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Teuta Durres vs Pogradeci Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 94-88
23-18 26-22 22-16 23-32
Position#6
Record12-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game80.9
Teuta Durres 🏆
Albania
vs
Pogradeci
Albania
Position#11
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game103.7
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati I Sportit Ramazan Njala
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Teuta Durres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Teuta DurresAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDurres
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
53avg 73
A15/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 73
H21/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
57avg 73
A10/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
111-87
111
87
+24
no box
H17/01
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
109-70
109
70
+39
106avg 73
H24/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
51avg 73
A31/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
84avg 73
H07/02
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
96-108
96
108
-12
86avg 73
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A18/02
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 73
H08/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-34
16-27
27-22
15-23
25-24
25-23
21-24
14-10
12-25
19-18
21-27
21-18
34-18
16-25
34-17
27-27
21-19
32-11
32-20
24-20
13-16
21-23
18-19
14-22
31-11
21-15
22-15
24-24
24-22
23-31
20-25
29-30
29-19
22-22
20-20
17-22
15-10
27-12
27-24
24-28
172.9Avg total
88.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.780.9166.6+4.767%
Season at home (8)89.979.5169.4+10.475%
Season away (10)82.382.1164.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)88.784.2172.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)88.282.0170.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.798.8176.5-21.129%
vs Similar (8)81.974.1156.0+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.669.4161.0+22.2100%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPogradeci
Date
Competition
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 66
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
67-100
67
100
-33
48avg 66
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 66
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
73-124
73
124
-51
57avg 66
A11/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
113-111 OT
113
111
+2
no box
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
77-116
77
116
-39
62avg 66
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
90avg 66
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
79-145
79
145
-66
64avg 66
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
86-105
86
105
-19
86avg 66
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
72-98
72
98
-26
69avg 66
H07/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-7
25-23
20-17
24-27
18-18
21-22
10-27
18-33
15-16
21-20
18-29
18-21
18-40
21-22
13-27
21-35
28-18
17-22
36-33
24-32
22-27
21-26
19-32
15-31
20-24
13-20
25-33
34-25
13-43
21-37
20-37
25-28
15-28
27-25
21-29
23-23
10-28
13-25
18-24
31-21
188.5Avg total
82.4Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.7103.7181.4-26.012%
Season at home (7)80.1107.7187.9-27.614%
Season away (10)76.0100.9176.9-24.910%
Last 10 (10)82.4106.1188.5-23.720%
Last 5 (5)81.2113.2194.4-32.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.3107.2182.5-31.90%
vs Similar (2)88.5104.5193.0-16.050%
vs Weaker (2)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
This opponent (Teuta Durres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
Teuta DurresPogradeci
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Teuta DurresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
26-61
26
61
-35
A15/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A10/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/01
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H24/01
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A31/01
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H07/02
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A18/02
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H08/03
Superliga
84.1Avg total
43.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.482.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.637.080.6+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.383.7-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.584.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.281.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.247.185.4-8.929%-
vs Similar (8)44.238.082.2+6.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.930.976.8+15.088%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A06/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/01
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-80
34
80
-46
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
23-53
23
53
-30
H07/03
Superliga
87.4Avg total
38.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)35.749.985.6-14.212%-
Last 30 at home (7)32.954.687.4-21.714%-
Last 30 away (10)37.746.784.4-9.010%-
Last 10 (10)38.349.187.4-10.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.056.691.6-21.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.853.788.5-18.90%-
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.533.075.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Teuta Durres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Teuta Durrestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Teuta Durres: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.8
60.3%
56.4%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.3
31.1%
34.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.112.0
62.8%
67.8%12.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.5
59.1%
56.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.2
31.7%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws10.36.3
61.2%
67.8%6.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Teuta Durres
WWLWLWWLWL
Pogradeci
LLLLLWLLLW
#6
League position
#11
+6.6
Net rating
-30.4
111.2
Offensive rating
95.3
104.6
Defensive rating
125.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
62.7%
9.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.15
31.1%
3-point %
31.7%
52.6%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 95.3Defence104.6 · 125.7Shooting54.4% · 54.1%3-point %31.1% · 31.7%Ball care9.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds21.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Teuta Durres   ■ Pogradeci
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Teuta Durres wins
0
Pogradeci wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Pogradeci v Teuta Durres84-90
Teuta Durreslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HElbasani93-74
18/02/26AVllaznia88-83
15/02/26ATirana96-108
07/02/26HPartizani Tirana98-65
31/01/26AApolonia Fier66-80
24/01/26HPBC Flamurtari109-70
17/01/26HKamza Basket111-87
10/01/26AVllaznia73-88
21/12/25HSkenderbeu85-81
15/12/25ABeselidhja68-106
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HVllaznia72-98
15/02/26ASkenderbeu86-105
06/02/26HBeselidhja79-145
31/01/26AFieri92-102
24/01/26AKamza Basket77-116
17/01/26HElbasani113-111 OT
11/01/26ATirana73-124
18/12/25APartizani Tirana72-86
14/12/25AApolonia Fier67-100
06/12/25APBC Flamurtari93-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Teuta Durres
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game85.789.982.3
Allowed / game80.979.582.1
Point differential+4.7+10.4+0.2
Avg total166.6169.4164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %12%14%10%
Points / game77.780.176.0
Allowed / game103.7107.7100.9
Point differential-26.0-27.6-24.9
Avg total181.4187.9176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja18180100%116.367.9+48.4
2 Tirana1714382%99.978.4+21.5
3 Vllaznia1814478%87.373.2+14.2
4 Apolonia Fier1812667%89.672.8+16.8
5 Teuta Durres1812667%85.780.9+4.7
6 Kamza Basket1811761%90.478.4+12.0
7 Skenderbeu1710759%87.680.6+7.0
8 Elbasani1951426%83.4104.9-21.6
9 Fieri1841422%76.293.7-17.5
10 Partizani Tirana1931616%64.692.2-27.6
11 Pogradeci1721512%77.7103.7-26.0
12 PBC Flamurtari1721512%66.096.8-30.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Teuta Durres2326222394
Pogradeci1822163288
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