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Texas Tech vs Jackson State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-42
38-18 38-24
Position#78
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Texas Tech 🏆
USA
Vs
97%
■ TEXA 97%■ JACK 3%
Pythia win probability
Projected 87-64
Projected total 151.2
Jackson State
USA
Position#363
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Texas Tech v Jackson State
02 Nov 2026
TEXA76
JACK42
17 Dec 2022
TEXA102
JACK52
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Texas Tech faces Jackson State in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Texas Tech the clear favourite, rating them 97% to win largely because of their dominant season record and the 87 projected points versus 64 for Jackson State; the model also projects a total of 151.2 points. Texas Tech has a 1-4 record in their last five home games, with a recent loss to Alabama 65-90 away on 22 March 2026, a win over Akron 91-71 at home on 20 March 2026, and a loss to Iowa State 53-75 at home on 12 March 2026, while Jackson State is 3-2 in their last five away games, having lost to Florida A&M 60-70 away on 11 March 2026, but winning against Grambling St. 68-65 at home on 10 March 2026 and Miss. Valley St. 85-77 at home on 5 March 2026. Their head-to-head record shows one meeting, with Texas Tech winning 102-52 on 17 December 2022. The Pythia model gives Texas Tech a 97% chance of winning, Jackson State a 3% chance, and projects a 87-64 score; the 155.0 line for the over has a 40% probability, and the overtime chance is 1%. The game is set to be a decisive showcase of Texas Tech's offensive firepower against a Jackson State squad that has struggled on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas Tech winWon
97.4%fair 1.03
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jackson State winLost
2.6%fair 38.57
Best odds100.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A28/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A23/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
34-34
36-37
31-35
49-35
51-37
42-34
38-34
45-29
37-44
39-36
26-37
46-38
30-44
33-36
20-39
40-35
51-36
25-49
40-41
150.8Avg total
75.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.775.1150.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)70.078.2148.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.375.7153.0+1.671%
vs Similar (13)76.875.5152.4+1.354%
vs Weaker (10)83.669.2152.8+14.480%
Jackson StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A09/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H14/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A21/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
76-85 OT
76
85
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
32-43
37-23
43-37
39-37
52-49
34-34
31-49
33-31
42-44
30-37
27-45
44-36
37-42
36-41
49-36
28-27
40-38
34-33
26-37
149.6Avg total
72.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.677.0149.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)70.274.4144.6-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)69.582.7152.2-13.235%
vs Similar (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
vs Weaker (2)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
Over/Under 150Actual: Under 150
Over 150
52.9%
@ 1.47-10.6pp
Under 150
47.1%
@ 2.55+10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Over/Under 155 · main lineActual: Under 155
Over 155
40.2%
@ 1.84-10.4pp
Under 155
59.8%
@ 1.90+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160
Over 160
28.6%
@ 2.60-7.2pp
Under 160
71.4%
@ 1.45+7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Texas Tech total 90.5Actual: Texas Tech under 90.5
Over 90.5
37.0%
@ 1.40-27.5pp
Under 90.5
63.0%
@ 2.55+27.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Texas Tech total 94.5 · main lineActual: Texas Tech under 94.5
Over 94.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 94.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Texas Tech total 98.5Actual: Texas Tech under 98.5
Over 98.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 98.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.45
Jackson State total 56.5Actual: Jackson State under 56.5
Over 56.5
77.1%
@ 1.42+13.3pp
Under 56.5
22.9%
@ 2.50-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.50
Jackson State total 60.5 · main lineActual: Jackson State under 60.5
Over 60.5
63.3%
@ 1.88+13.3pp
Under 60.5
36.7%
@ 1.85-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
Jackson State total 64.5Actual: Jackson State under 64.5
Over 64.5
47.5%
@ 2.60+12.6pp
Under 64.5
52.5%
@ 1.39-12.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Texas Tech -36.5Actual: Jackson State +36.5
TEXA -36.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
JACK +36.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.07
JACK
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.60
Spread Texas Tech -33.5 · main lineActual: Texas Tech -33.5
TEXA -33.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
JACK +33.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
JACK
Betano
2.00
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Spread Texas Tech -30.5Actual: Texas Tech -30.5
TEXA -30.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
JACK +30.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
Best 5 market prices
TEXA
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.53
JACK
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.20

