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Incarnate Word vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-72
29-42 41-30
Position#190
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#198
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Northwestern St.
17 Jan 2026
INCA76
NORT74
05 Dec 2024
INCA70
NORT72
17 Feb 2024
INCA61
NORT81
23 Feb 2023
INCA66
NORT71
17 Feb 2022
INCA64
NORT88
10 Feb 2021
INCA67
NORT68
08 Jan 2020
INCA66
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A07/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/11
NCAA
S'western (Texas)
#578
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H08/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
44-48
30-31
26-42
21-32
31-39
43-34
35-49
46-32
51-21
47-37
37-44
39-36
53-28
32-42
42-33
30-39
33-45
35-32
51-43
150.8Avg total
76.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.073.6155.6+8.457%
Season at home (3)91.066.0157.0+25.0100%
Season away (4)75.279.2154.5-4.025%
Last 10 (10)76.274.6150.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)79.875.8155.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.277.0143.2-10.817%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.880.3152.1-8.59%
vs Weaker (5)84.876.2161.0+8.680%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A07/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
121-49
121
49
+72
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
23-26
33-26
31-43
49-19
47-36
28-42
37-44
34-28
23-45
25-27
41-39
56-26
65-23
24-28
39-37
28-29
43-29
26-25
27-52
143.7Avg total
74.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.167.5142.6+7.638%
Season at home (4)87.856.8144.5+31.075%
Season away (4)62.578.2140.8-15.80%
Last 10 (10)74.569.2143.7+5.330%
Last 5 (5)76.665.2141.8+11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.478.3143.6-12.99%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.170.0140.1+0.138%
vs Weaker (5)82.666.4149.0+16.280%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
Incarnate WordNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A05/11
NCAA
S'western (Texas)
#578
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.470.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)32.237.669.9-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.471.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.273.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.637.165.7-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.236.671.8-1.527%-
vs Weaker (5)39.836.276.0+3.680%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H11/03
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A16/11
NCAA
John Melvin
#687
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H20/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H23/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H24/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
61.8Avg total
33.7Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.564.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.930.265.1+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)31.633.064.6-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)33.728.161.8+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.827.058.8+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.237.266.4-8.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.828.960.7+2.869%-
vs Weaker (5)42.226.869.0+15.480%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24AWestern Illinois86-75
26/11/24ASouth Alabama63-84
23/11/24ANorthern Arizona74-75
16/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-64
13/11/24HPrairie View A&M84-81
08/11/24HS'western (Texas)97-53
05/11/24ACalifornia Baptist78-83
07/03/24ATexas A&M-CC52-71
05/03/24HSE Louisiana56-73
02/03/24HNew Orleans80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ALSU53-77
24/11/24HNorth Alabama71-58
23/11/24HLouisiana Monroe63-65
20/11/24HJohn Melvin121-49
16/11/24ARice75-77 OT
12/11/24AOklahoma57-73
09/11/24ATexas Tech65-86
05/11/24HDallas Christian96-55
11/03/24HTX A&M Commerce64-69
07/03/24ATX A&M Commerce80-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game82.091.075.2
Allowed / game73.666.079.2
Point differential+8.4+25.0-4.0
Avg total155.6157.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game75.187.862.5
Allowed / game67.556.878.2
Point differential+7.6+31.0-15.8
Avg total142.6144.5140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC85362%86.170.8+15.4
2 UTRGV85362%85.176.1+9.0
3 Incarnate Word74357%82.073.6+8.4
4 Nicholls State95456%70.866.0+4.8
5 Stephen F. Austin95456%66.261.6+4.7
6 McNeese State84450%75.167.9+7.2
7 SE Louisiana94544%70.368.1+2.2
8 Northwestern St.83538%75.167.5+7.6
9 Lamar72529%78.671.3+7.3
10 New Orleans72529%68.181.7-13.6
11 Houston Christian82625%68.172.2-4.1
12 TX A&M Commerce81712%62.480.5-18.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word294170
Northwestern St.423072
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