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TCU vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-78
33-30 57-48
Position#77
Record17-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game71.8
TCU 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona State
USA
Position#194
Record14-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · TCU v Arizona State
05 Jan 2027
TCU v ARIZ
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
TCU90
ARIZ78
16 Dec 2023
TCU79
ARIZ59
17 Mar 2023
TCU72
ARIZ70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TCU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A18/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
49-44
37-41
31-24
38-38
59-52
30-43
40-36
25-38
36-49
42-46
42-36
29-30
33-25
39-34
45-50
28-42
43-40
30-25
30-29
151.5Avg total
74.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.971.8149.7+6.163%
Season at home (18)76.766.1142.8+10.672%
Season away (9)80.283.1163.3-2.944%
Last 10 (10)74.776.8151.5-2.160%
Last 5 (5)74.473.0147.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.371.3139.7-3.033%
vs Similar (12)74.374.1148.4+0.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.868.9150.8+12.967%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A18/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-56
44-47
37-35
26-40
37-33
45-35
39-35
37-44
38-38
36-49
41-25
30-38
32-39
38-39
39-34
46-42
37-36
35-31
40-32
28-41
150.3Avg total
73.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.178.5156.6-0.452%
Season at home (16)78.974.9153.9+4.062%
Season away (11)76.883.6160.5-6.836%
Last 10 (10)73.476.9150.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)73.271.4144.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.683.6160.2-6.935%
vs Similar (13)79.174.4153.5+4.762%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
TCUArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A18/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H21/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
32.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.370.6+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.334.070.2+2.355%-
Last 30 away (10)33.337.971.2-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.570.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.469.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.538.070.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (12)33.634.267.8-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.434.973.3+3.550%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A18/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
36.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.375.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.036.474.4+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)36.340.977.2-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.373.2+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.271.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.940.177.0-3.147%-
vs Similar (13)37.736.173.8+1.646%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
TCU wins
0
Arizona State wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Arizona State v TCU70-74
17/12/23TCU v Arizona State79-59
18/03/23TCU v Arizona State72-70
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HWest Virginia60-54
18/02/26AUCF Knights71-82
14/02/26AOklahoma State95-92 OT
11/02/26HIowa State62-55
07/02/26HKansas State84-82
01/02/26AColorado61-87
29/01/26HHouston70-79
24/01/26ABaylor97-90
21/01/26HOklahoma State68-65
17/01/26AUtah Utes79-82
Arizona Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ABaylor68-73
18/02/26HTexas Tech72-67
11/02/26HOklahoma State85-76
08/02/26AColorado70-78
05/02/26AUtah Utes71-63
31/01/26HArizona74-87
28/01/26AUCF Knights76-79
25/01/26HCincinnati82-68
22/01/26HWest Virginia63-75
18/01/26AHouston73-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %63%72%44%
Points / game77.976.780.2
Allowed / game71.866.183.1
Point differential+6.1+10.6-2.9
Avg total149.7142.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %11%6%22%
Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %52%62%36%
Points / game78.178.976.8
Allowed / game78.574.983.6
Point differential-0.4+4.0-6.8
Avg total156.6153.9160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2725293%87.268.5+18.7
2 Houston2823582%76.662.3+14.4
3 Iowa State2722581%82.565.7+16.8
4 Texas Tech2821775%82.072.2+9.9
5 Kansas2821775%76.668.2+8.5
6 Brigham Young2720774%85.574.3+11.2
7 UCF Knights2619773%81.477.2+4.3
8 TCU27171063%77.971.8+6.1
9 Oklahoma State28171161%83.881.5+2.4
10 West Virginia28161257%69.564.5+5.0
11 Colorado27151256%80.178.2+2.0
12 Cincinnati28151354%72.567.5+5.1
13 Baylor27141352%82.676.3+6.3
14 Arizona State27141352%78.178.5-0.4
15 Kansas State27111641%80.381.1-0.9
16 Utah Utes27101737%75.678.4-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TCU335790
Arizona State304878
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