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Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 84-60
23-12 26-20 17-13 18-15
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#7
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game88.5
KazakhstanNational League
Other2018-19
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau 2
05 Mar 2019
TOBO106
ATYR50
04 Mar 2019
TOBO86
ATYR74
25 Dec 2018
TOBO84
ATYR60
24 Dec 2018
TOBO104
ATYR86
26 Oct 2016
TOBO89
ATYR48
19 Mar 2016
TOBO81
ATYR49
31 Jan 2016
TOBO91
ATYR42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A08/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
109-95
109
95
+14
A17/11
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
94-56
94
56
+38
A20/11
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
97-85
97
85
+12
A21/11
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
96-74
96
74
+22
A12/12
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A13/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
94-96
94
96
-2
H20/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
109-76
109
76
+33
H21/12
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
18-29
25-12
24-24
19-20
25-27
26-24
13-27
25-23
23-26
36-25
25-21
28-15
26-11
21-21
19-9
22-24
33-20
17-16
25-25
29-21
20-22
21-19
26-12
20-20
26-21
23-21
23-16
31-19
16-29
29-17
18-31
26-21
22-16
27-20
34-19
28-25
26-20
23-24
27-17
178.3Avg total
95.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.677.4167.0+12.371%
Season at home (3)102.386.0188.3+16.367%
Season away (14)86.975.5162.4+11.471%
Last 10 (10)95.782.6178.3+13.170%
Last 5 (5)99.082.0181.0+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.587.4165.9-8.823%
vs Similar (2)76.074.0150.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.172.6163.7+18.593%
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A17/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H24/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H25/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
72-110
72
110
-38
H07/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
73-100
73
100
-27
H08/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
56-94
56
94
-38
H20/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H21/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H07/12
National League
Almaty
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H08/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-27
16-28
16-17
24-22
20-9
15-13
15-19
23-16
16-11
20-5
18-17
14-33
20-25
21-28
17-24
18-26
21-23
12-32
22-19
15-28
11-26
21-21
9-19
24-22
20-33
16-17
25-25
22-23
14-24
18-24
26-12
21-23
16-14
16-26
26-19
25-28
20-26
24-23
17-27
163.0Avg total
75.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.388.5159.7-17.220%
Season at home (8)74.584.8159.2-10.225%
Season away (7)67.692.7160.3-25.114%
Last 10 (10)75.587.5163.0-12.020%
Last 5 (5)77.292.0169.2-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.086.1158.1-14.120%
vs Similar (8)75.577.2152.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (2)70.048.0118.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Tobol KostanayAtyrau 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A16/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/11
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A20/11
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A21/11
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/12
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A13/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H20/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H21/12
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H24/12
National League
90.1Avg total
47.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.339.582.8+3.859%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.241.285.4+3.050%-
Last 30 away (19)42.838.681.4+4.263%-
Last 10 (10)47.542.690.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.891.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.244.284.5-4.023%-
vs Similar (2)31.540.572.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.834.982.7+12.9100%-
This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A17/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H24/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H25/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H07/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H20/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H21/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H07/12
National League
Almaty
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A24/12
National League
84.5Avg total
38.5Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.443.081.5-4.631%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.642.280.9-3.638%-
Last 30 away (13)38.244.082.2-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.084.5-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.649.487.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.344.983.2-6.626%-
vs Similar (8)39.142.481.5-3.225%-
vs Weaker (2)37.528.065.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tobol Kostanay wins
0
Atyrau 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/18HAtyrau 2104-86
21/12/18HAtyrau109-76
20/12/18HAtyrau94-96
13/12/18AKokshetay92-78
12/12/18AKokshetay96-74
21/11/18AAtyrau 297-85
20/11/18AAtyrau 294-56
17/11/18AAtyrau109-95
16/11/18AAtyrau83-98
08/11/18AAlmaty79-82
Atyrau 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/18ATobol Kostanay86-104
08/12/18HAlmaty79-82
07/12/18HAlmaty80-83
21/11/18HTobol Kostanay85-97
20/11/18HTobol Kostanay56-94
08/11/18HAtyrau73-100
07/11/18HAtyrau72-110
25/10/18HKaspiy Aktau77-49
24/10/18HKaspiy Aktau74-63
17/10/18AAlmaty73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17314
Win %71%67%71%
Points / game89.6102.386.9
Allowed / game77.486.075.5
Point differential+12.3+16.3+11.4
Avg total167.0188.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%67%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau 2
National League 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game71.374.567.6
Allowed / game88.584.892.7
Point differential-17.2-10.2-25.1
Avg total159.7159.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana16160100%94.053.8+40.2
2 Tobol Kostanay1712571%89.677.4+12.3
3 Atyrau127558%85.282.2+3.1
4 Almaty148657%75.378.7-3.4
5 Kokshetay146843%72.280.1-7.9
6 Atyrau 21531220%71.388.5-17.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau181176%57.884.1-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay2326171884
Atyrau 21220131560
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