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Texas State vs Rice Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 71-83
30-40 41-43
Position#236
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Rice 🏆
USA
Position#164
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Rice
08 Dec 2024
TEXA75
RICE66
04 Dec 2022
TEXA71
RICE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rice winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
63-67 OT
63
67
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-31
0-0
47-48
0-0
28-32
0-0
29-25
0-0
31-38
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-21
0-0
28-32
0-0
35-26
0-0
35-40
0-0
27-31
0-0
29-30
0-0
25-22
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-26
0-0
44-39
0-0
29-28
0-0
36-44
0-0
28-23
0-0
37-32
131.6Avg total
66.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.663.8129.4+1.962%
Season at home (2)74.559.0133.5+15.5100%
Season away (6)62.765.3128.0-2.750%
Last 10 (10)66.065.6131.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)64.661.6126.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.372.3135.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (7)64.667.1131.7-2.671%
vs Weaker (18)70.059.0129.0+11.078%
This opponent (Rice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#169
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A09/03
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H19/03
CBI
Pepperdine
#336
L
67-106
67
106
-39
A08/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#419
W
85-48
85
48
+37
H10/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A16/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-25
0-0
41-36
0-0
17-35
0-0
33-33
0-0
26-27
0-0
38-38
0-0
38-46
0-0
29-60
0-0
38-24
0-0
47-24
0-0
18-44
0-0
28-37
0-0
47-48
0-0
41-23
0-0
41-41
0-0
55-47
0-0
24-41
0-0
52-26
0-0
25-32
0-0
45-30
143.2Avg total
71.5Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.474.7150.1+0.771%
Season at home (5)83.067.2150.2+15.8100%
Season away (2)56.593.5150.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)71.571.7143.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)75.273.8149.0+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.676.2138.8-13.722%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.574.2145.7-2.645%
vs Weaker (9)83.968.3152.2+15.689%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +5.5+5.5
Texas StateRice
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/03
NCAA
North Texas
#12
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A16/03
NIT
Washington State
#193
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Mid-America Christian
#413
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A18/11
NCAA
California
#369
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/12
NCAA
58.3Avg total
30.5Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.028.661.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.227.163.3+9.167%-
Last 30 away (15)29.730.159.9-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)30.527.858.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)28.626.054.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.333.061.3-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.629.359.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (18)34.427.862.2+6.667%-
This opponent (Rice) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#169
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A09/03
NCAA
North Texas
#15
L
17-35
17
35
-18
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio
#7
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H19/03
CBI
Pepperdine
#336
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#419
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H10/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A16/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H01/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
30.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.535.568.0-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.433.566.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)31.438.169.5-6.731%-
Last 10 (10)30.636.366.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.041.272.2-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)26.736.262.9-9.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.336.570.7-2.245%-
vs Weaker (9)36.934.471.3+2.456%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
0
Rice wins
DateGameScore
01/12/21Rice v Texas State69-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/22ALamar65-55
27/11/22AHawaii65-72
26/11/22HSouthern Utah78-65
22/11/22ACalifornia59-55
18/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners56-61
12/11/22ARhode Island70-66
11/11/22HMid-America Christian71-53
08/11/22AWashington State61-83
16/03/22ANorth Texas63-67 OT
05/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-79
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HPrairie View A&M70-62
22/11/22HHouston Christian76-67
19/11/22HWestern Michigan96-88
19/11/22HGeorgia Southern88-71
16/11/22AMiddle Tenn. St.46-81
10/11/22HSt. Thomas (TX)85-48
08/11/22APepperdine67-106
19/03/22HOhio64-65
10/03/22ANorth Texas50-68
09/03/22ACharlotte73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %62%100%50%
Points / game65.674.562.7
Allowed / game63.859.065.3
Point differential+1.9+15.5-2.7
Avg total129.4133.5128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rice
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%100%0%
Points / game75.483.056.5
Allowed / game74.767.293.5
Point differential+0.7+15.8-37.0
Avg total150.1150.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss880100%76.455.0+21.4
2 Marshall87188%83.867.4+16.4
3 Louisiana Lafayette87188%84.872.0+12.8
4 James Madison97278%93.364.7+28.7
5 Troy96367%81.765.3+16.3
6 Arkansas State85362%69.660.4+9.2
7 Texas State85362%65.663.8+1.9
8 Coastal Carolina74357%78.065.4+12.6
9 Appalachian State95456%76.369.1+7.2
10 Georgia State95456%66.863.4+3.3
11 Old Dominion95456%69.866.6+3.2
12 Georgia Southern84450%66.967.2-0.4
13 Louisiana Monroe93633%74.369.4+4.9
14 South Alabama93633%70.669.7+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB87188%90.168.0+22.1
2 Florida Atlantic87188%80.464.6+15.8
3 Charlotte97278%66.157.0+9.1
4 North Texas86275%60.851.1+9.6
5 Memphis86275%71.963.5+8.4
6 Rice75271%75.474.7+0.7
7 East Carolina96367%74.870.8+4.0
8 Tulane85362%79.672.5+7.1
9 UTSA Roadrunners85362%67.265.9+1.4
10 Temple95456%71.668.8+2.8
11 Wichita State84450%65.962.2+3.6
12 South Florida93633%67.666.1+1.4
13 Tulsa72529%69.674.6-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State304171
Rice404383
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