TMU vs Carleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 69-76

15-24 11-20 22-15 21-17

Position#3

Record10-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.6

Allowed / game55.8

TMU

Carleton 🏆

Position#1

Record10-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.6

Allowed / game54.6

U Sports

Other2018-19

Meetings · TMU v Carleton

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TMU winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Carleton winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TMU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toronto

#36

103-51

103

+52

H27/10

U Sports

Guelph

#27

96-59

+37

H01/11

U Sports

Algoma

#42

102-56

102

+46

H03/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#45

80-56

+24

A10/11

U Sports

Laurier

97-52

+45

A11/11

U Sports

McMaster

#25

102-70

102

+32

A17/11

U Sports

Brock

71-62

A18/11

U Sports

Windsor

#37

94-38

+56

H24/11

U Sports

Western

#14

84-46

+38

H25/11

U Sports

Lakehead

#30

77-68

A01/12

U Sports

30-7

29-9

22-17

22-18

27-10

17-17

31-15

21-17

41-5

14-17

26-18

21-16

19-14

29-9

16-14

16-19

27-17

22-11

27-12

21-12

30-21

26-18

23-18

23-13

11-27

11-11

23-14

26-10

22-12

30-6

20-10

22-10

27-7

24-12

19-14

14-13

21-12

17-20

18-21

21-15

146.4Avg total

90.6Scored

55.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	90.6	55.8	146.4	+34.8	100%
Season at home (5)	95.8	50.0	145.8	+45.8	100%
Season away (5)	85.4	61.6	147.0	+23.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.6	55.8	146.4	+34.8	100%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	56.8	142.4	+28.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	73.9	76.7	150.6	-2.9	43%
vs Similar (5)	80.8	80.8	161.6	+0.0	60%
vs Weaker (18)	90.0	63.8	153.8	+26.2	100%

This opponent (Carleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Carleton

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

University of Ottawa

#12

87-69

+18

A27/10

U Sports

Laurier

80-77

H03/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#45

84-41

+43

H04/11

U Sports

Western

#14

82-51

+31

A10/11

U Sports

Windsor

#37

103-56

103

+47

A11/11

U Sports

Lakehead

#30

112-45

112

+67

H18/11

U Sports

Brock

86-46

+40

H24/11

U Sports

McMaster

#25

115-62

115

+53

H25/11

U Sports

Algoma

#42

77-60

+17

A01/12

U Sports

Guelph

#27

90-39

+51

A02/12

U Sports

25-11

21-18

19-16

22-24

18-13

23-21

16-29

23-14

24-7

18-13

21-14

21-7

23-21

21-10

19-2

19-18

22-12

25-19

37-13

19-12

25-8

26-5

28-7

33-25

21-13

27-5

26-22

12-6

27-16

28-14

32-10

28-22

24-17

19-16

16-16

18-11

21-7

29-9

23-14

17-9

146.2Avg total

91.6Scored

54.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	91.6	54.6	146.2	+37.0	100%
Season at home (5)	95.4	54.2	149.6	+41.2	100%
Season away (5)	87.8	55.0	142.8	+32.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.6	54.6	146.2	+37.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	50.4	146.4	+45.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	87.9	60.9	148.7	+27.0	97%

This opponent (TMU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TMUCarleton

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	15.5	37.3	+6.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	13.7	37.6	+10.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	13.2	38.7	+12.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	15.8	38.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.6	13.1	36.6	+10.5	94%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	12.9	34.2	+8.4	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	13.1	33.8	+7.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	12.7	34.6	+9.1	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	12.5	35.5	+10.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	12.2	35.8	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.3	12.9	34.2	+8.4	87%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.4	37.9	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	13.0	34.9	+8.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	13.4	35.0	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.9	19.6	35.4	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	17.4	38.4	+3.5	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	15.0	37.6	+7.6	87%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	13.8	37.1	+9.4	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	16.4	38.3	+5.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	13.0	36.7	+10.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	9.8	35.6	+16.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.6	15.0	37.6	+7.6	87%	-

TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toronto

#36

59-16

+43

H27/10

U Sports

Guelph

#27

44-27

+17

H01/11

U Sports

Algoma

#42

55-22

+33

H03/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#45

48-23

+25

A10/11

U Sports

Laurier

49-28

+21

A11/11

U Sports

McMaster

#25

56-39

+17

A17/11

U Sports

Brock

22-38

-16

A18/11

U Sports

Windsor

#37

52-18

+34

H24/11

U Sports

Western

#14

51-19

+32

H25/11

U Sports

Lakehead

#30

38-32

A01/12

U Sports

73.6Avg total

47.4Scored

26.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	33.8	75.2	+7.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.5	32.1	75.6	+11.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	35.2	74.9	+4.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	26.2	73.6	+21.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	29.2	73.0	+14.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	35.3	39.4	74.7	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.5	30.5	75.0	+14.0	83%	-

This opponent (Carleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

University of Ottawa

#12

46-29

+17

A27/10

U Sports

Laurier

41-34

H03/11

U Sports

Waterloo

#45

42-20

+22

H04/11

U Sports

Western

#14

44-31

+13

A10/11

U Sports

Windsor

#37

47-31

+16

A11/11

U Sports

Lakehead

#30

51-13

+38

H18/11

U Sports

Brock

48-18

+30

H24/11

U Sports

McMaster

#25

55-30

+25

H25/11

U Sports

Algoma

#42

43-33

+10

A01/12

U Sports

Guelph

#27

50-16

+34

A02/12

U Sports

72.2Avg total

46.7Scored

25.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	27.9	71.8	+16.0	93%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	26.9	70.9	+17.1	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	29.1	72.9	+14.7	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	25.5	72.2	+21.2	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	22.0	71.4	+27.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	43.9	27.9	71.8	+16.0	93%	-

This opponent (TMU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.5	38.1	+3.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	17.1	39.5	+5.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	15.3	37.8	+7.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	71%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.6	16.8	39.3	+5.8	89%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	15.7	37.8	+6.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	16.6	39.9	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	14.8	35.4	+5.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	14.3	38.0	+9.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	13.8	38.8	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.0	15.7	37.8	+6.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	15.8	37.9	+6.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	14.3	35.0	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	12.2	33.4	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	57%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.9	16.5	39.4	+6.4	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.3	39.1	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	16.5	37.6	+4.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.6	36.2	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.5	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	35.4	78.0	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.5	32.9	77.4	+11.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	37.6	78.6	+3.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	29.6	72.8	+13.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	27.6	69.4	+14.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.6	37.3	75.9	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	45.5	33.3	78.8	+12.2	94%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	32.7	76.2	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	33.9	78.9	+11.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	31.3	73.0	+10.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	29.1	74.0	+15.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	28.4	75.0	+18.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	43.5	32.7	76.2	+10.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

TMU wins

Carleton wins

Date	Game	Score
10/03/18	Carleton v TMU	76-84
04/03/18	Carleton v TMU	84-58
28/01/18	TMU v Carleton	61-84
06/01/18	Carleton v TMU	89-80
12/03/17	Carleton v TMU	78-69
05/03/17	Carleton v TMU	79-86
18/02/17	Carleton v TMU	82-77
23/01/16	TMU v Carleton	79-61
30/11/14	Carleton v TMU	91-73

TMUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/18	A	Lakehead	77-68
25/11/18	H	Western	84-46
24/11/18	H	Windsor	94-38
18/11/18	A	Brock	71-62
17/11/18	A	McMaster	102-70
11/11/18	A	Laurier	97-52
10/11/18	A	Waterloo	80-56
03/11/18	H	Algoma	102-56
01/11/18	H	Guelph	96-59
27/10/18	H	Toronto	103-51

Carletonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/18	A	Guelph	90-39
01/12/18	A	Algoma	77-60
25/11/18	H	McMaster	115-62
24/11/18	H	Brock	86-46
18/11/18	H	Lakehead	112-45
11/11/18	A	Windsor	103-56
10/11/18	A	Western	82-51
04/11/18	H	Waterloo	84-41
03/11/18	H	Laurier	80-77
27/10/18	A	University of Ottawa	87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TMU

