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California vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-66
36-33 48-33
Position#268
Record6-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#198
Record5-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · California v Northwestern St.
13 Dec 2025
CALI79
NORT70
14 Dec 2024
CALI84
NORT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A14/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-28
40-45
39-35
52-38
31-49
38-36
42-43
29-23
35-27
43-42
40-33
43-44
41-23
40-32
51-35
42-63
31-47
50-42
29-47
51-41
158.6Avg total
81.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.377.3158.6+4.060%
Season at home (7)82.974.9157.7+8.071%
Season away (3)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)81.377.3158.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)83.681.4165.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.782.8157.5-8.131%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.972.4148.2+3.562%
vs Weaker (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#575
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
121-49
121
49
+72
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-19
47-36
28-42
37-44
34-28
23-45
25-27
41-39
56-26
65-23
24-28
39-37
28-29
43-29
26-25
27-52
42-29
30-41
33-26
31-31
140.4Avg total
73.7Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.766.7140.4+7.050%
Season at home (4)87.856.8144.5+31.075%
Season away (6)64.373.3137.7-9.033%
Last 10 (10)73.766.7140.4+7.050%
Last 5 (5)64.665.4130.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.478.3143.6-12.99%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.168.6139.8+2.550%
vs Weaker (4)78.564.2142.8+14.275%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
CaliforniaNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H05/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A04/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H11/12
NCAA
75.2Avg total
38.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.471.7-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.534.870.3+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)35.038.673.6-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.775.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.740.273.8-6.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.634.070.6+2.656%-
vs Weaker (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#575
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A07/12
NCAA
62.4Avg total
34.5Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.164.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.029.763.7+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)32.332.364.6+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)34.527.962.4+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.627.458.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.237.266.4-8.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.128.461.5+4.879%-
vs Weaker (4)38.025.263.2+12.875%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Northwestern St. wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HCornell80-88
07/12/24HStanford81-89
04/12/24AMissouri93-98
28/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers81-55
24/11/24HSacramento State83-77
22/11/24HAir Force78-69
18/11/24AUSC71-66
14/11/24AVanderbilt69-85
08/11/24HCal Poly91-73
05/11/24HCSU Bakersfield86-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AHouston Christian64-57
06/12/24AIncarnate Word72-70
30/11/24ALSU53-77
24/11/24HNorth Alabama71-58
23/11/24HLouisiana Monroe63-65
20/11/24HJohn Melvin121-49
16/11/24ARice75-77 OT
12/11/24AOklahoma57-73
09/11/24ATexas Tech65-86
05/11/24HDallas Christian96-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game81.382.977.7
Allowed / game77.374.983.0
Point differential+4.0+8.0-5.3
Avg total158.6157.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game73.787.864.3
Allowed / game66.756.873.3
Point differential+7.0+31.0-9.0
Avg total140.4144.5137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh119282%81.667.0+14.6
2 Clemson119282%77.564.6+12.8
3 Duke108280%79.759.9+19.8
4 SMU Mustangs108280%85.869.7+16.1
5 Stanford108280%80.269.5+10.7
6 Wake Forest118373%67.464.8+2.5
7 Florida State107370%78.268.1+10.1
8 NC State107370%74.465.1+9.3
9 Louisville106460%76.168.7+7.4
10 California106460%81.377.3+4.0
11 Virginia106460%61.460.2+1.2
12 Boston College106460%69.969.0+0.9
13 North Carolina95456%86.180.0+6.1
14 Notre Dame116555%74.570.0+4.5
15 Syracuse105550%79.379.5-0.2
16 Georgia Tech94544%76.774.0+2.7
17 Virginia Tech104640%70.370.2+0.1
18 Miami (FL)103730%77.673.5+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nicholls State117464%74.566.4+8.2
2 Texas A&M-CC106460%81.767.9+13.8
3 McNeese State95456%78.268.0+10.2
4 UTRGV95456%81.477.0+4.4
5 Lamar105550%77.365.7+11.6
6 Northwestern St.105550%73.766.7+7.0
7 Incarnate Word105550%75.571.2+4.3
8 Stephen F. Austin105550%64.462.1+2.3
9 SE Louisiana104640%69.468.1+1.3
10 Houston Christian103730%68.572.1-3.6
11 New Orleans82625%68.480.6-12.2
12 TX A&M Commerce101910%63.179.2-16.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California364884
Northwestern St.333366
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