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
Texas TechJackson State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A28/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A23/03
NCAA
74.8Avg total
38.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (30)41.135.977.0+5.270%57%
Last 30 at home (17)42.934.677.6+8.388%65%
Last 30 away (13)38.737.576.2+1.246%46%
Last 10 (10)38.736.174.8+2.660%50%
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.260%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.936.975.7+2.043%43%
vs Similar (13)41.237.278.4+3.977%69%
vs Weaker (10)42.633.576.1+9.180%50%
Jackson StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A12/03
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 74
Last 30 (30)33.737.971.6-4.343%43%
Last 30 at home (13)37.636.273.8+1.554%54%
Last 30 away (17)30.639.369.9-8.635%35%
Last 10 (10)34.634.068.6+0.660%30%
Last 5 (5)34.434.869.2-0.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)32.438.070.4-5.642%38%
vs Similar (2)43.535.579.0+8.050%50%
vs Weaker (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%100%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Texas Tech win
TEXA win
no forecast
@ 1.02
JACK win
no forecast
@ 14.50
1st half Spread Texas Tech -19 · main lineActual: Texas Tech -19
TEXA -19
no forecast
@ 1.84
JACK +19
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 74 · main lineActual: Under 74
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Texas Tech 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Texas Tech under 46.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Jackson State 1st half total 27.5 · main lineActual: Jackson State under 27.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Texas Tech -20.5Actual: Jackson State +20.5
TEXA -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
JACK +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Spread Texas Tech -17.5Actual: Texas Tech -17.5
TEXA -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
JACK +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.55
Under
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.67
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Texas Tech -21.5Actual: Jackson State +21.5
TEXA -21.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
JACK +21.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Texas Tech -16.5Actual: Texas Tech -16.5
TEXA -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
JACK +16.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Texas Tech -15.5Actual: Texas Tech -15.5
TEXA -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
JACK +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Texas Tech -14.5Actual: Texas Tech -14.5
TEXA -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
JACK +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Texas Tech (regulation)
TEXA
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
JACK
no forecast
@ 13.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TEXA win + total 155.5
🔒 Pro
JACK win + total 155.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TEXA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Jackson State over 58.570.6%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+14.2ppLost
Jackson State over 57.574.0%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+13.7ppLost
Jackson State over 56.577.1%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+13.3ppLost
Jackson State over 55.580.0%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+12.8ppLost
Under 161.574.0%1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.37		---+7.5ppWon
Under 160.572.0%1.43
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.41		---+7.4ppWon
Under 16173.5%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+7.2ppWon
Under 16071.4%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+7.2ppWon
Under 162.576.0%1.34
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.32		---+6.9ppWon
Under 16275.5%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+6.1ppWon
Under 16377.5%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+6.0ppWon
Under 163.577.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+5.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas Tech wins
0
Jackson State wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Texas Tech v Jackson State102-52
Texas Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26AAlabama65-90
20/03/26HAkron91-71
12/03/26HIowa State53-75
08/03/26ABrigham Young76-82
04/03/26HTCU65-73
28/02/26AIowa State82-73
25/02/26HCincinnati80-68
21/02/26HKansas State100-72
18/02/26AArizona State67-72
14/02/26AArizona78-75 OT
Jackson Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AFlorida A&M60-70
11/03/26HGrambling St.68-65
06/03/26HMiss. Valley St.85-77
04/03/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-78
28/02/26ATexas Southern57-82
27/02/26APrairie View A&M76-85 OT
21/02/26AAlcorn State65-83
17/02/26HBethune-Cookman91-86
14/02/26HFlorida A&M80-60
09/02/26AArkansas-Pine Bluff63-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 155---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Jackson State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 155---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference: no games played yet this season.
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas Tech383876
Jackson State182442
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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