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Auburn vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 75-74
0-0 35-39 0-0 40-35
Position#188
Record14-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.5
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Kentucky
USA
Position#107
Record17-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Auburn v Kentucky
21 Feb 2026
AUBU75
KENT74
17 Feb 2024
AUBU59
KENT70
22 Jan 2022
AUBU80
KENT71
16 Jan 2021
AUBU66
KENT59
01 Feb 2020
AUBU75
KENT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#111
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A15/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-38
0-0
40-46
0-0
30-24
0-0
41-43
0-0
28-27
0-0
50-39
0-0
43-28
0-0
33-39
0-0
34-42
0-0
54-40
0-0
31-41
0-0
38-36
0-0
41-37
0-0
51-59
0-0
31-42
0-0
45-42
0-0
32-38
0-0
43-50
0-0
33-49
0-0
52-42
158.6Avg total
78.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.079.5163.5+4.554%
Season at home (16)88.477.0165.4+11.469%
Season away (10)76.983.5160.4-6.630%
Last 10 (10)78.480.2158.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)79.487.2166.6-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.385.2163.6-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.572.7158.2+12.773%
vs Weaker (7)86.774.6161.3+12.186%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-38
0-0
53-36
0-0
31-42
0-0
49-36
0-0
40-40
0-0
45-40
0-0
29-23
0-0
43-40
0-0
23-43
0-0
32-37
0-0
42-35
0-0
43-42
0-0
43-32
0-0
51-46
0-0
33-47
0-0
41-24
0-0
34-43
0-0
49-49
0-0
34-39
0-0
44-47
156.0Avg total
78.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.572.7154.2+8.865%
Season at home (19)83.168.6151.7+14.574%
Season away (7)77.183.7160.9-6.643%
Last 10 (10)78.177.9156.0+0.270%
Last 5 (5)82.880.8163.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.289.0159.2-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.475.5151.9+0.962%
vs Weaker (9)93.460.7154.1+32.8100%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
AuburnKentucky
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#111
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A15/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A24/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A19/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
33.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.873.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.234.073.2+5.270%-
Last 30 away (10)34.439.573.9-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.670.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.841.276.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.231.371.5+8.982%-
vs Weaker (7)36.933.970.7+3.057%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
33.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.771.8+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.432.369.7+5.157%-
Last 30 away (9)33.143.676.7-10.411%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.271.3-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.045.275.2-15.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.637.871.4-4.225%-
vs Weaker (9)44.126.670.7+17.6100%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Auburn wins
4
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Kentucky v Auburn78-94
17/02/24Auburn v Kentucky59-70
25/02/23Kentucky v Auburn86-54
22/01/22Auburn v Kentucky80-71
13/02/21Kentucky v Auburn82-80
16/01/21Auburn v Kentucky66-59
29/02/20Kentucky v Auburn73-66
01/02/20Auburn v Kentucky75-66
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AMississippi St.85-91
15/02/26AArkansas75-88
11/02/26HVanderbilt76-84
07/02/26HAlabama92-96
01/02/26ATennessee69-77
29/01/26HTexas88-82
24/01/26AFlorida76-67
21/01/26AOle Miss78-66
17/01/26HSouth Carolina71-67
15/01/26AMissouri74-84
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HGeorgia78-86
14/02/26AFlorida83-92
08/02/26HTennessee74-71
05/02/26HOklahoma94-78
31/01/26AArkansas85-77
28/01/26AVanderbilt55-80
24/01/26HOle Miss72-63
22/01/26HTexas85-80
17/01/26ATennessee80-78
15/01/26ALSU75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL54%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %54%69%30%
Points / game84.088.476.9
Allowed / game79.577.083.5
Point differential+4.5+11.4-6.6
Avg total163.5165.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %8%6%10%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26197
Win %65%74%43%
Points / game81.583.177.1
Allowed / game72.768.683.7
Point differential+8.8+14.5-6.6
Avg total154.2151.7160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida2721678%86.471.2+15.1
2 Vanderbilt2721678%87.273.7+13.5
3 Tennessee2720774%80.969.0+11.9
4 Arkansas2720774%89.978.3+11.6
5 Alabama2720774%92.683.9+8.7
6 Georgia2719870%90.278.4+11.8
7 Texas A&M2618869%89.478.5+10.9
8 Missouri2718967%80.375.3+5.0
9 Kentucky2617965%81.572.7+8.8
10 Texas27171063%85.175.4+9.7
11 Auburn26141254%84.079.5+4.5
12 LSU27141352%81.076.3+4.6
13 Mississippi St.27141352%78.978.7+0.2
14 Oklahoma26131350%82.878.2+4.6
15 South Carolina27121544%76.776.4+0.3
16 Ole Miss27111641%74.274.7-0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Auburn03504075
Kentucky03903574
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