PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mississippi St. vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-56
49-31 45-25
Position#257
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#330
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game82.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A22/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
35-33
36-44
41-54
39-40
39-40
28-34
40-34
43-39
31-35
37-28
48-45
22-30
40-35
32-42
50-32
39-38
48-45
34-30
37-36
155.1Avg total
77.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.176.2156.2+3.967%
Season at home (8)79.973.6153.5+6.275%
Season away (4)80.581.2161.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.977.2155.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.472.2149.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.883.7157.4-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.677.6157.2+2.164%
vs Weaker (4)80.863.2144.0+17.5100%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-68
124
68
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
63-29
61-39
22-46
44-48
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
51-38
36-55
35-30
29-44
39-52
38-33
25-50
26-38
33-42
34-46
158.8Avg total
76.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.882.8158.7-7.025%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (10)68.584.6153.1-16.110%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.020%
Last 5 (5)69.285.6154.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.583.7153.3-14.227%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.869.3139.1+0.573%
vs Weaker (8)79.263.1142.4+16.162%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -6.1-6.1
Mississippi St.Alabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.271.1-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.935.070.9+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)33.637.771.3-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.071.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.666.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.773.3-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.635.170.7+0.650%-
vs Weaker (4)36.229.565.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/12
NCAA
79.5Avg total
40.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.569.5+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.332.469.6+4.964%-
Last 30 away (19)33.835.769.5-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.279.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.479.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.539.574.0-4.955%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.733.467.1+0.436%-
vs Weaker (8)37.629.166.8+8.575%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HMemphis71-66
17/12/25HLIU Sharks87-83
14/12/25AUtah Utes82-74
07/12/25HSan Francisco62-65
04/12/25AGeorgia Tech85-73
29/11/25HSMU Mustangs81-87 OT
25/11/25HNew Orleans81-78 OT
22/11/25ANew Mexico78-80
21/11/25AKansas State77-98
15/11/25HSE Louisiana75-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AMemphis67-88
18/12/25ACincinnati51-88
12/12/25AMissouri77-85
07/12/25AUT Martin64-74
27/11/25ANew Mexico87-93
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66
18/11/25AColorado66-94
15/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game80.179.980.5
Allowed / game76.273.681.2
Point differential+3.9+6.2-0.8
Avg total156.2153.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12210
Win %25%100%10%
Points / game75.8112.568.5
Allowed / game82.874.084.6
Point differential-7.0+38.5-16.1
Avg total158.7186.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt13130100%94.270.7+23.5
2 Georgia1312192%99.072.0+27.0
3 LSU1211192%88.971.8+17.2
4 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
5 Texas A&M129375%95.076.8+18.2
6 Tennessee129375%82.264.5+17.7
7 Arkansas129375%89.574.9+14.6
8 Oklahoma129375%86.972.7+14.2
9 Alabama129375%93.981.9+12.0
10 Kentucky139469%84.967.8+17.2
11 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
12 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
13 South Carolina128467%79.868.3+11.4
14 Auburn128467%84.277.8+6.5
15 Mississippi St.128467%80.176.2+3.9
16 Ole Miss127558%74.268.4+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs126650%66.271.9-5.8
2 Prairie View A&M125742%84.378.4+5.9
3 Grambling St.125742%70.873.7-2.9
4 Southern Univ.134931%83.083.2-0.2
5 Alabama State123925%75.882.8-7.0
6 Bethune-Cookman123925%70.784.2-13.5
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
8 Florida A&M102820%64.583.3-18.8
9 Texas Southern101910%70.987.9-17.0
10 Alcorn State111109%65.592.4-26.8
11 Jackson State121118%60.888.8-28.1
12 Miss. Valley St.131128%64.290.3-26.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.494594
Alabama State312556
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.