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Middle Tenn. St. vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-81 (OT)
32-31 43-44 8-6
Position#76
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#205
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game85.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A14/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A15/03
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#669
W
97-51
97
51
+46
H04/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A10/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
40-36
36-48
28-33
33-30
36-31
37-40
33-44
27-32
43-35
27-46
27-39
51-22
46-29
44-30
35-26
41-38
39-25
30-44
37-44
143.2Avg total
72.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.864.5145.2+16.275%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.067%
Season away (1)79.056.0135.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.470.8143.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)75.468.6144.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)63.974.0137.8-10.135%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.271.0140.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (4)85.054.2139.2+30.8100%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A09/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H14/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A15/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A05/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
45-32
28-28
38-31
40-33
38-33
26-27
46-32
35-22
47-33
26-16
36-49
26-41
52-47
42-34
40-42
37-40
38-45
38-43
32-51
145.3Avg total
73.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.285.8162.0-9.525%
Season at home (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)74.389.0163.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)73.971.4145.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)73.481.6155.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.176.0148.1-3.933%
vs Weaker (18)79.167.7146.8+11.467%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.7+1.7
Middle Tenn. St.Ohio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A15/03
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#669
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H16/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
36.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.333.565.8-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.230.663.9+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)31.236.868.0-5.614%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.672.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.074.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.233.763.9-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)30.336.767.0-6.317%-
vs Weaker (4)45.827.873.5+18.0100%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H14/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A15/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A05/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
32.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.768.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.130.667.7+6.560%-
Last 30 away (15)33.934.768.6-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)32.731.964.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.868.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.334.867.1-2.433%-
vs Weaker (18)37.631.368.9+6.361%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
2
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Ohio v Middle Tenn. St.80-68
25/11/19Ohio v Middle Tenn. St.75-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HMurray State67-88
14/11/24HEvansville80-63
10/11/24AAbilene Christian79-56
04/11/24HOglethorpe97-51
15/03/24AWestern Kentucky54-85
14/03/24ALouisiana Tech70-67
09/03/24ALouisiana Tech70-84
06/03/24HLiberty69-61
03/03/24ASam Houston St.64-81
25/02/24HWestern Kentucky74-72
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AMemphis70-94
13/11/24AIllinois State75-85
10/11/24HUNC Asheville82-76
05/11/24AJames Madison78-88
15/03/24AAkron62-65
14/03/24HWestern Michigan82-55
09/03/24AMiami (Ohio)72-59
06/03/24ABuffalo78-66
01/03/24HBowling Green66-59
28/02/24HAkron74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game80.881.379.0
Allowed / game64.567.356.0
Point differential+16.2+14.0+23.0
Avg total145.2148.7135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game76.282.074.3
Allowed / game85.876.089.0
Point differential-9.5+6.0-14.7
Avg total162.0158.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech440100%87.565.0+22.5
2 Kennesaw State54180%91.470.6+20.8
3 Liberty54180%74.459.2+15.2
4 Jacksonville State43175%80.560.2+20.2
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.864.5+16.2
6 UTEP43175%79.869.5+10.2
7 Missouri State43175%86.076.8+9.2
8 New Mexico State43175%76.069.0+7.0
9 Western Kentucky53260%81.072.8+8.2
10 Delaware42250%75.576.2-0.8
11 Sam Houston St.42250%79.582.2-2.8
12 Florida International41325%81.271.8+9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo43175%83.077.0+6.0
2 Kent State32167%74.766.0+8.7
3 Central Michigan53260%72.866.8+6.0
4 Eastern Michigan42250%66.066.0+0.0
5 Miami (Ohio)42250%75.077.0-2.0
6 Bowling Green52340%81.673.0+8.6
7 Northern Illinois52340%71.466.8+4.6
8 Buffalo52340%75.682.2-6.6
9 Western Michigan62433%72.569.8+2.7
10 Akron31233%77.074.7+2.3
11 UMass41325%77.275.0+2.2
12 Ohio41325%76.285.8-9.5
13 Ball State51420%73.074.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Middle Tenn. St.3243883
Ohio3144681
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