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Penn State vs Maryland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-64
22-35 43-29
Position#105
Record18-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game68.3
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Maryland
USA
Position#97
Record20-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game63.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Penn State v Maryland
30 Jan 2027
PENN v MARY
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
PENN64
MARY68
10 Mar 2024
PENN85
MARY69
05 Mar 2023
PENN65
MARY64
05 Feb 2021
PENN55
MARY50
10 Dec 2019
PENN76
MARY69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maryland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A01/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-32
34-29
29-35
31-45
28-37
35-35
29-35
39-33
28-31
40-43
53-40
40-41
45-35
31-34
37-37
38-34
31-21
25-38
24-28
37-33
142.7Avg total
71.6Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.668.3140.9+4.360%
Season at home (17)76.466.7143.1+9.776%
Season away (13)67.670.4138.0-2.838%
Last 10 (10)71.671.1142.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.669.0142.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.374.7140.0-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)71.669.7141.3+1.950%
vs Weaker (9)77.063.4140.4+13.689%
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H28/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
81-46
81
46
+35
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H16/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H23/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H26/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
42-33
37-29
29-26
41-21
40-25
22-31
36-32
31-28
43-40
25-28
43-26
24-31
34-27
47-30
41-40
41-39
34-20
29-35
33-38
134.1Avg total
72.0Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.963.2134.1+7.867%
Season at home (19)76.462.4138.8+14.195%
Season away (11)61.564.5126.0-3.118%
Last 10 (10)72.062.1134.1+9.970%
Last 5 (5)71.865.2137.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.571.5128.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.165.1133.2+3.162%
vs Weaker (12)77.159.2136.3+17.883%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +6.8+6.8
Penn StateMaryland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A02/03
NCAA
68.4Avg total
35.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.067.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.329.367.6+9.088%-
Last 30 away (13)33.033.266.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.168.4+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.270.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.331.769.0+5.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.431.366.7+4.256%-
vs Weaker (9)36.730.266.9+6.489%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A02/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.7Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.164.0+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.130.467.5+6.784%-
Last 30 away (11)25.732.358.0-6.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.263.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.665.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)18.541.560.0-23.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.832.364.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker (12)36.927.764.6+9.283%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penn State wins
2
Maryland wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Maryland v Penn State74-68
22/02/22Maryland v Penn State67-61
08/03/21Maryland v Penn State61-66
06/02/21Penn State v Maryland55-50
11/12/19Penn State v Maryland76-69
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23ANorthwestern68-65 OT
26/02/23HRutgers56-59
23/02/23AOhio State75-71
19/02/23AMinnesota76-69
15/02/23HIllinois93-81
11/02/23AMaryland68-74
09/02/23HWisconsin74-79 OT
05/02/23ANebraska63-72
01/02/23APurdue60-80
29/01/23HMichigan83-61
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23AOhio State62-73
26/02/23HNorthwestern75-59
23/02/23HMinnesota88-70
19/02/23ANebraska66-70 OT
16/02/23HPurdue68-54
11/02/23HPenn State74-68
08/02/23AMichigan State58-63
05/02/23AMinnesota81-46
01/02/23HIndiana66-55
28/01/23HNebraska82-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %60%76%38%
Points / game72.676.467.6
Allowed / game68.366.770.4
Point differential+4.3+9.7-2.8
Avg total140.9143.1138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %10%6%15%
Maryland
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %67%95%18%
Points / game70.976.461.5
Allowed / game63.262.464.5
Point differential+7.8+14.1-3.1
Avg total134.1138.8126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%74%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)100% (1)0% (5)
Overtime %3%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3127487%74.260.1+14.0
2 Purdue3025583%73.162.2+10.9
3 USC3122971%72.866.9+5.9
4 Illinois30201067%74.766.3+8.5
5 Maryland30201067%70.963.2+7.8
6 Indiana30201067%75.368.3+7.0
7 Northwestern30201067%67.862.6+5.2
8 Iowa30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Michigan State30191163%70.667.4+3.3
10 Rutgers30181260%68.760.2+8.5
11 Penn State30181260%72.668.3+4.3
12 Oregon31181358%71.066.7+4.3
13 Michigan30171357%73.969.5+4.4
14 Wisconsin29161355%65.063.7+1.3
15 Washington31161552%69.270.2-1.0
16 Nebraska30151550%67.369.4-2.1
17 Ohio State31131842%73.169.4+3.7
18 Minnesota2882029%62.570.9-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State224365
Maryland352964
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