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Tennessee vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-71
0-0 40-28 0-0 29-43
Position#67
Record20-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game69.1
Tennessee
USA
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#48
Record21-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game83.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee v Alabama
28 Feb 2026
TENN69
ALAB71
01 Mar 2025
TENN79
ALAB76
20 Jan 2024
TENN91
ALAB71
15 Feb 2023
TENN68
ALAB59
02 Jan 2021
TENN63
ALAB71
12 Mar 2020
TENN v ALAB
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A12/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H19/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-39
0-0
43-34
0-0
28-34
0-0
46-40
0-0
41-31
0-0
36-38
0-0
26-25
0-0
58-41
0-0
47-33
0-0
24-41
0-0
39-28
0-0
34-36
0-0
35-29
0-0
38-34
0-0
45-36
0-0
44-30
0-0
31-35
0-0
38-30
0-0
29-26
0-0
40-47
146.8Avg total
77.0Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.569.1149.6+11.371%
Season at home (18)84.966.1151.0+18.883%
Season away (10)72.574.6147.1-2.150%
Last 10 (10)77.069.8146.8+7.280%
Last 5 (5)74.666.2140.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.877.0140.8-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.171.1152.2+9.973%
vs Weaker (11)82.763.2145.9+19.582%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
117-115 OT
117
115
+2
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-36
0-0
34-43
0-0
42-29
0-0
48-35
0-0
36-46
0-0
41-54
0-0
46-46
0-0
54-51
0-0
37-41
0-0
59-51
0-0
32-30
0-0
61-44
0-0
45-32
0-0
44-43
0-0
47-57
0-0
48-38
0-0
43-40
0-0
47-43
0-0
63-33
0-0
37-42
177.9Avg total
92.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)92.983.6176.5+9.375%
Season at home (19)93.881.6175.4+12.274%
Season away (9)91.087.8178.8+3.278%
Last 10 (10)92.585.4177.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)97.884.4182.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.492.4170.8-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.688.6183.2+5.971%
vs Weaker (11)96.673.6170.3+23.0100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
TennesseeAlabama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A12/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H14/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A25/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
35.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.930.768.6+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.228.669.7+12.695%-
Last 30 away (11)32.234.466.5-2.227%-
Last 10 (10)35.731.667.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.866.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.036.564.5-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.331.670.9+7.767%-
vs Weaker (11)39.527.466.9+12.291%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H26/02
NCAA
82.0Avg total
43.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.782.6+7.263%-
Last 30 at home (20)47.836.183.9+11.775%-
Last 30 away (10)39.141.080.1-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.082.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.484.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.443.683.0-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.340.186.4+6.257%-
vs Weaker (11)45.632.177.7+13.591%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tennessee wins
3
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Alabama v Tennessee73-79
01/03/25Tennessee v Alabama79-76
03/03/24Alabama v Tennessee74-81
20/01/24Tennessee v Alabama91-71
16/02/23Tennessee v Alabama68-59
30/12/21Alabama v Tennessee73-68
13/03/21Alabama v Tennessee73-68
02/01/21Tennessee v Alabama63-71
05/02/20Alabama v Tennessee68-69
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AMissouri69-73
21/02/26AVanderbilt69-65
19/02/26HOklahoma89-66
14/02/26HLSU73-63
12/02/26AMississippi St.73-64
08/02/26AKentucky71-74
04/02/26HOle Miss84-66
01/02/26HAuburn77-69
29/01/26AGeorgia86-85 OT
25/01/26AAlabama79-73
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HMississippi St.100-75
21/02/26ALSU90-83
19/02/26HArkansas117-115 OT
15/02/26HSouth Carolina89-75
12/02/26AOle Miss93-74
07/02/26AAuburn96-92
05/02/26HTexas A&M100-97
01/02/26AFlorida77-100
28/01/26HMissouri90-64
25/01/26HTennessee73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %71%83%50%
Points / game80.584.972.5
Allowed / game69.166.174.6
Point differential+11.3+18.8-2.1
Avg total149.6151.0147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%72%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %7%6%10%
Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %75%74%78%
Points / game92.993.891.0
Allowed / game83.681.687.8
Point differential+9.3+12.2+3.2
Avg total176.5175.4178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida2822679%86.371.2+15.1
2 Vanderbilt2922776%86.974.5+12.4
3 Arkansas2821775%90.278.5+11.7
4 Alabama2821775%92.983.6+9.3
5 Tennessee2820871%80.569.1+11.3
6 Georgia2920969%89.778.4+11.3
7 Missouri2920969%80.374.7+5.7
8 Texas A&M29191066%88.178.9+9.2
9 Kentucky29191066%81.272.6+8.7
10 Texas29181162%84.375.5+8.8
11 LSU28151354%81.977.1+4.7
12 Auburn28151354%83.579.7+3.8
13 Oklahoma28141450%82.678.1+4.6
14 Mississippi St.29141548%78.279.8-1.5
15 South Carolina29121741%75.976.6-0.7
16 Ole Miss28111739%75.175.8-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tennessee04002969
Alabama02804371
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