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Texas State vs Rice Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-66
35-31 40-35
Position#207
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Position#281
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Texas State v Rice
08 Dec 2024
TEXA75
RICE66
04 Dec 2022
TEXA71
RICE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rice winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A11/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
39-36
35-22
29-22
51-23
51-39
37-35
34-41
25-32
35-40
24-44
44-38
41-43
42-37
35-31
39-34
28-28
44-31
50-29
47-20
142.1Avg total
75.9Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.865.4142.2+11.367%
Season at home (5)81.060.4141.4+20.680%
Season away (4)71.571.8143.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)75.966.2142.1+9.760%
Last 5 (5)78.867.0145.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.873.5140.2-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.969.1140.0+1.757%
vs Weaker (8)80.263.4143.6+16.975%
This opponent (Rice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A20/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
63-68 OT
63
68
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-52
42-36
38-27
39-43
23-33
42-40
27-21
39-29
27-25
39-41
41-40
42-21
29-29
32-29
28-31
28-25
34-33
41-34
35-35
35-31
139.4Avg total
71.8Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.865.3136.1+5.478%
Season at home (6)69.767.0136.7+2.767%
Season away (3)73.062.0135.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.867.6139.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)70.464.0134.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.177.9148.9-6.821%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.470.6141.1-0.257%
vs Weaker (2)74.555.5130.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +5.0+5.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +5.0+5.0
Texas StateRice
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H05/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H09/11
NCAA
TCU
#210
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A16/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
35.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.665.8+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.932.066.9+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)31.533.364.7-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.467.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.036.165.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.932.365.2+0.664%-
vs Weaker (8)37.929.867.6+8.175%-
This opponent (Rice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A13/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H10/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A20/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A01/12
NCAA
Iona
#209
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H01/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.366.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.430.662.1+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)37.234.571.6+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)32.132.664.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.667.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.833.167.9+1.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.031.764.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (2)34.030.564.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
1
Rice wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Texas State v Rice71-83
01/12/21Rice v Texas State69-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots97-49
01/12/24ATexas Southern72-59
25/11/24HOhio74-65
23/11/24APrinceton83-80
21/11/24HBradley68-82
16/11/24AAbilene Christian60-72
13/11/24ATCU71-76
09/11/24HMcMurry102-62
05/11/24HEastern Michigan64-44
11/03/24AJames Madison68-73
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HIona70-66
01/12/24AArkansas State75-67
30/11/24HHofstra63-68 OT
23/11/24AHouston Christian61-58
20/11/24ALouisiana Lafayette83-61
16/11/24HNorthwestern St.77-75 OT
13/11/24HLouisiana Monroe66-50
10/11/24HFlorida State65-73
06/11/24HFlorida International77-70
13/03/24AWichita State81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game76.881.071.5
Allowed / game65.460.471.8
Point differential+11.3+20.6-0.2
Avg total142.2141.4143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rice
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game70.869.773.0
Allowed / game65.367.062.0
Point differential+5.4+2.7+11.0
Avg total136.1136.7135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %22%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State96367%76.865.4+11.3
2 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
3 Arkansas State96367%76.269.2+7.0
4 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
5 Troy85362%74.270.6+3.6
6 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
7 Georgia Southern106460%75.778.5-2.8
8 Marshall95456%76.472.2+4.2
9 Southern Miss84450%77.677.8-0.1
10 Coastal Carolina94544%67.067.8-0.8
11 Georgia State94544%75.678.1-2.6
12 Louisiana Monroe103730%71.970.9+1.0
13 Old Dominion103730%67.678.1-10.5
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%69.881.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State98189%78.972.2+6.7
2 Memphis87188%81.575.5+6.0
3 Rice97278%70.865.3+5.4
4 East Carolina107370%78.369.5+8.8
5 North Texas96367%66.958.4+8.4
6 Charlotte74357%71.671.3+0.3
7 South Florida95456%77.176.6+0.6
8 UAB105550%84.275.6+8.6
9 Florida Atlantic105550%85.977.9+8.0
10 Temple84450%77.276.5+0.8
11 Tulane104640%72.668.2+4.4
12 Tulsa104640%74.175.9-1.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners83538%74.978.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State354075
Rice313566
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