TMU vs Toronto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 87-73

23-10 20-27 23-21 21-15

Position#2

Record15-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game65.1

TMU 🏆

Toronto

Position#17

Record11-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game74.7

U Sports

Other2016-17

Meetings · TMU v Toronto

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TMU winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Toronto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TMU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#23

84-64

+20

H03/12

U Sports

Lakehead

#40

88-64

+24

H07/01

U Sports

Guelph

#37

98-76

+22

H08/01

U Sports

Queens

#36

101-77

101

+24

A14/01

U Sports

York

#42

69-52

+17

A15/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

100-68

100

+32

A21/01

U Sports

McMaster

#27

99-77

+22

H26/01

U Sports

Brock

65-74

-9

A28/01

U Sports

York

#42

79-53

+26

H02/02

U Sports

Queens

#36

70-59

+11

H04/02

U Sports

21-11

21-22

26-13

16-18

11-8

23-25

22-15

32-16

21-12

31-21

23-20

23-23

27-17

16-19

32-20

26-21

21-10

7-19

27-10

14-13

32-18

20-15

25-17

23-18

27-17

21-19

31-18

20-23

13-19

24-15

13-18

15-22

13-6

29-10

21-20

16-17

19-21

8-4

24-20

19-14

151.7Avg total

85.3Scored

66.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	89.2	65.1	154.2	+24.1	94%
Season at home (9)	89.4	66.0	155.4	+23.4	100%
Season away (7)	88.9	63.9	152.7	+25.0	86%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	66.4	151.7	+18.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	66.2	148.8	+16.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	94.3	93.0	187.3	+1.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	89.5	68.4	157.9	+21.1	93%

This opponent (Toronto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toronto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#23

84-86

-2

H01/12

U Sports

Western

#35

80-66

+14

H03/12

U Sports

Guelph

#37

77-66

+11

H07/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#40

74-64

+10

H08/01

U Sports

York

#42

68-79

-11

A13/01

U Sports

Queens

#36

75-71

A15/01

U Sports

Laurier

#28

80-91

-11

A21/01

U Sports

McMaster

#27

65-57

H28/01

U Sports

York

#42

79-58

+21

H03/02

U Sports

Queens

#36

85-77

H05/02

U Sports

29-23

12-14

22-21

21-28

20-10

19-19

24-13

17-24

11-8

17-27

25-9

24-22

20-21

14-10

19-23

21-10

13-19

14-29

24-18

17-13

24-17

13-18

17-22

21-14

12-18

23-21

25-23

20-29

17-13

13-10

15-17

20-17

18-15

12-16

26-8

23-19

20-23

19-11

27-22

19-21

148.2Avg total

76.7Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	78.6	74.7	153.3	+3.9	69%
Season at home (10)	78.8	72.3	151.1	+6.5	80%
Season away (6)	78.3	78.7	157.0	-0.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	71.5	148.2	+5.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	70.8	147.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	70.5	83.9	154.4	-13.4	12%
vs Similar (10)	78.3	75.7	154.0	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker (12)	79.1	73.7	152.8	+5.4	75%

This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TMUToronto

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.1	37.6	+5.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	15.5	38.3	+7.4	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	13.9	34.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.0	27.3	46.3	-8.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.8	14.8	36.6	+7.0	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.3	39.2	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	16.4	40.3	+7.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	12.6	33.0	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.9	17.3	39.1	+4.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	17.2	33.8	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	16.3	16.3	32.6	+0.0	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	17.5	33.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.2	31.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.4	14.6	31.0	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	16.1	18.9	35.0	-2.8	33%	-

TMULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#23

42-33

H03/12

U Sports

Lakehead

#40

34-33

H07/01

U Sports

Guelph

#37

52-33

+19

H08/01

U Sports

Queens

#36

43-36

A14/01

U Sports

York

#42

28-29

-1

A15/01

U Sports

Waterloo

#39

52-33

+19

A21/01

U Sports

McMaster

#27

48-36

+12

H26/01

U Sports

Brock

37-34

A28/01

U Sports

York

#42

42-16

+26

H02/02

U Sports

Queens

#36

27-25

H04/02

U Sports

71.3Avg total

40.5Scored

30.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	33.4	76.8	+10.1	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	33.1	77.2	+11.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	33.7	76.5	+9.1	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	30.8	71.3	+9.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	28.8	70.0	+12.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.3	45.0	86.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.7	32.1	75.8	+11.6	93%	-

This opponent (Toronto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TorontoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#23

41-37

H01/12

U Sports

Western

#35

39-29

+10

H03/12

U Sports

Guelph

#37

28-35

-7

H07/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#40

34-31

H08/01

U Sports

York

#42

27-48

-21

A13/01

U Sports

Queens

#36

37-35

A15/01

U Sports

Laurier

#28

35-39

-4

A21/01

U Sports

McMaster

#27

30-23

H28/01

U Sports

York

#42

30-31

-1

H03/02

U Sports

Queens

#36

39-34

H05/02

U Sports

68.2Avg total

34.0Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	35.8	71.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	35.8	34.1	69.8	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.5	38.3	73.8	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	34.2	68.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	32.4	66.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	34.1	37.5	71.6	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.8	32.8	70.6	+5.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	34.9	37.1	72.0	-2.2	33%	-

