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Texas vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-101 (OT)
43-48 43-38 12-15
Position#135
Record9-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game71.3
Texas
USA
vs
Mississippi St. 🏆
USA
Position#257
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
119-78
119
78
+41
A26/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
69-88
69
88
-19
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H09/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H17/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-26
33-29
44-28
55-37
34-39
52-48
52-36
67-42
47-37
55-60
27-46
42-42
46-27
49-42
34-43
29-28
41-30
54-23
40-34
54-37
162.7Avg total
89.3Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.971.3159.2+16.669%
Season at home (10)90.170.3160.4+19.880%
Season away (3)80.774.7155.3+6.033%
Last 10 (10)89.373.4162.7+15.970%
Last 5 (5)83.270.4153.6+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.070.5134.5-6.525%
vs Similar (15)78.783.0161.7-4.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.567.1158.6+24.582%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A22/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
94-56
94
56
+38
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
41-54
39-40
39-40
28-34
40-34
43-39
31-35
37-28
48-45
22-30
40-35
32-42
50-32
39-38
48-45
34-30
37-36
49-31
45-25
155.8Avg total
79.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.274.6155.8+6.569%
Season at home (9)81.471.7153.1+9.878%
Season away (4)80.581.2161.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)79.876.0155.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)79.268.8148.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.583.3157.7-8.818%
vs Similar (15)80.676.1156.7+4.567%
vs Weaker (4)80.863.2144.0+17.5100%
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +10.2+10.22nd half: +3.8+3.8
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +10.2+10.22nd half: +3.8+3.8
TexasMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#368
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A26/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H17/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H23/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
40.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.971.4+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.834.872.6+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)34.835.169.9-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.674.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.235.269.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (15)34.837.972.7-3.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.730.670.4+9.182%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H30/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.771.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.734.871.4+1.956%-
Last 30 away (12)34.237.071.2-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.671.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.269.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.339.173.4-4.836%-
vs Similar (15)36.534.871.3+1.753%-
vs Weaker (4)36.229.565.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas wins
0
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Mississippi St. v Texas82-87 OT
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HMd.-East. Shore94-71
17/12/25HLe Moyne95-53
13/12/25AUconn63-71
09/12/25HSouthern Univ.95-69
04/12/25HVirginia69-88
27/11/25HNC State102-97
26/11/25AChaminade Silverswords119-78
25/11/25HArizona State86-87
19/11/25HRider99-65
15/11/25HUMKC71-55
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HAlabama State94-56
20/12/25HMemphis71-66
17/12/25HLIU Sharks87-83
14/12/25AUtah Utes82-74
07/12/25HSan Francisco62-65
04/12/25AGeorgia Tech85-73
29/11/25HSMU Mustangs81-87 OT
25/11/25HNew Orleans81-78 OT
22/11/25ANew Mexico78-80
21/11/25AKansas State77-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%80%33%
Points / game87.990.180.7
Allowed / game71.370.374.7
Point differential+16.6+19.8+6.0
Avg total159.2160.4155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %69%78%50%
Points / game81.281.480.5
Allowed / game74.671.781.2
Point differential+6.5+9.8-0.8
Avg total155.8153.1161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %15%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt14140100%93.470.7+22.7
2 Georgia1413193%99.474.0+25.4
3 LSU1412286%87.871.3+16.5
4 Texas A&M1411379%94.776.8+17.9
5 Arkansas1411379%90.274.9+15.4
6 Oklahoma1411379%87.372.2+15.1
7 Alabama1411379%94.181.1+13.1
8 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
9 Tennessee1410471%83.365.3+18.0
10 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
11 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
12 Mississippi St.139469%81.274.6+6.5
13 Kentucky149564%84.169.3+14.9
14 South Carolina149564%80.369.3+11.0
15 Auburn149564%86.978.7+8.2
16 Ole Miss148657%74.367.9+6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Texas43431298
Mississippi St.483815101
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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