Tindastoll host IR Reykjavik on 9 November 2026 in the Premier league, and the Pythia model names Tindastoll the clear favourite, giving them a 91% chance to win based on their 4-1 record, 91.4 points per game and 83.0 allowed per game, the best defensive stat in the league. Tindastoll have gone 4-1 overall, scoring 91.4 and allowing 83.0, and on home soil they are 1-1 with 107.0 points per game and 97.0 allowed, while their last five games include a 105-108 loss to Alftanes and a 80-73 win over Hottur. IR Reykjavik are 1-4 overall, averaging 93.4 points and conceding 104.0, and on the road they are 1-2 with 96.3 points and 100.3 allowed, their last five games featuring losses to Keflavik, Stjarnan and Hottur. The teams have met ten times, Tindastoll winning all ten, most recently 125-87 on 11 April 2026. Pythia projects a 98-82 score, 180.3 total points, a 91% probability for the home win and a 9% chance for the away team, with a -16.5 spread that the home side covers 46% of the time, and a 2% chance of overtime. The game ends with Tindastoll's dominant 98-82 victory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 91.4 | 83.0 | 174.4 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 107.0 | 97.0 | 204.0 | +10.0 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 81.0 | 73.7 | 154.7 | +7.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.7 | 82.1 | 172.8 | +8.6 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.4 | 83.0 | 174.4 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 105.0 | 108.0 | 213.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 98.5 | 100.3 | 198.8 | -1.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 96.0 | 86.4 | 182.3 | +9.6 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 93.4 | 104.0 | 197.4 | -10.6 | 20% |
| Season at home (2) | 89.0 | 109.5 | 198.5 | -20.5 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 96.3 | 100.3 | 196.7 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 93.8 | 103.2 | 197.0 | -9.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.4 | 104.0 | 197.4 | -10.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 91.3 | 103.3 | 194.5 | -12.0 | 20% |
| vs Similar (8) | 93.0 | 87.5 | 180.5 | +5.5 | 75% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 92.2 | 85.7 | 177.8 | +6.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 95.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.9 | 45.2 | 93.1 | +2.8 | 57% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 49.9 | 46.3 | 96.2 | +3.7 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 45.9 | 44.1 | 90.0 | +1.9 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.0 | 40.4 | 86.4 | +5.6 | 70% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 41.4 | 88.0 | +5.2 | 80% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 50.0 | 44.0 | 94.0 | +6.0 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 50.5 | 46.7 | 97.2 | +3.8 | 50% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 47.2 | 44.8 | 92.0 | +2.3 | 57% | 39% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 95.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.2 | 48.4 | 94.5 | -2.2 | 37% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 46.4 | 48.1 | 94.4 | -1.7 | 43% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 46.0 | 48.6 | 94.6 | -2.6 | 31% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.5 | 49.0 | 97.5 | -0.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.8 | 48.6 | 98.4 | +1.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 46.1 | 51.4 | 97.5 | -5.3 | 20% | 47% |
| vs Similar (8) | 49.4 | 44.4 | 93.8 | +5.0 | 88% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 42.5 | 46.3 | 88.8 | -3.8 | 17% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 190 | 73.2% | 1.88 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.76 | +28.7pp | Won |
| Under 191 | 75.2% | 1.84 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.71 | - | +28.4pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 73.7% | 1.86 | 2.05 | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.74 | +28.3pp | Won |
| Under 192 | 77.1% | 1.74 | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.66 | - | +27.6pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 75.7% | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.68 | 1.67 | +27.5pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 106 | 80.2% | 1.63 | 1.63 | - | - | - | - | +27.3pp | Won |
| Under 193 | 78.9% | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.69 | 1.60 | - | - | +26.7pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 77.5% | 1.69 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.65 | 1.64 | 1.62 | +26.6pp | Won |
| Under 194 | 80.7% | 1.70 | 1.70 | - | - | - | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 79.3% | 1.61 | 1.74 | 1.59 | 1.58 | 1.55 | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| Under 195 | 82.3% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +24.8pp | Won |
| Under 194.5 | 81.0% | 1.56 | 1.66 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | +24.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 105 | 77.2% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 105.5 | 77.9% | 1.65 | 1.78 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +23.4pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 104.5 | 74.8% | 1.76 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.60 | - | - | +23.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 106.5 | 80.8% | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.55 | 1.44 | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 104 | 74.0% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 103 | 70.5% | 1.75 | 1.75 | - | - | - | - | +21.2pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 103.5 | 71.5% | 1.79 | 1.86 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.70 | +20.8pp | Won |
| Under 189 | 71.1% | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.83 | +20.7pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 88 | 72.1% | 1.67 | 1.67 | - | - | - | - | +20.5pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 108.5 | 85.8% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +20.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll under 107.5 | 83.4% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 71.7% | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +20.0pp | Won |
| Under 195.5 | 82.6% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +18.9pp | Won |
| Under 196.5 | 84.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| Under 199.5 | 88.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 91.5 | 81.7% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +16.8pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 93.5 | 86.2% | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +15.4pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 92.5 | 84.1% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 89.5 | 76.2% | 1.50 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.44 | - | - | +14.9pp | Won |
