TMU vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 116-95

38-26 28-14 27-21 23-34

Position#10

Record10-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game73.9

TMU 🏆

McMaster

Position#21

Record10-6

FormWLLLW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game81.1

U Sports

Other2019-20

Meetings · TMU v McMaster

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TMU winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

McMaster winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TMU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ontario Univ.

#48

99-54

+45

A21/11

U Sports

Queens

#17

73-82

-9

A24/11

U Sports

Toronto

#38

73-80

-7

H28/11

U Sports

Laurier

#24

77-62

+15

A30/11

U Sports

McMaster

#21

98-90

A09/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

87-82

H11/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

95-74

+21

A16/01

U Sports

Toronto

#38

94-73

+21

A19/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

91-67

+24

H25/01

U Sports

Carleton

82-88

-6

H26/01

U Sports

24-6

26-9

31-25

18-14

21-19

20-21

22-21

10-21

15-18

21-20

18-18

19-24

16-10

21-18

22-14

18-20

23-26

22-20

30-19

23-25

20-16

34-15

17-31

16-20

29-14

18-17

33-22

15-21

20-16

28-22

24-24

22-11

23-26

16-6

27-15

25-20

16-19

27-27

14-21

25-21

162.1Avg total

86.9Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	83.4	73.9	157.2	+9.5	62%
Season at home (8)	80.4	77.1	157.5	+3.2	50%
Season away (8)	86.4	70.6	157.0	+15.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	75.2	162.1	+11.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	76.8	166.6	+13.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	81.0	154.7	-7.3	33%
vs Similar (1)	65.0	67.0	132.0	-2.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	84.5	70.7	155.2	+13.8	77%

This opponent (McMaster) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

McMaster

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Laurentian

#11

85-97

-12

A23/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#34

90-86

A24/11

U Sports

Brock

#23

81-64

+17

H30/11

U Sports

Toronto

#38

88-82

A30/11

U Sports

TMU

#10

90-98

-8

H09/01

U Sports

York

#43

83-82

A12/01

U Sports

Windsor

#27

86-90

-4

H16/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

79-84

-5

H18/01

U Sports

Queens

#17

95-97

-2

H25/01

U Sports

Ontario Univ.

#48

102-55

102

+47

H26/01

U Sports

19-16

16-29

21-24

29-28

26-16

22-22

23-24

19-24

21-19

16-12

28-19

16-14

33-26

17-17

14-21

24-18

26-23

20-22

19-30

25-23

10-14

26-21

21-29

26-18

17-19

18-20

25-30

26-21

22-21

17-16

22-25

18-22

22-16

23-25

28-34

22-22

24-15

24-13

28-13

26-14

171.4Avg total

87.9Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	87.5	81.1	168.6	+6.4	62%
Season at home (9)	88.1	77.0	165.1	+11.1	56%
Season away (7)	86.7	86.4	173.1	+0.3	71%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	83.5	171.4	+4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	81.6	170.6	+7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	86.1	92.2	178.4	-6.1	12%
vs Similar (11)	83.2	81.3	164.5	+1.9	55%
vs Weaker (11)	88.1	74.6	162.7	+13.5	91%

This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TMUMcMaster

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	16.1	36.2	+4.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	16.3	36.6	+3.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	18.0	32.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.8	15.5	36.4	+5.3	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.1	71%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.7	17.8	39.5	+3.9	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.5	40.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.4	42.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	10.0	18.0	28.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	23.0	40.9	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	17.4	40.0	+5.2	70%	-

TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ontario Univ.

#48

50-15

+35

A21/11

U Sports

Queens

#17

41-40

A24/11

U Sports

Toronto

#38

36-38

-2

H28/11

U Sports

Laurier

#24

37-28

A30/11

U Sports

McMaster

#21

45-46

-1

A09/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

54-31

+23

H11/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

47-31

+16

A16/01

U Sports

Toronto

#38

48-38

+10

A19/01

U Sports

University of Ottawa

39-32

H25/01

U Sports

Carleton

43-46

-3

H26/01

U Sports

78.5Avg total

44.0Scored

34.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.2	34.1	75.3	+7.1	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.4	33.3	74.7	+8.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	34.8	75.9	+6.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	34.5	78.5	+9.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	35.6	81.8	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	42.0	78.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	42.5	33.0	75.5	+9.5	75%	-

This opponent (McMaster) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Laurentian

#11

35-45

-10

A23/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#34

48-38

+10

A24/11

U Sports

Brock

#23

37-31

H30/11

U Sports

Toronto

#38

50-43

A30/11

U Sports

TMU

#10

46-45

H09/01

U Sports

York

#43

36-35

A12/01

U Sports

Windsor

#27

35-39

-4

H16/01

U Sports

West. Ontario Univ.

#13

39-37

H18/01

U Sports

Queens

#17

45-41

H25/01

U Sports

Ontario Univ.

