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Texas Tech vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-73
0-0 39-36 0-0 26-37
Position#63
Record22-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.2
Texas Tech
USA
vs
TCU 🏆
USA
Position#77
Record19-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas Tech v TCU
03 Mar 2026
TEXA65
TCU73
29 Jan 2025
TEXA71
TCU57
20 Feb 2024
TEXA82
TCU81
25 Feb 2023
TEXA82
TCU83
12 Feb 2022
TEXA82
TCU69
02 Mar 2021
TEXA69
TCU49
10 Feb 2020
TEXA88
TCU42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H24/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H03/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H12/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
55-49
0-0
35-37
0-0
40-44
0-0
40-44
0-0
29-32
0-0
32-32
0-0
39-27
0-0
31-36
0-0
39-22
0-0
39-22
0-0
32-32
0-0
34-34
0-0
36-37
0-0
31-35
0-0
49-35
0-0
51-37
0-0
42-34
0-0
38-34
0-0
45-29
0-0
37-44
149.1Avg total
78.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.072.2154.2+9.876%
Season at home (17)86.568.8155.3+17.894%
Season away (12)75.777.1152.8-1.450%
Last 10 (10)78.670.5149.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)81.472.0153.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.077.5156.5+1.567%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.273.7155.8+8.569%
vs Weaker (11)83.368.6151.9+14.682%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A18/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-38
0-0
59-52
0-0
30-43
0-0
40-36
0-0
25-38
0-0
36-49
0-0
42-46
0-0
42-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
33-25
0-0
39-34
0-0
45-50
0-0
28-42
0-0
43-40
0-0
30-25
0-0
30-29
0-0
33-30
0-0
57-48
0-0
41-38
0-0
36-30
153.4Avg total
76.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.371.9150.1+6.466%
Season at home (19)77.466.7144.2+10.774%
Season away (10)79.981.6161.5-1.750%
Last 10 (10)76.776.7153.4+0.070%
Last 5 (5)78.674.8153.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.473.4143.8-3.040%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.073.9149.9+2.164%
vs Weaker (14)82.169.5151.6+12.671%
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
Texas TechTCU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Texas TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H24/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H12/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A28/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
40.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.777.9+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.934.479.4+10.594%-
Last 30 away (13)38.537.475.9+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.634.174.7+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.474.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.538.777.2-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.636.079.6+7.677%-
vs Weaker (11)42.533.776.2+8.782%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A18/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H25/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A28/02
NCAA
69.9Avg total
33.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.170.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.233.769.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (10)34.338.072.3-3.730%-
Last 10 (10)33.536.469.9-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.868.0+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.038.670.6-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.834.067.8-0.255%-
vs Weaker (14)38.234.873.0+3.457%-
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Texas Tech wins
5
TCU wins
DateGameScore
19/02/25TCU v Texas Tech69-66
30/01/25Texas Tech v TCU71-57
21/02/24Texas Tech v TCU82-81
31/01/24TCU v Texas Tech85-78
25/02/23Texas Tech v TCU82-83
31/12/22TCU v Texas Tech67-61
26/02/22TCU v Texas Tech69-66
12/02/22Texas Tech v TCU82-69
03/03/21Texas Tech v TCU69-49
11/02/20Texas Tech v TCU88-42
Texas Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AIowa State82-73
25/02/26HCincinnati80-68
21/02/26HKansas State100-72
18/02/26AArizona State67-72
14/02/26AArizona78-75 OT
12/02/26HColorado78-44
08/02/26AWest Virginia70-63
03/02/26HKansas61-64
31/01/26AUCF Knights80-88
24/01/26HHouston90-86
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AKansas State77-68
25/02/26HArizona State90-78
21/02/26HWest Virginia60-54
18/02/26AUCF Knights71-82
14/02/26AOklahoma State95-92 OT
11/02/26HIowa State62-55
07/02/26HKansas State84-82
01/02/26AColorado61-87
29/01/26HHouston70-79
24/01/26ABaylor97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %76%94%50%
Points / game82.086.575.7
Allowed / game72.268.877.1
Point differential+9.8+17.8-1.4
Avg total154.2155.3152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%76%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %66%74%50%
Points / game78.377.479.9
Allowed / game71.966.781.6
Point differential+6.4+10.7-1.7
Avg total150.1144.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %10%5%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3028293%86.668.2+18.4
2 Houston2924583%77.562.3+15.2
3 Iowa State3023777%81.166.3+14.8
4 Texas Tech2922776%82.072.2+9.8
5 Kansas2921872%76.168.7+7.4
6 UCF Knights2820871%82.177.8+4.4
7 Brigham Young2920969%85.075.3+9.7
8 TCU29191066%78.371.9+6.4
9 West Virginia29171259%69.964.7+5.1
10 Oklahoma State29171259%83.381.8+1.5
11 Cincinnati29161355%73.267.5+5.7
12 Colorado29161355%79.578.7+0.8
13 Baylor29151452%82.777.0+5.7
14 Arizona State29151452%77.978.2-0.3
15 Kansas State29111838%79.580.9-1.4
16 Utah Utes29101934%74.578.1-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Texas Tech03902665
TCU03603773
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