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UCF Knights vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-71
42-28 40-43
Position#92
Record17-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#77
Record16-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UCF Knights v TCU
17 Feb 2026
UCF 82
TCU71
25 Jan 2025
UCF 85
TCU58
28 Mar 2017
UCF 53
TCU68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A15/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
40-40
42-28
40-45
38-41
39-43
26-44
31-43
49-47
46-39
35-39
44-37
44-40
44-40
19-33
36-46
28-40
44-52
29-28
38-46
154.8Avg total
74.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.877.7159.4+4.171%
Season at home (17)84.675.6160.3+9.082%
Season away (7)74.782.6157.3-7.943%
Last 10 (10)74.580.3154.8-5.850%
Last 5 (5)72.280.2152.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.882.0159.8-4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.278.4161.6+4.875%
vs Weaker (4)85.066.5151.5+18.5100%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-43
46-43
36-30
34-46
30-38
49-44
37-41
31-24
38-38
59-52
30-43
40-36
25-38
36-49
42-46
42-36
29-30
33-25
39-34
45-50
155.3Avg total
75.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.972.1151.0+6.864%
Season at home (17)77.766.8144.5+10.971%
Season away (8)81.483.2164.6-1.950%
Last 10 (10)75.979.4155.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)74.479.0153.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.471.6138.0-5.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.375.5152.8+1.764%
vs Weaker (12)81.868.9150.8+12.967%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
UCF KnightsTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#161
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A15/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H14/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
34.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.075.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.836.876.7+3.063%-
Last 30 away (11)32.539.972.4-7.518%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.271.5-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.067.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.638.671.2-6.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.639.678.2-1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.529.872.2+12.875%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
33.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.471.3+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.234.271.5+3.055%-
Last 30 away (10)33.237.971.1-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.338.171.4-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.271.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.738.670.3-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.834.069.8+1.855%-
vs Weaker (12)38.434.973.3+3.550%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UCF Knights wins
2
TCU wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25TCU v UCF Knights89-78
25/01/25UCF Knights v TCU85-58
09/03/24TCU v UCF Knights77-79
29/03/17UCF Knights v TCU53-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HWest Virginia67-74
08/02/26ACincinnati72-92
05/02/26AHouston55-79
31/01/26HTexas Tech88-80
28/01/26HArizona State79-76
24/01/26AColorado95-86
21/01/26AIowa State57-87
17/01/26HArizona77-84
15/01/26AKansas State82-73
11/01/26HCincinnati73-72
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AOklahoma State95-92 OT
11/02/26HIowa State62-55
07/02/26HKansas State84-82
01/02/26AColorado61-87
29/01/26HHouston70-79
24/01/26ABaylor97-90
21/01/26HOklahoma State68-65
17/01/26AUtah Utes79-82
15/01/26ABrigham Young70-76
10/01/26HArizona73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWLWWL82%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24177
Win %71%82%43%
Points / game81.884.674.7
Allowed / game77.775.682.6
Point differential+4.1+9.0-7.9
Avg total159.4160.3157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
TCU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game78.977.781.4
Allowed / game72.166.883.2
Point differential+6.8+10.9-1.9
Avg total151.0144.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %12%6%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2523292%88.268.6+19.6
2 Houston2623388%77.861.6+16.2
3 Iowa State2622485%83.065.2+17.8
4 Brigham Young2519676%86.574.5+12.0
5 Texas Tech2519676%82.072.4+9.6
6 Kansas2519676%77.168.0+9.1
7 UCF Knights2417771%81.877.7+4.1
8 TCU2516964%78.972.1+6.8
9 West Virginia2516964%70.163.8+6.4
10 Oklahoma State2516964%84.781.3+3.4
11 Cincinnati26141254%72.367.0+5.3
12 Colorado26141254%80.078.5+1.5
13 Baylor25131252%83.476.1+7.2
14 Arizona State25131252%78.779.2-0.4
15 Kansas State25101540%80.280.7-0.5
16 Utah Utes2591636%76.479.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights424082
TCU284371
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