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Tirana W vs Penza W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-59
16-14 21-15 23-11 18-19
Position#3
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.2
Tirana W 🏆
vs
Penza W
Position#4
Record4-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeLiga Unike WomenLiga Unike Women - 3rd place· Pallati i Sportit Asllan Rusi
Women2023-24
Meetings · Tirana W v Penza W
02 Apr 2024
TIRA78
PENZ59
23 Jan 2024
TIRA86
PENZ67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penza W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tirana WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Flamurtari W
#5
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A30/01
Liga Unike Women
Partizani W
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 57
H06/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
40-83
40
83
-43
23avg 57
A13/02
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
56-71
56
71
-15
42avg 57
H20/02
Liga Unike Women
Penza W
#4
L
68-89
68
89
-21
52avg 57
A27/02
Liga Unike Women
Flamurtari W
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
47avg 57
H05/03
Liga Unike Women
Partizani W
#6
W
78-65
78
65
+13
80avg 57
A12/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 57
H19/03
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
61avg 57
A26/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
54-73
54
73
-19
38avg 57
A01/04
Liga Unike Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
23-19
16-21
22-11
27-31
13-22
10-24
11-16
6-21
10-24
18-13
16-15
12-19
14-23
24-25
13-18
17-23
20-12
11-21
19-15
12-11
14-14
23-16
26-16
15-19
25-23
17-19
12-22
14-21
21-11
17-32
24-11
12-22
16-13
14-18
16-16
8-26
140.0Avg total
65.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.074.2141.2-7.236%
Season at home (5)72.072.8144.8-0.860%
Season away (6)62.875.3138.2-12.517%
Last 10 (10)65.174.9140.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)67.271.6138.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.477.6136.0-19.20%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.870.2140.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (2)83.073.5156.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Penza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penza WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Trepca W
#5
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H24/02
Superliga Women
Tirana W
#3
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 54
H27/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
47avg 54
A01/03
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 54
H05/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
48avg 54
A08/03
Superliga Women
Flamurtari W
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
72avg 54
A12/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
33avg 54
H15/03
Superliga Women
Partizani W
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 54
H19/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
53-96
53
96
-43
44avg 54
A27/03
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
57-74
57
74
-17
42avg 54
A01/04
Liga Unike Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
18-19
23-17
25-24
23-14
25-24
18-13
23-17
17-11
15-27
14-28
18-22
22-25
15-20
19-17
17-17
25-34
8-12
11-17
16-20
20-28
19-15
23-15
19-16
9-19
15-23
17-19
12-16
27-10
17-28
21-11
17-27
12-17
14-32
12-21
15-26
9-19
12-14
20-21
16-20
148.7Avg total
69.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.379.1152.4-5.836%
Season at home (5)78.276.6154.8+1.640%
Season away (6)69.281.2150.3-12.033%
Last 10 (10)69.479.3148.7-9.940%
Last 5 (5)65.279.4144.6-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)65.981.1147.0-15.214%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.079.0160.0+2.067%
vs Weaker (3)71.050.3121.3+20.7100%
This opponent (Tirana W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
Tirana WPenza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tirana WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizani W
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/02
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/02
Liga Unike Women
Penza W
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/02
Liga Unike Women
Flamurtari W
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/03
Liga Unike Women
Partizani W
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/03
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A26/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A01/04
Liga Unike Women
72.9Avg total
34.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)35.237.772.9-2.520%-
Last 30 at home (5)37.235.873.0+1.420%-
Last 30 away (5)33.239.672.8-6.420%-
Last 10 (9)34.038.972.9-4.911%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.871.4-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.239.872.0-7.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.336.074.3+2.333%-
vs Weaker (2)38.035.073.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Penza W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca W
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/02
Superliga Women
Tirana W
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H27/02
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/03
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/03
Superliga Women
Flamurtari W
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A12/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H15/03
Superliga Women
Partizani W
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/03
Liga Unike Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A27/03
Liga Unike Women
Prishtina W
#2
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A01/04
Liga Unike Women
74.7Avg total
33.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.439.272.6-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.138.571.6-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)33.739.973.6-6.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.974.7-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.841.071.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)31.040.871.7-9.819%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)36.725.061.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Tirana W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tirana Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana W: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
62%
24%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.921.0
46.8%
45.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.8%
28.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws11.58.0
69.6%
66.4%8.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penza W: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
62%
24%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.218.6
43.1%
45.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.7
28.1%
28.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
66.4%14.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana W
LLLWWLLLWL
Penza W
LLWLWLLLWW
#3
League position
#4
-9.3
Net rating
-10.6
87.6
Offensive rating
81.1
96.9
Defensive rating
91.7
45.1%
Effective FG%
42.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
24.8%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.8%
3-point %
28.1%
65.9%
Assist %
55.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.6 · 81.1Defence96.9 · 91.7Shooting45.1% · 42.8%3-point %27.8% · 28.1%Ball care17.8% · 24.8%Off. rebounds19.3% · 23.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Tirana W   ■ Penza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tirana W wins
1
Penza W wins
DateGameScore
27/02/24Penza W v Tirana W89-68
23/01/24Tirana W v Penza W86-67
Tirana Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24ABashkimi W54-73
26/03/24APrishtina W74-76
19/03/24HBashkimi W68-85
12/03/24APartizani W78-65
05/03/24HFlamurtari W62-59
27/02/24APenza W68-89
20/02/24HPrishtina W56-71
13/02/24ABashkimi W40-83
06/02/24HPartizani W88-82
30/01/24AFlamurtari W63-66
Penza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24APrishtina W57-74
27/03/24ABashkimi W53-96
19/03/24HPartizani W82-76
15/03/24HBashkimi W53-77
12/03/24AFlamurtari W81-74
08/03/24ABashkimi W60-83
05/03/24HPrishtina W73-79
01/03/24ABashkimi W64-88
27/02/24HTirana W89-68
24/02/24HTrepca W82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana W
Liga Unike Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game67.072.062.8
Allowed / game74.272.875.3
Point differential-7.2-0.8-12.5
Avg total141.2144.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penza W
Liga Unike Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game73.378.269.2
Allowed / game79.176.681.2
Point differential-5.8+1.6-12.0
Avg total152.4154.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bashkimi W11110100%78.057.2+20.8
2 Prishtina W119282%70.262.5+7.6
3 Penza W114736%73.379.1-5.8
4 Tirana W114736%67.074.2-7.2
5 Flamurtari W102820%62.670.3-7.7
6 Partizani W102820%65.274.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana W1621231878
Penza W1415111959
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