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Tennessee vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 65-46
39-25 26-21
Position#33
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game67.3
Tennessee 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#42
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A30/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H13/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
37-35
36-31
46-30
30-25
43-31
31-30
36-41
35-35
25-34
39-61
53-39
39-26
48-40
34-36
52-43
49-21
25-35
34-31
45-39
147.8Avg total
78.0Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.267.3145.5+10.973%
Season at home (6)81.362.3143.7+19.0100%
Season away (5)74.473.2147.6+1.240%
Last 10 (10)78.069.8147.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)83.674.2157.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.073.7148.7+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)70.561.0131.5+9.567%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
38-27
49-32
44-20
33-46
30-40
37-35
29-24
29-24
30-16
34-34
34-32
37-40
40-35
48-33
44-23
45-26
40-21
40-31
22-34
135.8Avg total
74.7Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.562.8135.3+9.673%
Season at home (6)78.055.8133.8+22.283%
Season away (5)65.871.2137.0-5.460%
Last 10 (10)74.761.1135.8+13.680%
Last 5 (5)76.861.8138.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.764.7129.3+0.033%
vs Similar (16)66.471.4137.8-5.044%
vs Weaker (8)72.950.5123.4+22.4100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +7.9+7.9
TennesseeTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#117
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A30/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H13/12
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
37.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.328.862.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.526.260.7+8.482%-
Last 30 away (13)31.732.364.0-0.654%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.170.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.074.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.334.367.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)33.327.560.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/12
NCAA
73.5Avg total
39.6Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.031.066.0+4.062%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.028.666.6+9.481%-
Last 30 away (13)31.334.165.4-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.633.973.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.873.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.729.359.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (16)33.132.165.2+1.156%-
vs Weaker (7)38.029.667.6+8.471%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tennessee wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HNC State79-70
13/12/23HGeorgia Southern74-56
09/12/23HIllinois86-79
05/12/23HGeorge Mason87-66
30/11/23ANorth Carolina92-100
22/11/23AKansas60-69
22/11/23APurdue67-71
20/11/23ASyracuse73-56
14/11/23HWofford82-61
11/11/23AWisconsin80-70
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HJacksonville State62-65
13/12/23HSterling College85-47
06/12/23HHardin Simmons92-56
02/12/23HUTRGV77-75
30/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-66
22/11/23HCSU Bakersfield59-40
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59
15/11/23ABradley63-86
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%100%40%
Points / game78.281.374.4
Allowed / game67.362.373.2
Point differential+10.9+19.0+1.2
Avg total145.5143.7147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game72.578.065.8
Allowed / game62.855.871.2
Point differential+9.6+22.2-5.4
Avg total135.3133.8137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss11110100%74.766.5+8.3
2 Oklahoma1110191%83.063.1+19.9
3 South Carolina1110191%74.365.0+9.3
4 Kentucky119282%90.673.7+16.9
5 Mississippi St.119282%76.063.0+13.0
6 Auburn108280%83.267.1+16.1
7 Texas108280%80.768.2+12.5
8 Tennessee118373%78.267.3+10.9
9 Florida118373%84.575.4+9.1
10 Georgia118373%73.569.9+3.6
11 Texas A&M117464%75.669.1+6.5
12 Missouri117464%75.570.1+5.4
13 Arkansas117464%80.175.5+4.6
14 Alabama116555%90.578.5+12.0
15 LSU116555%74.170.5+3.5
16 Vanderbilt114736%67.872.1-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton118373%72.562.8+9.6
2 California Baptist117464%70.465.8+4.5
3 UT Arlington116555%75.072.2+2.8
4 Utah Valley State126650%68.168.2-0.2
5 Abilene Christian115645%76.074.5+1.5
6 Utah Tech115645%69.273.0-3.8
7 Southern Utah113827%77.378.5-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee392665
Tarleton252146
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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