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Texas A&M vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 96-85
0-0 45-33 0-0 51-52
Position#82
Record19-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#107
Record19-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas A&M v Kentucky
03 Mar 2026
TEXA96
KENT85
13 Jan 2024
TEXA97
KENT92
19 Jan 2022
TEXA58
KENT64
25 Feb 2020
TEXA60
KENT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas A&M winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H24/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
97-100
97
100
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-25
0-0
46-44
0-0
51-41
0-0
41-36
0-0
46-46
0-0
51-54
0-0
19-30
0-0
48-56
0-0
46-41
0-0
39-45
0-0
32-36
0-0
37-46
0-0
33-38
0-0
47-39
0-0
43-41
0-0
32-30
0-0
28-37
0-0
56-62
0-0
30-29
0-0
40-47
163.4Avg total
81.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.178.9166.9+9.266%
Season at home (17)92.576.5169.0+15.976%
Season away (12)81.882.2164.0-0.350%
Last 10 (10)81.182.3163.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)75.681.0156.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.584.3165.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (16)94.174.8168.9+19.488%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-23
0-0
43-40
0-0
23-43
0-0
32-37
0-0
42-35
0-0
43-42
0-0
43-32
0-0
51-46
0-0
33-47
0-0
41-24
0-0
34-43
0-0
49-49
0-0
34-39
0-0
44-47
0-0
39-35
0-0
35-40
0-0
28-21
0-0
44-42
0-0
46-31
0-0
45-46
154.0Avg total
77.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.272.6153.8+8.766%
Season at home (20)83.569.0152.6+14.575%
Season away (9)76.280.4156.7-4.244%
Last 10 (10)77.876.2154.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)79.678.6158.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.787.0160.7-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.175.1151.3+1.057%
vs Weaker (10)91.360.9152.2+30.4100%
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Texas A&MKentucky
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Texas A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H24/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H28/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
37.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.176.1+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.833.677.3+10.283%-
Last 30 away (12)36.937.374.2-0.442%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.473.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.269.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)19.030.049.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.738.376.0-0.654%-
vs Weaker (16)45.132.877.9+12.481%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.171.3+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.032.570.5+5.555%-
Last 30 away (10)32.740.373.0-7.630%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.970.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.870.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.742.875.5-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.338.371.6-5.021%-
vs Weaker (10)42.526.068.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas A&M wins
4
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Kentucky v Texas A&M81-69
15/03/24Kentucky v Texas A&M87-97
13/01/24Texas A&M v Kentucky97-92 OT
21/01/23Kentucky v Texas A&M76-67
20/01/22Texas A&M v Kentucky58-64
26/02/20Texas A&M v Kentucky60-69
Texas A&Mlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HTexas70-76
26/02/26AArkansas84-99
22/02/26AOklahoma75-71
19/02/26HOle Miss80-77
14/02/26AVanderbilt69-82
12/02/26HMissouri85-86
08/02/26HFlorida67-86
05/02/26AAlabama97-100
31/01/26AGeorgia92-77
24/01/26HSouth Carolina92-69
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HVanderbilt91-77
25/02/26ASouth Carolina72-63
22/02/26AAuburn74-75
18/02/26HGeorgia78-86
14/02/26AFlorida83-92
08/02/26HTennessee74-71
05/02/26HOklahoma94-78
31/01/26AArkansas85-77
28/01/26AVanderbilt55-80
24/01/26HOle Miss72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas A&M
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL66%
HomeWLLWL76%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %66%76%50%
Points / game88.192.581.8
Allowed / game78.976.582.2
Point differential+9.2+15.9-0.3
Avg total166.9169.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW66%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games29209
Win %66%75%44%
Points / game81.283.576.2
Allowed / game72.669.080.4
Point differential+8.7+14.4-4.2
Avg total153.8152.6156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida2923679%87.171.4+15.7
2 Vanderbilt2922776%86.974.5+12.4
3 Alabama3022873%92.083.6+8.4
4 Arkansas2921872%89.879.7+10.1
5 Georgia3021970%90.078.7+11.3
6 Tennessee3021970%80.068.9+11.1
7 Missouri2920969%80.374.7+5.7
8 Texas A&M29191066%88.178.9+9.2
9 Kentucky29191066%81.272.6+8.7
10 Texas29181162%84.375.5+8.8
11 Oklahoma29151452%82.777.7+5.0
12 LSU29151452%81.377.3+4.0
13 Auburn29151452%83.379.9+3.4
14 Mississippi St.29141548%78.279.8-1.5
15 Ole Miss29121741%75.475.9-0.5
16 South Carolina30121840%75.376.7-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Texas A&M04505196
Kentucky03305285
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