This opponent (TMU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	17.3	41.5	+6.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	19.4	44.1	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	15.3	38.8	+8.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	17.1	41.5	+7.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	24.7	47.0	-2.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.3	16.5	40.9	+7.8	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.8	24.5	41.2	-7.8	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.8	17.7	40.5	+5.2	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	19.5	42.3	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.1	40.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	24.3	19.7	44.0	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.9	40.7	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	23.5	42.8	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.2	18.2	38.3	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	37.1	83.0	+8.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.6	38.9	86.5	+8.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	35.3	79.5	+8.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	35.6	80.4	+9.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	46.7	44.3	91.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	45.8	36.3	82.1	+9.5	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.6	80.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.6	40.7	80.3	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.9	40.4	81.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	37.3	80.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	38.4	81.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.4	46.4	82.8	-10.0	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.7	41.7	81.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.0	35.8	78.8	+7.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

TMU wins

Toronto wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/16	Toronto v TMU	61-88
14/02/16	Toronto v TMU	79-94
05/11/15	TMU v Toronto	85-84
12/02/15	TMU v Toronto	104-68
08/01/15	Toronto v TMU	68-92

TMUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/17	H	Queens	70-59
02/02/17	H	York	79-53
28/01/17	A	Brock	65-74
26/01/17	H	McMaster	99-77
21/01/17	A	Waterloo	100-68
15/01/17	A	York	69-52
14/01/17	A	Queens	101-77
08/01/17	H	Guelph	98-76
07/01/17	H	Lakehead	88-64
03/12/16	H	Windsor	84-64

Torontolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/17	H	Queens	85-77
03/02/17	H	York	79-58
28/01/17	H	McMaster	65-57
21/01/17	A	Laurier	80-91
15/01/17	A	Queens	75-71
13/01/17	A	York	68-79
08/01/17	H	Lakehead	74-64
07/01/17	H	Guelph	77-66
03/12/16	H	Western	80-66
01/12/16	H	Windsor	84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TMU

U Sports 2016-17

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	94%	100%	86%
Points / game	89.2	89.4	88.9
Allowed / game	65.1	66.0	63.9
Point differential	+24.1	+23.4	+25.0
Avg total	154.2	155.4	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	94%	100%	86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Toronto

U Sports 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	10	6
Win %	69%	80%	50%
Points / game	78.6	78.8	78.3
Allowed / game	74.7	72.3	78.7
Point differential	+3.9	+6.5	-0.3
Avg total	153.3	151.1	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	60%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	15	15	0	100%	90.6	60.1	+30.5
2	UBC	18	17	1	94%	92.9	70.1	+22.8
3	TMU	16	15	1	94%	89.2	65.1	+24.1
4	University of Ottawa	15	13	2	87%	79.4	62.9	+16.5
5	Calgary	18	14	4	78%	88.9	75.0	+13.9
6	McGill	13	10	3	77%	75.2	61.8	+13.4
7	Dalhousie	17	13	4	76%	81.4	70.6	+10.8
8	Brock	16	12	4	75%	73.9	70.5	+3.4
9	Alberta	18	13	5	72%	81.0	72.1	+8.9
10	Toronto	16	11	5	69%	78.6	74.7	+3.9
11	Saskatchewan	18	12	6	67%	79.1	73.0	+6.1
12	Winnipeg	18	12	6	67%	82.7	78.2	+4.5
13	Lethbridge	18	12	6	67%	79.4	76.8	+2.7
14	Concordia	12	8	4	67%	66.8	65.5	+1.3
15	Saint Marys	16	10	6	62%	85.8	81.1	+4.7
16	UNB	16	10	6	62%	86.5	81.9	+4.6
17	Memorial	16	9	7	56%	81.8	83.2	-1.4
18	Manitoba	18	10	8	56%	84.0	80.2	+3.8
19	UQAM	13	7	6	54%	70.6	75.2	-4.6
20	Acadia	15	8	7	53%	88.1	84.9	+3.1
21	StFX	15	8	7	53%	86.7	84.9	+1.7
22	Windsor	17	9	8	53%	77.7	79.5	-1.8
23	UFV	18	9	9	50%	76.9	79.8	-2.9
24	Laurentian	17	8	9	47%	74.9	78.0	-3.1
25	Nipissing	17	8	9	47%	69.1	75.2	-6.1
26	Brandon	20	9	11	45%	76.5	83.9	-7.3
27	Mount Royal	18	8	10	44%	80.3	79.7	+0.6
28	Thompson Rivers	18	8	10	44%	73.6	78.9	-5.3
29	Laurier	18	8	10	44%	72.3	79.1	-6.8
30	McMaster	16	7	9	44%	74.5	75.4	-0.9
31	MacEwan	18	7	11	39%	79.4	80.8	-1.4
32	Regina	18	7	11	39%	82.2	84.7	-2.5
33	Victoria	18	7	11	39%	75.8	78.4	-2.7
34	Queens	16	6	10	38%	74.5	78.5	-4.0
35	Laval	12	4	8	33%	63.8	65.9	-2.2
36	UPEI	15	5	10	33%	86.4	91.1	-4.7
37	Western	17	5	12	29%	73.0	79.2	-6.2
38	Waterloo	17	5	12	29%	72.6	80.4	-7.8
39	Lakehead	15	4	11	27%	66.5	73.2	-6.7
40	York	16	4	12	25%	68.3	76.3	-8.0
41	Guelph	16	4	12	25%	72.7	81.3	-8.6
42	Algoma	16	4	12	25%	67.1	80.6	-13.6
43	UNBC	18	4	14	22%	71.3	83.4	-12.2
44	Bishop's	12	2	10	17%	67.4	76.1	-8.7
45	Trinity Western	18	3	15	17%	76.1	89.2	-13.1
46	UBC Okanagan	18	2	16	11%	66.3	81.4	-15.1
47	Cape Breton	16	0	16	0%	74.9	94.4	-19.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
TMU	23	20	23	21	87
Toronto	10	27	21	15	73

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TMU vs Toronto Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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