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Penn State vs Rutgers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 56-59
31-21 25-38
Position#105
Record17-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Rutgers 🏆
USA
Position#132
Record17-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game59.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Penn State v Rutgers
18 Feb 2026
PENN72
RUTG85
20 Jan 2025
PENN80
RUTG72
26 Feb 2023
PENN56
RUTG59
11 Jan 2022
PENN66
RUTG49
21 Jan 2021
PENN75
RUTG67
26 Feb 2020
PENN65
RUTG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rutgers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A01/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
H09/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
47-42
24-32
21-33
49-32
34-29
29-35
31-45
28-37
35-35
29-35
39-33
28-31
40-43
53-40
40-41
45-35
31-34
37-37
38-34
143.0Avg total
71.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.468.8142.1+4.661%
Season at home (16)77.767.2144.9+10.581%
Season away (12)67.670.8138.4-3.233%
Last 10 (10)71.371.7143.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)77.274.8152.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.672.2137.8-6.640%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.870.6143.4+2.250%
vs Weaker (9)77.063.4140.4+13.689%
This opponent (Rutgers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H24/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
27-34
32-24
33-21
34-45
48-48
34-24
56-31
19-25
42-30
35-38
25-28
34-30
26-39
35-40
37-42
36-34
22-23
23-26
22-32
130.0Avg total
65.0Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)68.859.8128.6+9.061%
Season at home (19)71.255.7126.9+15.574%
Season away (9)63.868.4132.2-4.733%
Last 10 (10)65.065.0130.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)59.066.4125.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.574.5148.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)65.565.5131.0+0.145%
vs Weaker (17)71.857.6129.4+14.265%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +1.0+1.0
Penn StateRutgers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#213
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H21/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H29/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.031.667.6+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.829.868.6+8.988%-
Last 30 away (14)32.933.766.6-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.768.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.432.168.6+4.356%-
vs Weaker (9)36.730.266.9+6.489%-
This opponent (Rutgers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RutgersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
19-25
19
25
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H24/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.129.262.3+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (21)33.227.761.0+5.567%-
Last 30 away (9)32.832.865.6+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.263.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.666.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.031.064.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.530.061.5+1.564%-
vs Weaker (17)34.128.562.6+5.665%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penn State wins
3
Rutgers wins
DateGameScore
24/01/23Rutgers v Penn State65-45
06/03/22Rutgers v Penn State59-58
11/01/22Penn State v Rutgers66-49
22/01/21Penn State v Rutgers75-67
27/02/20Penn State v Rutgers65-64
08/01/20Rutgers v Penn State72-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AOhio State75-71
19/02/23AMinnesota76-69
15/02/23HIllinois93-81
11/02/23AMaryland68-74
09/02/23HWisconsin74-79 OT
05/02/23ANebraska63-72
01/02/23APurdue60-80
29/01/23HMichigan83-61
24/01/23ARutgers45-65
21/01/23HNebraska76-65
Rutgerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HMichigan45-58
18/02/23AWisconsin58-57
15/02/23HNebraska72-82
11/02/23AIllinois60-69
07/02/23AIndiana60-66
04/02/23HMichigan State61-55
02/02/23HMinnesota90-55
29/01/23AIowa82-93
24/01/23HPenn State65-45
19/01/23AMichigan State57-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %61%81%33%
Points / game73.477.767.6
Allowed / game68.867.270.8
Point differential+4.6+10.5-3.2
Avg total142.1144.9138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Rutgers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL61%
HomeWWWLL74%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %61%74%33%
Points / game68.871.263.8
Allowed / game59.855.768.4
Point differential+9.0+15.5-4.7
Avg total128.6126.9132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %4%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA2925486%73.759.7+14.1
2 Purdue2924583%73.462.2+11.2
3 USC2921872%72.766.3+6.4
4 Maryland2920969%71.262.8+8.4
5 Indiana2920969%75.567.6+8.0
6 Northwestern2920969%67.962.4+5.5
7 Illinois29191066%74.265.6+8.6
8 Iowa29181162%80.474.4+5.9
9 Rutgers28171161%68.859.8+9.0
10 Penn State28171161%73.468.8+4.6
11 Michigan State28171161%69.867.0+2.8
12 Michigan29171259%73.468.7+4.7
13 Wisconsin28161257%65.163.7+1.5
14 Oregon29161355%70.567.2+3.3
15 Washington30161453%68.769.4-0.7
16 Nebraska29151452%67.369.0-1.7
17 Ohio State29121741%72.969.1+3.8
18 Minnesota2772026%62.070.8-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State312556
Rutgers213859
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