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Texas vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-53
41-22 36-31
Position#168
Record10-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game62.8
Texas 🏆
USA
vs
Position#198
Record6-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#368
W
105-58
105
58
+47
H13/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
89-43
89
43
+46
H16/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A23/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H30/11
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A05/12
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H08/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H13/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
121-57
121
57
+64
H15/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-18
55-40
33-23
56-20
41-30
29-36
32-30
35-28
41-22
49-46
33-31
30-28
24-42
41-34
52-27
39-40
66-26
55-31
44-28
54-34
147.3Avg total
85.9Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.162.8147.8+22.383%
Season at home (9)91.061.8152.8+29.289%
Season away (3)67.365.7133.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)85.961.4147.3+24.590%
Last 5 (5)87.664.2151.8+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.674.8140.4-9.20%
vs Similar (14)76.171.2147.4+4.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.160.1146.2+26.091%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
121-49
121
49
+72
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A07/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A14/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
23-45
25-27
41-39
56-26
65-23
24-28
39-37
28-29
43-29
26-25
27-52
42-29
30-41
33-26
31-31
33-36
33-48
43-28
46-51
142.0Avg total
73.1Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.369.2143.5+5.250%
Season at home (5)88.061.2149.2+26.880%
Season away (7)64.674.9139.4-10.329%
Last 10 (10)73.168.9142.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)68.873.4142.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.075.0141.0-9.011%
vs Similar (15)70.869.7140.5+1.147%
vs Weaker (5)80.667.2147.8+13.480%
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.9+13.91st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +10.6+10.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.9+13.91st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +10.6+10.62nd half: -1.8-1.8
TexasNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#368
W
50-18
50
18
+32
H13/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H22/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H30/11
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/12
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H08/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H13/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
66-26
66
26
+40
H15/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H20/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
41.6Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.369.1+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.829.369.1+10.584%-
Last 30 away (11)34.434.969.3-0.545%-
Last 10 (10)41.627.769.3+13.990%-
Last 5 (5)43.830.874.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.236.262.4-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)37.732.269.9+5.571%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.228.071.2+15.2100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A07/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#505
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
34.4Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.464.2+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.629.664.2+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)33.131.164.2+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)34.428.262.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.864.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.735.965.6-6.211%-
vs Similar (15)33.128.962.0+4.373%-
vs Weaker (5)39.025.864.8+13.280%-
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas wins
0
Northwestern St. wins
No previous meetings.
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HNew Orleans98-62
15/12/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff121-57
13/12/24HNew Mexico State91-67
08/12/24HUconn65-76
05/12/24ANC State63-59
30/11/24HDelaware State90-68
23/11/24ASaint Josephs Hawks67-58
22/11/24HSyracuse70-66
16/11/24HMiss. Valley St.89-43
13/11/24HChicago State105-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HSouthern-New O.89-79
14/12/24ACalifornia66-84
07/12/24AHouston Christian64-57
06/12/24AIncarnate Word72-70
30/11/24ALSU53-77
24/11/24HNorth Alabama71-58
23/11/24HLouisiana Monroe63-65
20/11/24HJohn Melvin121-49
16/11/24ARice75-77 OT
12/11/24AOklahoma57-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %83%89%67%
Points / game85.191.067.3
Allowed / game62.861.865.7
Point differential+22.3+29.2+1.7
Avg total147.8152.8133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%78%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%80%29%
Points / game74.388.064.6
Allowed / game69.261.274.9
Point differential+5.2+26.8-10.3
Avg total143.5149.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee12120100%81.256.6+24.6
2 Florida12120100%87.665.0+22.6
3 Oklahoma12120100%82.667.6+15.0
4 Auburn1211192%88.465.4+23.0
5 Georgia1211192%82.963.5+19.4
6 Vanderbilt1211192%85.466.9+18.5
7 Mississippi St.1211192%83.767.6+16.1
8 Ole Miss1311285%80.865.5+15.3
9 Texas A&M1311285%76.262.6+13.5
10 Texas1210283%85.162.8+22.3
11 Missouri1210283%87.867.8+19.9
12 Kentucky1210283%89.172.8+16.3
13 Arkansas1210283%81.865.8+16.0
14 LSU1210283%82.168.8+13.2
15 Alabama1210283%88.776.8+11.8
16 South Carolina129375%76.266.2+10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV128467%82.473.5+8.9
2 McNeese State127558%76.466.2+10.2
3 Incarnate Word127558%79.169.8+9.2
4 Nicholls State127558%74.369.3+5.0
5 Texas A&M-CC137654%80.569.2+11.3
6 Lamar126650%74.968.6+6.3
7 Northwestern St.126650%74.369.2+5.2
8 SE Louisiana126650%72.167.3+4.8
9 Stephen F. Austin126650%65.663.0+2.6
10 Houston Christian134931%65.471.4-6.0
11 New Orleans1221017%66.484.9-18.5
12 TX A&M Commerce1321115%64.179.1-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas413677
Northwestern St.223153
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