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Texas Tech vs Kansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-72
49-35 51-37
Position#63
Record19-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game72.3
Texas Tech 🏆
USA
vs
Kansas State
USA
Position#292
Record11-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Texas Tech v Kansas State
21 Feb 2026
TEXA100
KANS72
13 Jan 2024
TEXA60
KANS59
11 Feb 2023
TEXA71
KANS63
28 Feb 2022
TEXA73
KANS68
05 Jan 2021
TEXA82
KANS71
19 Feb 2020
TEXA69
KANS62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H15/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H24/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H03/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H12/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-38
38-36
32-31
52-40
55-36
37-37
55-49
35-37
40-44
40-44
29-32
32-32
39-27
31-36
39-22
39-22
32-32
34-34
36-37
31-35
149.8Avg total
78.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.472.3153.8+9.173%
Season at home (15)86.168.6154.7+17.593%
Season away (11)75.177.5152.5-2.445%
Last 10 (10)78.871.0149.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)70.863.6134.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
vs Similar (14)81.973.3155.2+8.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.969.6151.5+12.382%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
61-95
61
95
-34
H01/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H12/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-42
45-40
43-48
40-36
46-43
35-35
35-37
27-49
22-28
32-31
21-50
40-45
46-42
36-42
31-53
31-38
19-33
45-45
41-34
49-40
152.3Avg total
71.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.680.4161.0+0.242%
Season at home (17)83.279.4162.6+3.859%
Season away (9)75.682.3157.9-6.811%
Last 10 (10)71.281.1152.3-9.920%
Last 5 (5)71.884.4156.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.182.6153.7-11.517%
vs Similar (10)85.172.8157.9+12.380%
vs Weaker (2)101.067.0168.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -7.8-7.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -7.8-7.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -2.1-2.1
Texas TechKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H24/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H03/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H12/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A18/02
NCAA
75.5Avg total
40.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.235.877.0+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.334.377.6+8.989%-
Last 30 away (12)38.038.176.1-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.734.875.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.065.0+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.240.677.8-3.420%-
vs Similar (14)42.935.678.4+7.379%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.834.074.8+6.873%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H01/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H12/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
33.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.874.5-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.937.576.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (11)33.038.371.3-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.241.074.2-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.642.474.0-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.440.372.8-7.922%-
vs Similar (10)41.835.076.8+6.870%-
vs Weaker (2)50.528.579.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Texas Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Texas Tech wins
2
Kansas State wins
DateGameScore
15/01/25Kansas State v Texas Tech57-61
13/01/24Texas Tech v Kansas State60-59
12/02/23Texas Tech v Kansas State71-63
21/01/23Kansas State v Texas Tech68-58
01/03/22Texas Tech v Kansas State73-68
15/01/22Kansas State v Texas Tech62-51
06/02/21Kansas State v Texas Tech62-73
06/01/21Texas Tech v Kansas State82-71
20/02/20Texas Tech v Kansas State69-62
15/01/20Kansas State v Texas Tech63-77
Texas Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AArizona State67-72
14/02/26AArizona78-75 OT
12/02/26HColorado78-44
08/02/26AWest Virginia70-63
03/02/26HKansas61-64
31/01/26AUCF Knights80-88
24/01/26HHouston90-86
21/01/26ABaylor92-73
18/01/26HBrigham Young84-71
15/01/26HUtah Utes88-74
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HBaylor90-74
14/02/26AHouston64-78
12/02/26HCincinnati62-91
07/02/26ATCU82-84
01/02/26HIowa State61-95
28/01/26AWest Virginia54-59
25/01/26HKansas62-86
21/01/26HUtah Utes81-78
18/01/26AOklahoma State83-84
15/01/26HUCF Knights73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %73%93%45%
Points / game81.486.175.1
Allowed / game72.368.677.5
Point differential+9.1+17.5-2.4
Avg total153.8154.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%73%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %42%59%11%
Points / game80.683.275.6
Allowed / game80.479.482.3
Point differential+0.2+3.8-6.8
Avg total161.0162.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2624292%87.768.6+19.2
2 Houston2623388%77.861.6+16.2
3 Iowa State2622485%83.065.2+17.8
4 Kansas2720774%76.968.6+8.3
5 Brigham Young2619773%85.874.5+11.2
6 Texas Tech2619773%81.472.3+9.1
7 UCF Knights2518772%81.877.4+4.4
8 TCU26161062%78.672.5+6.1
9 West Virginia26161062%69.663.7+5.9
10 Oklahoma State26161062%84.181.3+2.8
11 Cincinnati27151256%72.767.0+5.7
12 Colorado26141254%80.078.5+1.5
13 Arizona State26141254%78.578.7-0.2
14 Baylor26131350%83.076.7+6.3
15 Kansas State26111542%80.680.4+0.2
16 Utah Utes26101638%75.878.6-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas Tech4951100
Kansas State353772
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