Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 86-74

25-24 24-20 20-11 17-19

Position#4

Record18-8

FormLWWLL

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game80.3

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Atyrau 2

Position#7

Record4-22

FormLWLLL

Points / game66.9

Allowed / game93.0

National League

Other2018-19

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Atyrau 2 winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

104-86

104

+18

H24/12

National League

Atyrau 2

84-60

+24

H25/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

92-89

H27/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

101-83

101

+18

H28/01

National League

Almaty

109-101 OT

109

101

H09/02

National League

Almaty

83-91

-8

H10/02

National League

Kokshetay

97-77

+20

H13/02

National League

Kokshetay

93-83

+10

H14/02

National League

Atyrau

76-83

-7

H01/03

National League

Atyrau

104-107

104

107

-3

H02/03

National League

28-25

26-20

23-24

27-17

23-12

26-20

17-13

18-15

25-23

18-24

22-17

27-25

32-16

22-15

20-24

27-28

25-29

23-19

24-20

17-21

27-25

16-24

15-20

25-22

18-20

14-20

38-21

27-16

25-25

23-16

22-21

23-21

21-19

18-22

18-24

19-18

25-29

30-17

26-28

23-33

180.3Avg total

94.3Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	90.9	80.3	171.2	+10.5	69%
Season at home (12)	95.5	86.0	181.5	+9.5	67%
Season away (14)	86.9	75.5	162.4	+11.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	94.3	86.0	180.3	+8.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	88.2	178.8	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	86.5	89.1	175.6	-2.6	25%
vs Similar (4)	86.0	85.0	171.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	90.8	73.6	164.4	+17.2	94%

This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau 2

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

54-104

104

-50

A23/01

National League

Astana

52-109

109

-57

A24/01

National League

Kokshetay

59-104

104

-45

A27/01

National League

Kokshetay

60-66

-6

A28/01

National League

Almaty

78-112

112

-34

A31/01

National League

Almaty

76-102

102

-26

A01/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-87

A05/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

87-125

125

-38

A06/02

National League

Astana

41-98

-57

H14/02

National League

Astana

14-101

101

-87

H15/02

National League

10-27

13-18

13-26

18-33

11-35

15-24

12-25

14-25

12-22

23-29

13-30

11-23

25-23

12-9

14-12

9-22

11-19

20-31

12-36

35-26

20-30

24-28

8-26

24-18

26-27

17-14

21-27

25-19

16-37

21-30

28-27

22-31

7-31

14-22

5-22

15-23

4-22

5-32

5-23

0-24

161.8Avg total

61.0Scored

100.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	66.9	93.0	159.9	-26.2	15%
Season at home (10)	65.1	87.7	152.8	-22.6	20%
Season away (16)	68.0	96.4	164.4	-28.4	12%
Last 10 (10)	61.0	100.8	161.8	-39.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	61.4	102.6	164.0	-41.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	66.9	93.0	159.9	-26.2	15%
vs Similar (4)	81.8	87.5	169.2	-5.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAtyrau 2

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.2	19.7	42.8	+3.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	20.6	45.5	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	22.3	47.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.4	18.1	42.5	+6.3	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	25.0	43.1	-7.0	28%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	23.8	41.6	-6.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.3	25.9	44.2	-7.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.2	27.3	41.5	-13.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	29.4	44.0	-14.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.6	25.0	42.6	-7.4	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+1.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.7	39.7	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	17.1	39.2	+5.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	22.4	40.1	-4.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.4	22.9	39.3	-6.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	23.7	40.1	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	25.2	41.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	23.0	40.1	-5.8	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

54-45

H24/12

National League

Atyrau 2

49-32

+17

H25/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-47

-4

H27/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

54-31

+23

H28/01

National League

Almaty

48-48

H09/02

National League

Almaty

43-49

-6

H10/02

National League

Kokshetay

32-40

-8

H13/02

National League

Kokshetay

48-41

H14/02

National League

Atyrau

39-41

-2

H01/03

National League

Atyrau

55-46

H02/03

National League

88.5Avg total

46.5Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.2	38.8	83.0	+5.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	40.3	86.2	+5.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	37.4	80.1	+5.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	42.0	88.5	+4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.4	86.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.2	43.5	85.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	44.5	83.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.5	35.2	81.8	+11.3	88%	-

