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Texas State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-64
32-34 40-30
Position#44
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#271
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Texas State v Incarnate Word
18 Nov 2026
TEXA v INCA
upcoming
05 Dec 2020
TEXA72
INCA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#59
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#253
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#110
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H22/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A29/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#451
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A28/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
33-44
31-13
38-51
42-20
28-35
46-38
40-38
27-25
32-34
25-32
29-26
40-26
45-42
44-23
54-36
35-33
40-30
24-26
27-42
141.1Avg total
74.9Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.763.3138.0+11.367%
Season at home (1)98.059.0157.0+39.0100%
Season away (2)63.065.5128.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)74.966.2141.1+8.780%
Last 5 (5)72.663.2135.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)67.067.7134.7-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)73.464.0137.4+9.474%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#302
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A16/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#195
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#7
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#200
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A27/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#217
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#52
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Rice
#148
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H27/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#350
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
83-94 OT
83
94
-11
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
28-40
22-28
43-31
30-42
26-38
32-46
34-40
31-32
39-46
28-38
48-50
27-22
34-39
31-32
22-36
40-28
44-43
33-27
45-51
144.9Avg total
68.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.377.7151.0-4.333%
Season at home (2)68.569.5138.0-1.050%
Season away (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)68.876.1144.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)72.878.4151.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.574.3137.8-10.822%
vs Similar (3)73.376.0149.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (3)81.380.3161.7+1.067%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -5.1-5.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -5.1-5.1
Texas StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#59
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H14/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#253
W
31-13
31
13
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#110
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#230
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A29/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A04/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#451
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A01/12
NCAA
61.3Avg total
35.5Scored
25.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.329.664.9+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.929.466.2+7.559%-
Last 30 away (13)33.229.963.2+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)35.525.861.3+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)33.628.061.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)35.229.164.3+6.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)34.128.762.8+5.363%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#302
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#195
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H20/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#200
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#217
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#52
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Rice
#148
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#350
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A03/12
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.3Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.965.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.232.863.9-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)31.635.266.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)31.332.163.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.829.461.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.533.663.1-4.030%-
vs Similar (3)37.034.771.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker (3)35.336.071.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas State wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20AMississippi St.51-68
28/11/20ATexas A&M-CC75-63
26/11/20HHardin-Baylor98-59
12/03/20HAppalachian State85-68
04/03/20ASouth Alabama54-58
29/02/20AUT Arlington87-85 OT
22/02/20HGeorgia State86-76
21/02/20HGeorgia Southern70-55
15/02/20HArkansas State69-64
14/02/20HUALR74-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/20AWyoming83-94 OT
29/11/20HOur Lady Of The Lake84-71
27/11/20HRice53-68
07/03/20HAbilene Christian68-71 OT
05/03/20HHouston Christian76-88
29/02/20ATexas A&M-CC70-78
27/02/20ALamar66-86
22/02/20HStephen F. Austin56-80
20/02/20HMcNeese State65-59
16/02/20ANew Orleans67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game74.798.063.0
Allowed / game63.359.065.5
Point differential+11.3+39.0-2.5
Avg total138.0157.0128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game73.368.583.0
Allowed / game77.769.594.0
Point differential-4.3-1.0-11.0
Avg total151.0138.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina220100%115.062.0+53.0
2 Georgia Southern220100%94.072.0+22.0
3 Marshall220100%75.060.0+15.0
4 Georgia State43175%93.282.8+10.5
5 Appalachian State32167%87.354.0+33.3
6 Texas State32167%74.763.3+11.3
7 James Madison32167%76.365.7+10.7
8 Old Dominion32167%77.776.3+1.3
9 South Alabama53260%80.671.0+9.6
10 Southern Miss21150%65.559.5+6.0
11 Louisiana Lafayette21150%74.087.5-13.5
12 Troy31233%54.072.3-18.3
13 Arkansas State41325%71.567.8+3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe1010%62.078.0-16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin220100%94.066.5+27.5
2 UTRGV43175%72.270.5+1.8
3 Nicholls State52340%65.470.0-4.6
4 McNeese State31233%90.375.0+15.3
5 Incarnate Word31233%73.377.7-4.3
6 Texas A&M-CC41325%60.070.2-10.2
7 SE Louisiana51420%62.482.0-19.6
8 Northwestern St.4040%68.586.5-18.0
9 Lamar3030%58.377.0-18.7
10 New Orleans3030%59.078.0-19.0
11 Houston Christian3030%65.790.3-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State324072
Incarnate Word343064
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