The Tennessee Volunteers face the Wofford Terriers on 3 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Tennessee the clear favourite, giving it an 88% chance of winning versus Wofford's 12%; the projection shows a 81-68 scoreline and a total of 148.9 points, comfortably below the 154.0 over line that carries a 37% over probability. Tennessee's recent form is solid, with a 3-2 record over its last five games, including a 76-62 win over Iowa State, a 79-72 victory over Virginia and a 62-95 loss to Michigan, while Wofford has struggled, going 2-3 in its last five with a 72-69 win over East Tennessee State but losses to NC Greensboro and Citadel. Historically Tennessee has dominated the two meetings, winning both games, the last being a 77-62 triumph on 20 March 2025, and the model's overtime probability sits at 3%. The projected spread of 81-68 gives Tennessee a comfortable margin, and the 88% win probability reflects the Volunteers' superior recent performance and head-to-head advantage, leaving Wofford to fight for a narrow defeat.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tennessee winWon
88.3%fair 1.13
Best odds1.01
Implied94.1%
Edge-5.8pp
Wofford winLost
11.7%fair 8.52
Best odds26.00
Implied5.9%
Edge+5.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Wofford total 64 · main lineActual: Wofford under 64
Over 64
64.2%
@ 1.85+13.9pp
Under 64
35.8%
@ 1.87-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Wofford total 68Actual: Wofford under 68
Over 68
48.0%
Under 68
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Tennessee -30Actual: Tennessee -30
TENN -30
no forecast
@ 2.65
WOFF +30
no forecast
@ 1.43
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Bet365
2.65
WOFF
Bet365
1.43
Spread Tennessee -27 · main lineActual: Tennessee -27
TENN -27
no forecast
@ 2.10
WOFF +27
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Bet365
2.10
Marathon Be
1.98
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
WOFF
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.74
Bet365
1.66
Spread Tennessee -24Actual: Tennessee -24
TENN -24
17.2%
@ 1.74-36.3pp
WOFF +24
82.8%
@ 2.00+36.3pp
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Marathon Be
1.74
Bet365
1.71
WOFF
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.98
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TennesseeWofford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TETennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Wofford +20.5
73.1%
2.70
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.60
-
-
-
+38.8pp
Lost
Wofford +21
75.2%
2.55
Bet365
2.55
-
-
-
-
+38.7pp
Lost
Wofford +21.5
75.9%
2.48
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
+38.6pp
Lost
Wofford +20
72.3%
2.75
Bet365
2.75
-
-
-
-
+38.6pp
Lost
Wofford +19.5
70.2%
2.90
Betano
3.00
Bet365
2.80
-
-
-
+38.3pp
Lost
Wofford +22.5
78.5%
2.30
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.20
-
-
-
+38.2pp
Lost
Wofford +23.5
80.9%
2.13
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Wofford +22
77.9%
2.30
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Wofford +23
80.5%
2.15
Bet365
2.15
-
-
-
-
+37.5pp
Lost
Wofford +24
82.8%
1.99
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.98
-
-
-
+36.3pp
Lost
Wofford +25
84.9%
1.88
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.86
-
-
-
+35.6pp
Lost
Wofford +24.5
83.2%
1.94
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
SBO
1.92
+34.6pp
Lost
Tennessee under 91
84.6%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
+34.6pp
Won
Tennessee under 87.5
73.6%
2.39
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.30
-
-
+34.5pp
Lost
Tennessee under 88.5
76.8%
2.12
Betano
2.12
-
-
-
-
+34.2pp
Lost
Tennessee under 86.5
70.2%
2.50
Betano
2.50
-
-
-
-
+34.0pp
Lost
Tennessee under 90.5
82.5%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
+33.9pp
Won
Tennessee under 89.5
79.8%
2.02
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.00
-
-
-
+33.4pp
Lost
Tennessee under 91.5
84.9%
1.82
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
+33.4pp
Won
Tennessee under 90
82.0%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+32.3pp
Push
Wofford over 61.5
72.6%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+15.9pp
Lost
Under 158
71.9%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+15.5pp
Won
Under 157.5
70.4%
1.67
WilliamHill
1.73
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.67
Betano
1.60
-
+15.5pp
Won
Under 159
74.0%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+15.1pp
Won
Under 161
77.8%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Under 158.5
72.5%
1.56
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
Under 160
75.9%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Won
Under 159.5
74.5%
1.50
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Under 164
82.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Under 162
79.6%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Won
Under 160.5
76.4%
1.44
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Under 162.5
80.0%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Under 161.5
78.2%
1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Under 163
81.3%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Wofford over 60.5
75.8%
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Lost
Under 164.5
83.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Under 163.5
81.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Wofford over 58.5
81.6%
1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.22
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
Under 166.5
86.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Won
Wofford over 59.5
78.8%
1.33
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Lost
Under 165.5
84.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+9.4pp
Won
Wofford over 55.5
88.5%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Under 171.5
91.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Under 170.5
90.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Under 176.5
95.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Under 175.5
94.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Under 169.5
89.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Wofford over 56.5
86.4%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 174.5
94.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Tennessee (regulation)
86.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Wofford under 80.5
89.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.3pp
Won
Over 129.5
88.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Wofford under 78.5
85.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
Over 130.5
87.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Won
Tennessee win
88.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
85.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.5pp
Won
Tennessee over 70.5
86.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Wofford under 76.5
81.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.4pp
Won
Over 134.5
81.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.5pp
Won
Tennessee over 71.5
83.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.0pp
Won
Wofford under 74.5
75.4%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-9.5pp
Won
Over 135.5
79.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-10.2pp
Won
Over 136.5
77.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-11.8pp
Won
Wofford under 73.5
72.2%
1.11
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-11.8pp
Won
Tennessee over 73.5
78.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-12.8pp
Won
Over 139.5
71.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-13.4pp
Won
Tennessee -4.5
79.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-14.0pp
Won
Tennessee over 75.5
72.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-17.4pp
Won
Tennessee -6.5
74.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-18.8pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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