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Texas vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:45
Final 71-66
31-23 40-43
Position#34
Record27-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game67.2
Texas 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#105
Record23-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TexasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#204
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H18/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A25/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H10/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
76-56
76
56
+20
A11/03
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
32-30
34-34
39-39
47-29
25-25
27-29
45-52
32-44
41-31
32-24
43-35
35-26
26-21
34-26
32-34
39-33
37-23
41-32
40-29
137.8Avg total
72.8Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)77.967.2145.2+10.777%
Season at home (24)81.665.7147.3+15.992%
Season away (11)70.070.5140.5-0.545%
Last 10 (10)72.865.0137.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)71.856.6128.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)78.174.3152.3+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.465.0141.4+11.487%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
67-65 OT
67
65
+2
A10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A17/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
31-34
37-37
38-34
31-21
25-38
24-28
37-33
22-35
43-29
31-30
48-46
25-26
31-30
34-26
43-47
27-35
38-32
38-22
38-37
137.2Avg total
70.4Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)72.468.1140.6+4.364%
Season at home (18)75.866.6142.3+9.278%
Season away (18)69.169.7138.8-0.750%
Last 10 (10)70.466.8137.2+3.680%
Last 5 (5)72.868.0140.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.774.3137.0-11.70%
vs Similar (21)72.770.2142.9+2.562%
vs Weaker (6)73.762.7136.3+11.083%
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
TexasPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TexasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#204
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/02
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A25/02
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H10/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H16/03
NCAA
67.7Avg total
35.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.869.3+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.032.770.7+5.368%-
Last 30 away (11)31.435.566.9-4.218%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.167.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.228.264.4+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)34.936.170.9-1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.331.567.7+4.853%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#340
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H05/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A09/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A17/03
NCAA
60.9Avg total
31.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.065.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.429.866.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)32.632.164.7+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)31.429.560.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.027.858.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.033.764.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (21)34.630.765.2+3.957%-
vs Weaker (6)35.530.866.3+4.783%-
This opponent (Texas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Texas wins
0
Penn State wins
No previous meetings.
Texaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23HColgate81-61
11/03/23AKansas76-56
11/03/23HTCU66-60
10/03/23HOklahoma State61-47
04/03/23HKansas75-59
02/03/23ATCU73-75
25/02/23ABaylor72-81
22/02/23HIowa State72-54
18/02/23HOklahoma85-83 OT
14/02/23ATexas Tech67-74
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23ATexas A&M76-59
12/03/23APurdue65-67
11/03/23AIndiana77-73
10/03/23ANorthwestern67-65 OT
09/03/23AIllinois79-76
05/03/23HMaryland65-64
02/03/23ANorthwestern68-65 OT
26/02/23HRutgers56-59
23/02/23AOhio State75-71
19/02/23AMinnesota76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352411
Win %77%92%45%
Points / game77.981.670.0
Allowed / game67.265.770.5
Point differential+10.7+15.9-0.5
Avg total145.2147.3140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%62%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %9%12%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %64%78%50%
Points / game72.475.869.1
Allowed / game68.166.669.7
Point differential+4.3+9.2-0.7
Avg total140.6142.3138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)60% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %11%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama3530586%82.668.7+13.9
2 Texas3527877%77.967.2+10.7
3 Tennessee35251071%71.257.8+13.4
4 Texas A&M35251071%72.866.5+6.3
5 Missouri35251071%78.974.4+4.5
6 Kentucky33221167%74.667.6+7.1
7 Arkansas35221363%74.367.4+6.9
8 Auburn34211362%72.867.7+5.1
9 Mississippi St.34201459%65.161.5+3.6
10 Vanderbilt34201459%72.572.1+0.4
11 Florida32161650%71.968.7+3.3
12 Georgia32161650%68.571.5-3.0
13 Oklahoma32151747%67.767.5+0.1
14 LSU33141942%67.670.7-3.1
15 Ole Miss33122136%67.569.1-1.6
16 South Carolina32112134%64.372.6-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3530586%74.360.1+14.2
2 Purdue3529683%72.762.7+9.9
3 Indiana34231168%74.968.2+6.7
4 Northwestern33221167%67.962.6+5.3
5 USC33221167%72.567.4+5.1
6 Maryland34221265%70.363.2+7.1
7 Penn State36231364%72.468.1+4.3
8 Michigan State32201262%70.367.2+3.1
9 Illinois33201361%74.367.2+7.2
10 Rutgers33191458%67.960.3+7.5
11 Iowa33191458%80.174.7+5.4
12 Oregon33191458%70.767.1+3.6
13 Wisconsin31171455%64.963.8+1.1
14 Michigan32171553%73.169.4+3.7
15 Washington32161650%69.270.3-1.2
16 Nebraska32161650%68.069.9-1.9
17 Ohio State35161946%72.569.0+3.5
18 Minnesota3192229%62.971.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas314071
Penn State234366
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