231168%74.668.7+5.9
7 Ole Miss34231168%77.071.5+5.5
8 Missouri34221265%83.673.6+10.0
9 Arkansas35221363%76.671.0+5.6
10 Mississippi St.34211362%79.574.2+5.4
11 Georgia33201361%75.369.9+5.4
12 Vanderbilt33201361%78.974.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma34201459%78.374.6+3.6
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3428682%78.467.1+11.3
2 Maryland3426876%81.666.5+15.2
3 Michigan3627975%78.371.3+7.1
4 Oregon3425974%76.470.4+6.0
5 Wisconsin37271073%80.170.9+9.2
6 Purdue35241169%77.770.6+7.1
7 UCLA34231168%74.265.2+9.0
8 Illinois34221265%83.974.6+9.3
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky374784
Illinois324375
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