U Sports 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	90.6	95.8	85.4
Allowed / game	55.8	50.0	61.6
Point differential	+34.8	+45.8	+23.8
Avg total	146.4	145.8	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	100%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Carleton

U Sports 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.6	95.4	87.8
Allowed / game	54.6	54.2	55.0
Point differential	+37.0	+41.2	+32.8
Avg total	146.2	149.6	142.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	90%	80%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	10	10	0	100%	91.6	54.6	+37.0
2	TMU	10	10	0	100%	90.6	55.8	+34.8
3	Calgary	13	13	0	100%	89.1	69.7	+19.4
4	Saint Marys	7	7	0	100%	84.7	70.1	+14.6
5	UBC	11	10	1	91%	93.5	73.3	+20.2
6	University of Ottawa	10	8	2	80%	84.1	71.9	+12.2
7	Concordia	5	4	1	80%	83.6	76.6	+7.0
8	Alberta	11	8	3	73%	85.4	71.7	+13.6
9	Regina	11	8	3	73%	84.5	78.3	+6.3
10	UNB	7	5	2	71%	87.6	82.0	+5.6
11	Winnipeg	13	9	4	69%	94.0	86.3	+7.7
12	UFV	13	9	4	69%	78.6	74.6	+4.0
13	Western	12	8	4	67%	70.5	73.7	-3.2
14	UNBC	11	7	4	64%	84.5	80.6	+3.9
15	Queens	11	7	4	64%	76.2	72.6	+3.5
16	Laurier	11	7	4	64%	79.8	77.8	+2.0
17	McGill	5	3	2	60%	69.4	67.8	+1.6
18	Brock	12	7	5	58%	83.2	76.8	+6.4
19	Dalhousie	7	4	3	57%	79.9	74.9	+5.0
20	Saskatchewan	13	7	6	54%	87.9	86.6	+1.3
21	Bishop's	6	3	3	50%	77.7	80.7	-3.0
22	Mount Royal	13	6	7	46%	81.2	84.5	-3.4
23	Lethbridge	11	5	6	45%	91.0	81.0	+10.0
24	Laurentian	11	5	6	45%	84.5	83.5	+1.0
25	York	11	5	6	45%	85.2	87.0	-1.8
26	Cape Breton	7	3	4	43%	81.1	83.9	-2.7
27	StFX	7	3	4	43%	83.7	88.3	-4.6
28	UPEI	7	3	4	43%	71.7	80.7	-9.0
29	McMaster	12	5	7	42%	79.2	84.8	-5.6
30	UQAM	5	2	3	40%	73.0	71.4	+1.6
31	Toronto	10	4	6	40%	74.5	85.5	-11.0
32	UBC Okanagan	13	5	8	38%	70.8	89.1	-18.2
33	Victoria	11	4	7	36%	75.4	78.9	-3.5
34	Thompson Rivers	11	4	7	36%	75.5	81.8	-6.3
35	Guelph	11	4	7	36%	78.3	87.4	-9.1
36	Memorial	7	2	5	29%	77.3	79.1	-1.9
37	Manitoba	11	3	8	27%	76.5	82.7	-6.2
38	Algoma	11	3	8	27%	73.5	83.9	-10.4
39	Waterloo	11	3	8	27%	73.0	85.6	-12.6
40	Windsor	11	3	8	27%	62.9	80.5	-17.5
41	Laval	5	1	4	20%	71.4	78.0	-6.6
42	Nipissing	11	2	9	18%	73.7	79.1	-5.4
43	Brandon	11	2	9	18%	81.7	92.0	-10.3
44	Lakehead	11	2	9	18%	72.6	86.2	-13.5
45	Acadia	7	1	6	14%	76.7	83.7	-7.0
46	Trinity Western	11	0	11	0%	74.6	92.3	-17.6
47	MacEwan	12	0	12	0%	70.5	91.4	-20.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
TMU	15	11	22	21	69
Carleton	24	20	15	17	76

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TMU vs Carleton Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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