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Middle Tenn. St. vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-88
30-44 37-44
Position#76
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game56.7
vs
Position#214
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game60.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Murray State
23 Nov 2025
MIDD90
MURR87
16 Nov 2024
MIDD67
MURR88
21 Dec 2022
MIDD83
MURR67
02 Dec 2020
MIDD78
MURR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A14/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A15/03
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#669
W
97-51
97
51
+46
H04/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A10/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
38-41
34-36
40-36
36-48
28-33
33-30
36-31
37-40
33-44
27-32
43-35
27-46
27-39
51-22
46-29
44-30
35-26
41-38
39-25
142.1Avg total
72.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.356.7142.0+28.7100%
Season at home (2)88.557.0145.5+31.5100%
Season away (1)79.056.0135.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.569.6142.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)76.064.4140.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)64.074.2138.3-10.233%
vs Similar ◀ (5)69.667.6137.2+2.060%
vs Weaker (4)85.054.2139.2+30.8100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
41-43
35-37
47-35
29-48
43-47
29-41
39-31
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
39-41
29-42
145.8Avg total
72.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.560.0150.5+30.550%
Season at home (1)113.037.0150.0+76.0100%
Season away (1)68.083.0151.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)72.972.9145.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)70.870.4141.2+0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.177.7145.8-9.69%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.665.2131.8+1.344%
vs Weaker (2)77.561.0138.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +3.6+3.6
Middle Tenn. St.Murray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#256
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A15/03
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#669
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.465.9-0.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.529.763.2+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)31.737.068.7-5.313%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.771.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.671.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.634.064.6-3.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)30.435.265.6-4.820%-
vs Weaker (4)45.827.873.5+18.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
33.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.767.5+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.631.865.4+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)33.935.969.9-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.371.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.270.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.540.575.1-6.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.829.461.2+2.350%-
vs Weaker (2)35.537.573.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
3
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HEvansville80-63
10/11/24AAbilene Christian79-56
04/11/24HOglethorpe97-51
15/03/24AWestern Kentucky54-85
14/03/24ALouisiana Tech70-67
09/03/24ALouisiana Tech70-84
06/03/24HLiberty69-61
03/03/24ASam Houston St.64-81
25/02/24HWestern Kentucky74-72
22/02/24AJacksonville State68-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24APittsburgh68-83
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
22/02/24ASouthern Illinois68-72
18/02/24ADrake72-95
15/02/24HMissouri State82-72
10/02/24HEvansville73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.388.579.0
Allowed / game56.757.056.0
Point differential+28.7+31.5+23.0
Avg total142.0145.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game90.5113.068.0
Allowed / game60.037.083.0
Point differential+30.5+76.0-15.0
Avg total150.5150.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Middle Tenn. St.330100%85.356.7+28.7
2 Liberty330100%76.757.3+19.3
3 Louisiana Tech330100%81.764.3+17.3
4 New Mexico State330100%83.767.3+16.3
5 Kennesaw State43175%93.268.8+24.5
6 Jacksonville State32167%83.762.7+21.0
7 UTEP32167%80.067.3+12.7
8 Missouri State32167%88.779.7+9.0
9 Delaware32167%72.773.3-0.7
10 Florida International31233%85.070.7+14.3
11 Western Kentucky31233%86.780.3+6.3
12 Sam Houston St.31233%77.785.7-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake220100%79.546.0+33.5
2 Illinois (Chi.)43175%93.266.0+27.2
3 Belmont43175%81.574.0+7.5
4 Bradley32167%82.374.3+8.0
5 Illinois State32167%75.770.0+5.7
6 Murray State21150%90.560.0+30.5
7 Northern Iowa42250%79.070.2+8.8
8 Indiana State42250%80.876.5+4.2
9 Valparaiso31233%80.368.0+12.3
10 Southern Illinois31233%81.379.7+1.7
11 Evansville41325%75.875.2+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.303767
Murray State444488
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