#48

48-28

+20

H26/01

U Sports

80.1Avg total

41.9Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.5	38.4	79.9	+3.1	68%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	37.1	78.2	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.1	40.2	82.2	+1.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.2	80.1	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.0	76.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	40.1	44.1	84.3	-4.0	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.8	37.7	77.5	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.3	35.2	79.5	+9.1	90%	-

This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.2	38.5	+2.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.1	44.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	19.0	35.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.5	19.8	42.4	+2.7	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	24.9	47.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	26.2	51.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.7	36.7	+1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	11.0	32.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.9	20.2	44.1	+3.8	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.4	20.3	43.6	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.2	37.7	78.9	+3.5	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.0	36.5	76.5	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	38.7	80.9	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	41.0	31.0	72.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	41.7	37.8	79.5	+3.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	43.8	42.3	86.0	+1.5	54%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	42.6	85.6	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.7	41.9	86.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	45.3	91.3	+0.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	45.6	94.0	+2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	42.9	45.6	88.4	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.4	43.5	86.9	-0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.8	38.6	83.4	+6.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

TMU wins

McMaster wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/20	McMaster v TMU	90-98
17/11/18	McMaster v TMU	70-102
11/11/17	TMU v McMaster	72-69
26/01/17	TMU v McMaster	99-77
12/11/15	McMaster v TMU	69-84
10/01/15	TMU v McMaster	98-78

TMUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	H	Carleton	82-88
25/01/20	H	University of Ottawa	91-67
19/01/20	A	Toronto	94-73
16/01/20	A	Waterloo	95-74
11/01/20	H	West. Ontario Univ.	87-82
09/01/20	A	McMaster	98-90
30/11/19	A	Laurier	77-62
28/11/19	H	Toronto	73-80
24/11/19	A	Queens	73-82
21/11/19	A	Ontario Univ.	99-54

McMasterlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	H	Ontario Univ.	102-55
25/01/20	H	Queens	95-97
18/01/20	H	West. Ontario Univ.	79-84
16/01/20	H	Windsor	86-90
12/01/20	A	York	83-82
09/01/20	H	TMU	90-98
30/11/19	A	Toronto	88-82
30/11/19	H	Brock	81-64
24/11/19	A	Nipissing	90-86
23/11/19	A	Laurentian	85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TMU

U Sports 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	62%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	50%	75%
Points / game	83.4	80.4	86.4
Allowed / game	73.9	77.1	70.6
Point differential	+9.5	+3.2	+15.8
Avg total	157.2	157.5	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	25%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

McMaster

U Sports 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	62%
Home	LLLLW	56%
Away	WLWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	62%	56%	71%
Points / game	87.5	88.1	86.7
Allowed / game	81.1	77.0	86.4
Point differential	+6.4	+11.1	+0.3
Avg total	168.6	165.1	173.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	25% (4)	80% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	17	17	0	100%	96.8	63.5	+33.4
2	Calgary	16	16	0	100%	90.1	68.5	+21.6
3	Alberta	16	15	1	94%	92.2	71.1	+21.1
4	Manitoba	16	15	1	94%	86.8	78.6	+8.2
5	Dalhousie	14	13	1	93%	87.6	62.1	+25.5
6	Victoria	16	13	3	81%	80.9	68.5	+12.4
7	Lakehead	16	13	3	81%	82.8	74.9	+7.8
8	UBC	18	14	4	78%	93.4	77.2	+16.2
9	University of Ottawa	17	13	4	76%	85.2	70.4	+14.8
10	West. Ontario Univ.	17	13	4	76%	87.5	76.6	+10.9
11	Laurentian	16	11	5	69%	80.3	75.0	+5.3
12	Saskatchewan	16	11	5	69%	83.9	80.6	+3.3
13	McGill	12	8	4	67%	83.1	77.2	+5.8
14	Concordia	9	6	3	67%	75.7	74.3	+1.3
15	UNB	14	9	5	64%	81.9	76.7	+5.2
16	TMU	16	10	6	62%	83.4	73.9	+9.5
17	McMaster	16	10	6	62%	87.5	81.1	+6.4
18	UFV	16	10	6	62%	85.8	79.6	+6.1
19	Queens	16	10	6	62%	83.2	79.0	+4.2
20	Brock	16	9	7	56%	78.2	72.2	+6.0
21	Thompson Rivers	16	9	7	56%	80.1	75.4	+4.7
22	StFX	13	7	6	54%	78.8	84.9	-6.2
23	Winnipeg	16	8	8	50%	76.8	75.9	+0.8
24	Windsor	16	8	8	50%	83.0	82.9	+0.1
25	Laurier	17	8	9	47%	77.1	74.4	+2.7
26	Cape Breton	13	6	7	46%	75.4	80.0	-4.6
27	UQAM	11	5	6	45%	76.7	77.1	-0.4
28	Bishop's	9	4	5	44%	80.1	81.6	-1.4
29	Regina	16	7	9	44%	85.1	83.1	+2.0
30	Guelph	16	7	9	44%	80.4	82.4	-2.1
31	Memorial	14	6	8	43%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
32	Saint Marys	13	5	8	38%	75.8	82.5	-6.7
33	Acadia	14	5	9	36%	79.9	84.6	-4.7
34	Lethbridge	16	5	11	31%	90.5	94.6	-4.1
35	Toronto	16	4	12	25%	75.9	84.4	-8.5
36	Waterloo	16	4	12	25%	74.2	85.3	-11.1
37	Nipissing	16	4	12	25%	68.8	84.6	-15.9
38	UPEI	13	3	10	23%	72.8	81.5	-8.6
39	Laval	9	2	7	22%	78.9	86.1	-7.2
40	Brandon	16	3	13	19%	76.2	83.4	-7.2
41	UNBC	16	3	13	19%	74.5	85.9	-11.4
42	Mount Royal	16	3	13	19%	81.1	95.1	-14.0
43	UBC Okanagan	18	3	15	17%	66.7	91.8	-25.1
44	York	16	2	14	12%	72.9	88.6	-15.8
45	Trinity Western	16	2	14	12%	86.1	102.8	-16.7
46	Algoma	16	2	14	12%	66.4	87.6	-21.1
47	MacEwan	16	1	15	6%	74.0	90.7	-16.7
48	Ontario Univ.	16	1	15	6%	64.2	94.8	-30.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
TMU	38	28	27	23	116
McMaster	26	14	21	34	95

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TMU vs McMaster Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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