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TMU vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-74
20-12 14-16 13-25 20-21
Position#18
Record13-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#22
Record12-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.5
CanadaU Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · TMU v McMaster
21 Feb 2024
TMU67
MCMA74
08 Nov 2023
TMU87
MCMA66
22 Feb 2023
TMU104
MCMA92
11 Feb 2023
TMU83
MCMA78
29 Jan 2020
TMU116
MCMA95
10 Nov 2017
TMU72
MCMA69
25 Jan 2017
TMU99
MCMA77
10 Jan 2015
TMU98
MCMA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TMU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McMaster winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TMUCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West. Ontario Univ.
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A14/01
U Sports
Queens
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H20/01
U Sports
Guelph
#41
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/01
U Sports
Algoma
#47
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A27/01
U Sports
Nipissing
#43
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H03/02
U Sports
Laurentian
#46
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H04/02
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#3
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A10/02
U Sports
Carleton
#19
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A11/02
U Sports
York
#27
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H15/02
U Sports
York
#27
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A18/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
31-21
20-25
23-31
22-21
27-22
8-26
16-13
20-23
18-18
22-16
20-19
17-11
13-24
29-15
11-21
25-10
23-17
24-15
24-20
19-15
21-10
18-14
42-19
14-13
15-29
9-16
14-11
13-16
17-19
11-19
15-23
24-27
22-22
34-12
14-29
10-24
18-16
22-13
16-9
152.6Avg total
78.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.475.4156.8+6.059%
Season at home (11)85.077.8162.8+7.255%
Season away (11)77.773.0150.7+4.764%
Last 10 (10)78.773.9152.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)73.671.2144.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.774.7140.3-9.00%
vs Similar (10)81.581.4162.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.072.6156.6+11.476%
This opponent (McMaster) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A14/01
U Sports
Guelph
#41
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H18/01
U Sports
York
#27
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A21/01
U Sports
Nipissing
#43
W
104-74
104
74
+30
A27/01
U Sports
Laurentian
#46
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A28/01
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A04/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A10/02
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H11/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
H17/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H18/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
16-23
16-26
21-15
15-22
21-19
22-25
26-24
17-15
22-27
19-16
25-17
29-17
25-21
27-18
23-18
17-21
19-18
13-16
32-16
19-14
26-15
24-11
17-25
11-16
9-17
21-8
10-23
15-23
16-23
19-17
16-18
14-17
14-17
31-23
22-24
21-15
21-24
21-16
18-21
156.7Avg total
79.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.876.5154.3+1.455%
Season at home (11)77.377.4154.6-0.155%
Season away (11)78.475.5153.9+2.855%
Last 10 (10)79.677.1156.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)74.475.2149.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.984.5162.4-6.620%
vs Similar (13)78.576.0154.5+2.569%
vs Weaker (7)80.371.1151.4+9.171%
This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
TMUMcMaster
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West. Ontario Univ.
#5
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A14/01
U Sports
Queens
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/01
U Sports
Guelph
#41
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/01
U Sports
Algoma
#47
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A27/01
U Sports
Nipissing
#43
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H03/02
U Sports
Laurentian
#46
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/02
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A10/02
U Sports
Carleton
#19
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A11/02
U Sports
York
#27
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H15/02
U Sports
York
#27
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A18/02
U Sports
76.8Avg total
39.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.879.5+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.481.8+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.337.277.5+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.376.8+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.272.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.743.083.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)45.037.982.9+7.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.036.876.8+3.253%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ontario Univ.