| Under 204.5 | 92.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 90.5 | 79.0% | 1.42 | 1.46 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 88.5 | 73.1% | 1.56 | 1.62 | 1.55 | 1.52 | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +22 | 72.8% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 95.5 | 89.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 94.5 | 88.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 97.5 | 92.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 96.5 | 91.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +23.5 | 76.3% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.39 | 1.34 | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Under 209.5 | 96.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +22.5 | 73.6% | 1.46 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 1.40 | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +21.5 | 70.6% | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.52 | 1.29 | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik +24.5 | 78.9% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Under 214.5 | 97.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 99.5 | 94.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 98.5 | 93.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 101.5 | 96.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 103.5 | 97.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 100.5 | 95.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 102.5 | 97.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 105.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik under 104.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll (regulation) | 89.7% | 1.06 | 1.09 | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 81.5 | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +7.5 | 97.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 83.5 | 92.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Tindastoll win | 91.0% | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | +2.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 82.5 | 93.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +2.5 | 93.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 85.5 | 89.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 84.5 | 91.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll +1.5 | 91.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -2.5 | 87.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -9.5 | 70.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 87.5 | 85.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 86.5 | 87.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -7.5 | 76.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll -3.5 | 86.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 89.5 | 80.1% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 88.5 | 82.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -3.8pp | Won |
| Tindastoll -8.5 | 73.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -4.5pp | Lost |
| Tindastoll over 91.5 | 74.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 75.5 | 75.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Won |
| IR Reykjavik over 76.5 | 71.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -6.0pp | Won |
| Over 164.5 | 83.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -6.0pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 90.5 | 77.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -6.6pp | Won |
| Tindastoll over 92.5 | 70.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -8.8pp | Won |
| Over 169.5 | 74.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -11.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.4 | 19.9 | 56.2% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.1 | 10.7 | 33.0% | 32.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.0 | 19.1 | 73.9% | 19.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 22.5 | 56.2% | 45.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 11.6 | 33.0% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.3 | 13.9 | 73.9% | 13.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 | Tindastoll v IR Reykjavik | 125-87 |
| 07/04/26 | IR Reykjavik v Tindastoll | 90-98 |
| 02/04/26 | Tindastoll v IR Reykjavik | 108-99 |
| 15/01/26 | Tindastoll v IR Reykjavik | 101-90 |
| 17/10/25 | IR Reykjavik v Tindastoll | 67-113 |
| 09/01/25 | Tindastoll v IR Reykjavik | 98-88 |
| 10/10/24 | IR Reykjavik v Tindastoll | 82-93 |
| 19/01/23 | IR Reykjavik v Tindastoll | 81-96 |
| 13/10/22 | Tindastoll v IR Reykjavik | 85-70 |
| 10/03/22 | IR Reykjavik v Tindastoll | 71-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Hottur | 80-73 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Alftanes | 105-108 OT |
| 23/10/26 | A | Sindri | 78-71 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Armann | 109-86 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Njardvik | 85-77 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 85-68 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Jonava | 77-71 |
| 23/09/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 92-69 |
| 18/05/26 | H | Grindavik | 102-109 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Grindavik | 94-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Keflavik | 90-100 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Stjarnan | 96-102 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Hottur | 96-108 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Alftanes | 88-119 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Sindri | 97-91 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Tindastoll | 87-125 |
| 07/04/26 | H | Tindastoll | 90-98 |
| 02/04/26 | A | Tindastoll | 99-108 |
| 26/03/26 | A | Valur | 93-82 |
| 19/03/26 | H | KR Basket | 102-99 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 80% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 91.4 | 107.0 | 81.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.0 | 97.0 | 73.7 |
| Point differential | +8.4 | +10.0 | +7.3 |
| Avg total | 174.4 | 204.0 | 154.7 |
| Over 188.75 | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 20% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 93.4 | 89.0 | 96.3 |
| Allowed / game | 104.0 | 109.5 | 100.3 |
| Point differential | -10.6 | -20.5 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 197.4 | 198.5 | 196.7 |
| Over 188.75 | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 98.4 | 84.6 | +13.8 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 87.4 | 78.6 | +8.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 112.4 | 96.4 | +16.0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 91.4 | 83.0 | +8.4 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 107.2 | 99.8 | +7.4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 91.2 | 89.6 | +1.6 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 94.4 | 93.2 | +1.2 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 92.0 | 99.4 | -7.4 | |
| 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 93.4 | 104.0 | -10.6 | |
| 10 | Sindri | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 85.4 | 94.8 | -9.4 |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 83.4 | 93.8 | -10.4 | |
| 12 | Armann | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 83.0 | 102.4 | -19.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 23 | 27 | 25 | 94 | |
| 20 | 23 | 18 | 26 | 87 |
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