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Tennessee vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-64
34-40 48-24
Position#23
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game55.9
vs
Position#76
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tennessee v Middle Tenn. St.
23 Dec 2024
TENN82
MIDD64
19 Mar 2012
TENN64
MIDD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A09/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H14/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
103-68
103
68
+35
H17/11
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H22/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
78-35
78
35
+43
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H04/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
84-36
84
36
+48
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
37-29
40-31
52-26
52-29
51-39
22-21
42-21
47-20
30-42
35-20
43-15
45-35
51-35
38-25
37-37
31-30
35-34
38-15
46-21
136.3Avg total
81.2Scored
55.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.155.9137.0+25.2100%
Season at home (9)83.255.1138.3+28.1100%
Season away (2)71.559.5131.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.255.1136.3+26.1100%
Last 5 (5)79.853.4133.2+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)82.174.7156.8+7.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.359.4137.7+19.086%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H21/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
39-25
30-44
37-44
32-31
43-44
51-33
44-55
37-39
32-41
38-28
38-41
54-26
49-29
30-38
49-44
25-23
50-41
37-30
30-35
152.9Avg total
79.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.870.2151.0+10.775%
Season at home (7)81.766.7148.4+15.086%
Season away (5)79.675.0154.6+4.660%
Last 10 (10)79.473.5152.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)80.067.0147.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.874.5140.3-8.740%
vs Similar (10)73.473.3146.7+0.160%
vs Weaker (5)90.862.6153.4+28.2100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.6+13.61st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +12.5+12.52nd half: +1.2+1.2
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.6+13.61st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +12.5+12.52nd half: +1.2+1.2
TennesseeMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A09/11
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H17/11
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
22-21
22
21
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H23/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H27/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
38-15
38
15
+23
H18/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
38.8Scored
25.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.730.067.6+7.770%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.827.766.5+11.180%-
Last 30 away (10)35.534.570.0+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.825.264.0+13.6100%-
Last 5 (5)37.425.062.4+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)38.635.674.1+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.327.664.9+9.776%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A01/12
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H05/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.667.8+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.430.364.7+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.970.9-3.020%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.070.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.065.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.834.165.9-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)30.734.865.5-4.130%-
vs Weaker (5)48.229.878.0+18.4100%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
19/03/12Tennessee v Middle Tenn. St.64-71
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HWestern Carolina84-36
14/12/24AIllinois66-64
10/12/24HMiami (FL)75-62
04/12/24HSyracuse96-70
27/11/24HUT Martin78-35
23/11/24HBaylor77-62
22/11/24HVirginia64-42
17/11/24HAustin Peay103-68
14/11/24HMontana92-57
09/11/24ALouisville77-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HLipscomb67-65
17/12/24HCalifornia Baptist75-64
07/12/24ABelmont79-82
05/12/24HRhodes Lynx103-55
01/12/24AUAB76-69
24/11/24ABradley69-80
22/11/24ASouth Florida95-88
21/11/24HOhio83-81 OT
16/11/24HMurray State67-88
14/11/24HEvansville80-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.183.271.5
Allowed / game55.955.159.5
Point differential+25.2+28.1+12.0
Avg total137.0138.3131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+91%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game80.881.779.6
Allowed / game70.266.775.0
Point differential+10.7+15.0+4.6
Avg total151.0148.4154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee11110100%81.155.9+25.2
2 Florida12120100%87.665.0+22.6
3 Oklahoma12120100%82.667.6+15.0
4 Auburn1211192%88.465.4+23.0
5 Georgia1211192%82.963.5+19.4
6 Vanderbilt1211192%85.466.9+18.5
7 Ole Miss1211192%81.863.8+18.0
8 Mississippi St.1211192%83.767.6+16.1
9 Texas1210283%85.162.8+22.3
10 Missouri1210283%87.867.8+19.9
11 Kentucky1210283%89.172.8+16.3
12 Arkansas1210283%81.865.8+16.0
13 LSU1210283%82.168.8+13.2
14 Alabama1210283%88.776.8+11.8
15 Texas A&M1210283%74.863.3+11.5
16 South Carolina129375%76.266.2+10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1312192%81.458.2+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1311285%80.567.0+13.5
3 Middle Tenn. St.129375%80.870.2+10.7
4 Western Kentucky129375%82.073.2+8.8
5 UTEP129375%74.166.4+7.7
6 Jacksonville State127558%79.169.7+9.4
7 Kennesaw State127558%78.574.7+3.8
8 Delaware127558%78.274.8+3.3
9 Missouri State127558%75.071.8+3.2
10 New Mexico State126650%73.771.8+1.8
11 Sam Houston St.126650%78.779.3-0.7
12 Florida International125742%73.870.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee344882
Middle Tenn. St.402464
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