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/01
U Sports
Guelph
#41
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
U Sports
York
#27
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/01
U Sports
Nipissing
#43
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A27/01
U Sports
Laurentian
#46
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/01
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A04/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#37
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A10/02
U Sports
Brock
#25
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H11/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H17/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#32
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/02
U Sports
75.1Avg total
36.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.177.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.177.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.177.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.575.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.269.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.841.080.8-1.240%-
vs Similar (13)39.536.576.0+3.162%-
vs Weaker (7)38.737.075.7+1.743%-
This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
TMU wins
1
McMaster wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23McMaster v TMU68-81
09/11/23TMU v McMaster87-66
23/02/23TMU v McMaster104-92
12/02/23TMU v McMaster83-78
19/11/22McMaster v TMU75-68
30/01/20TMU v McMaster116-95
09/01/20McMaster v TMU90-98
17/11/18McMaster v TMU70-102
11/11/17TMU v McMaster72-69
26/01/17TMU v McMaster99-77
TMUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AYork66-62
15/02/24HYork94-90
11/02/24ACarleton56-77
10/02/24AUniversity of Ottawa52-69
04/02/24HLaurentian100-58
03/02/24HNipissing96-62
27/01/24AAlgoma70-71
21/01/24AGuelph80-76
20/01/24HQueens73-82
14/01/24AWest. Ontario Univ.100-92
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HLakehead81-76
17/02/24HLakehead88-90 OT
11/02/24HBrock66-81
10/02/24AWaterloo51-64
04/02/24AAlgoma86-65
28/01/24ALaurentian81-71
27/01/24ANipissing104-74
21/01/24AYork83-75
18/01/24HGuelph84-90
14/01/24AOntario Univ.72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TMU
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%55%64%
Points / game81.485.077.7
Allowed / game75.477.873.0
Point differential+6.0+7.2+4.7
Avg total156.8162.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
McMaster
U Sports 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%55%55%
Points / game77.877.378.4
Allowed / game76.577.475.5
Point differential+1.4-0.1+2.8
Avg total154.3154.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%18%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens2219386%86.971.4+15.5
2 University of Ottawa2219386%79.567.0+12.5
3 Victoria2017385%92.073.3+18.6
4 Winnipeg2015575%81.572.5+9.1
5 Calgary2015575%89.784.7+5.0
6 Concordia1511473%75.973.1+2.9
7 West. Ontario Univ.2216673%90.581.7+8.7
8 Ontario Univ.2216673%77.675.4+2.2
9 Alberta2115671%81.870.9+10.9
10 UQAM1410471%78.370.1+8.2
11 UBC2014670%84.877.6+7.2
12 Laurier2315865%80.976.3+4.6
13 Manitoba2013765%83.078.0+5.1
14 Toronto2214864%85.679.2+6.4
15 Brandon2113862%81.378.8+2.5
16 Regina2113862%71.571.4+0.1
17 StFX2012860%78.879.3-0.6
18 TMU2213959%81.475.4+6.0
19 Carleton2213959%78.874.4+4.4
20 Dalhousie2011955%80.678.4+2.2
21 Saint Marys2011955%79.283.2-4.0
22 McMaster22121055%77.876.5+1.4
23 Bishop's158753%80.575.8+4.7
24 Saskatchewan21111052%71.874.2-2.4
25 UNB20101050%79.978.5+1.4
26 Brock22111150%75.674.3+1.3
27 Memorial20101050%81.581.6-0.1
28 York23111248%80.082.3-2.2
29 Lakehead22101245%83.583.7-0.2
30 UNBC2091145%78.277.4+0.8
31 Cape Breton2091145%85.886.0-0.1
32 UPEI2091145%76.877.9-1.1
33 UFV2191243%78.879.5-0.7
34 Acadia2081240%85.282.8+2.4
35 Mount Royal2181338%81.085.5-4.5
36 Waterloo2281436%65.773.3-7.6
37 Laval1551033%70.770.4+0.3
38 Thompson Rivers2061430%71.276.3-5.2
39 UBC Okanagan2061430%76.584.8-8.3
40 Trinity Western2051525%77.787.1-9.4
41 Guelph2251723%82.286.5-4.2
42 Windsor2251723%73.479.8-6.4
43 Nipissing2251723%71.084.3-13.3
44 Lethbridge2041620%77.084.3-7.3
45 McGill1531220%62.978.4-15.5
46 Laurentian2241818%65.878.2-12.4
47 Algoma2231914%67.584.1-16.6
48 MacEwan200200%65.086.7-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
TMU2014132067
McMaster1216252174
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