This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

23-45

-22

A23/01

National League

Astana

26-59

-33

A24/01

National League

Kokshetay

35-51

-16

A27/01

National League

Kokshetay

37-32

A28/01

National League

Almaty

31-50

-19

A31/01

National League

Almaty

44-58

-14

A01/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-41

A05/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

37-67

-30

A06/02

National League

Astana

21-53

-32

H14/02

National League

Astana

9-54

-45

H15/02

National League

81.6Avg total

30.6Scored

51.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	47.5	83.2	-11.8	21%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	34.2	46.8	80.9	-12.6	17%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.8	48.0	84.8	-11.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.6	51.0	81.6	-20.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	54.6	85.4	-23.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	34.8	48.0	82.8	-13.2	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	44.2	86.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	19.4	41.3	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+2.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	24.0	21.5	45.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	16.2	36.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	19.2	40.4	+1.9	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.1	22.3	38.4	-6.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.3	20.8	37.2	-4.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.9	23.4	39.3	-7.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.1	25.4	38.5	-12.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	25.0	38.4	-11.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.5	23.1	38.6	-7.6	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	17.8	37.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	24.1	44.4	-3.9	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+3.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.8	20.1	36.8	-3.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	24.4	41.7	-7.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.0	40.2	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.7	32%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.0	40.2	84.2	+3.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	41.7	86.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	38.9	81.9	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	42.8	88.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	44.8	92.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	44.2	45.6	89.9	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.2	38.4	82.5	+5.8	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	33.9	43.8	77.7	-9.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	33.1	40.9	74.0	-7.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.5	45.9	80.4	-11.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.4	49.8	80.2	-19.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	48.0	78.6	-17.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.4	44.7	78.1	-11.3	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.0	38.5	75.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Atyrau 2 wins

Date	Game	Score
25/12/18	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2	84-60
24/12/18	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2	104-86
21/11/18	Atyrau 2 v Tobol Kostanay	85-97
20/11/18	Atyrau 2 v Tobol Kostanay	56-94
26/10/16	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2	89-48
19/03/16	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2	81-49
31/01/16	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2	91-42
14/11/15	Atyrau 2 v Tobol Kostanay	65-98

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/19	H	Atyrau	104-107
01/03/19	H	Atyrau	76-83
14/02/19	H	Kokshetay	93-83
13/02/19	H	Kokshetay	97-77
10/02/19	H	Almaty	83-91
09/02/19	H	Almaty	109-101 OT
28/01/19	H	Kaspiy Aktau	101-83
27/01/19	H	Kaspiy Aktau	92-89
25/12/18	H	Atyrau 2	84-60
24/12/18	H	Atyrau 2	104-86

Atyrau 2last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/19	H	Astana	14-101
14/02/19	H	Astana	41-98
06/02/19	A	Kaspiy Aktau	87-125
05/02/19	A	Kaspiy Aktau	89-87
01/02/19	A	Almaty	76-102
31/01/19	A	Almaty	78-112
28/01/19	A	Kokshetay	60-66
27/01/19	A	Kokshetay	59-104
24/01/19	A	Astana	52-109
23/01/19	A	Astana	54-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	69%
Home	LWWLL	67%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	69%	67%	71%
Points / game	90.9	95.5	86.9
Allowed / game	80.3	86.0	75.5
Point differential	+10.5	+9.5	+11.4
Avg total	171.2	181.5	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	50%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Atyrau 2

National League 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	15%
Home	LLLLL	20%
Away	LLLWL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	10	16
Win %	15%	20%	12%
Points / game	66.9	65.1	68.0
Allowed / game	93.0	87.7	96.4
Point differential	-26.2	-22.6	-28.4
Avg total	159.9	152.8	164.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	20%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	26	26	0	100%	96.2	54.6	+41.5
2	Tobol Kostanay	26	18	8	69%	90.9	80.3	+10.5
3	Almaty	24	16	8	67%	82.9	78.8	+4.1
4	Atyrau	24	14	10	58%	84.0	84.0	+0.0
5	Kokshetay	24	8	16	33%	72.2	82.6	-10.4
6	Atyrau 2	26	4	22	15%	66.9	93.0	-26.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	26	2	24	8%	66.6	86.7	-20.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	25	24	20	17	86
Atyrau 2	24	20	11	19	74

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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