Tofas vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 May 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 105-68

34-16 20-18 30-16 21-18

Position#1

Record31-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game72.0

Tofas 🏆

Afyon Belediye

Position#9

Record18-16

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game79.1

TBLTBL - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Tofas v Afyon Belediye

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Afyon Belediye winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tofas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Socar Spor

62-63

-1

H12/03

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

86-80

A16/03

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

83-70

+13

H19/03

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

102-74

102

+28

A25/03

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

104-82

104

+22

H02/04

TBL

Sakarya BB

90-96 OT

-6

A09/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

90-83

H16/04

TBL

Final Spor

#16

100-69

100

+31

A22/04

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

119-67

119

+52

H29/04

TBL

Denizli Basket

83-60

+23

A07/05

TBL

14-17

16-13

12-13

20-20

21-26

21-16

22-15

22-23

22-11

26-20

23-16

12-23

28-19

29-18

22-13

23-24

37-16

29-26

23-21

15-19

22-21

18-22

27-27

16-13

20-20

29-21

20-23

21-19

31-15

19-19

24-16

26-19

29-19

31-13

34-12

25-23

29-14

21-17

23-16

10-13

166.3Avg total

91.9Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	88.3	72.0	160.3	+16.3	91%
Season at home (17)	89.2	71.7	160.9	+17.5	94%
Season away (17)	87.4	72.4	159.8	+15.1	88%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	74.4	166.3	+17.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	75.0	171.4	+21.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	88.6	71.2	159.8	+17.3	90%

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Afyon Belediye Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gelisim Koleji

#10

85-77

A11/03

TBL

Socar Spor

76-84

-8

A15/03

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

85-74

+11

H19/03

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

81-75

A26/03

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

78-69

H02/04

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

66-84

-18

A08/04

TBL

Sakarya BB

85-79

H16/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

80-101

101

-21

A23/04

TBL

Final Spor

#16

88-78

+10

H30/04

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

94-57

+37

A07/05

TBL

19-18

14-22

23-16

29-21

18-22

21-17

22-20

15-25

29-19

21-20

18-8

17-27

25-17

19-20

19-18

18-20

26-13

18-15

15-27

19-14

25-11

12-31

11-19

18-23

19-28

24-22

23-18

19-11

19-23

15-29

29-26

17-23

23-22

31-25

18-11

16-20

27-12

16-16

26-16

25-13

159.6Avg total

81.8Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	79.2	79.1	158.3	+0.1	53%
Season at home (17)	78.8	76.4	155.1	+2.4	71%
Season away (17)	79.6	81.8	161.4	-2.2	35%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	77.8	159.6	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	79.8	162.4	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	74.3	85.3	159.6	-11.0	29%
vs Similar (20)	79.8	78.2	158.0	+1.6	60%
vs Weaker (3)	89.3	68.3	157.7	+21.0	100%

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TofasAfyon Belediye

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	17.6	41.3	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	17.1	40.6	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	18.1	42.0	+5.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	17.8	43.1	+7.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	17.8	44.0	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.7	17.6	41.3	+6.1	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	16.0	41.3	+9.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	17.5	40.8	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	16.4	39.7	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	18.5	41.9	+4.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.5	42.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	23.4	17.5	40.8	+5.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	33%	-

TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Socar Spor

30-30

H12/03

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

42-42

A16/03

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

48-31

+17

H19/03

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

57-37

+20

A25/03

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

66-42

+24

H02/04

TBL

Sakarya BB

40-43

-3

A09/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

49-41

H16/04

TBL

Final Spor

#16

50-34

+16

A22/04

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

60-32

+28

H29/04

TBL

Denizli Basket

50-31

+19

A07/05

TBL

85.5Avg total

49.2Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	35.1	82.1	+12.0	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.8	33.5	80.3	+13.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.3	36.6	83.9	+10.7	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	36.3	85.5	+12.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	36.2	86.0	+13.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	47.1	35.1	82.1	+12.0	87%	-

This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gelisim Koleji

#10

33-40

-7

A11/03

TBL

Socar Spor

39-39

A15/03

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

50-39

+11

H19/03

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

44-37

A26/03

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

44-28

+16

H02/04

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

37-42

-5

A08/04

TBL

Sakarya BB

43-50

-7

H16/04

TBL

Best Balikesir

34-52

-18

A23/04

TBL

Final Spor

#16

54-47

H30/04

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

43-28

+15

A07/05

TBL

82.3Avg total

42.1Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	40.2	82.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.8	86.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	36.7	43.0	79.7	-6.3	29%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.4	39.2	79.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.3	33.0	78.3	+12.3	100%	-

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.1	37.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.2	40.2	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	18.8	44.4	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.8	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	71%	-
vs Similar (20)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	15.3	41.0	+10.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	24.9	42.7	-7.0	14%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	35.7	77.0	+5.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	36.5	78.7	+5.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	35.0	75.3	+5.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	36.8	78.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	36.2	81.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	41.3	35.7	77.0	+5.5	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.4	78.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.3	75.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	41.5	81.9	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	37.6	77.3	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.0	76.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.6	42.3	79.9	-4.7	14%	-
vs Similar (20)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	35.3	79.3	+8.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tofas wins

Afyon Belediye wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/16	Afyon Belediye v Tofas	55-90
15/11/15	Tofas v Afyon Belediye	89-65

Tofaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	A	Denizli Basket	83-60
29/04/16	H	Adanaspor	119-67
22/04/16	A	Final Spor	100-69
16/04/16	H	Best Balikesir	90-83
09/04/16	A	Sakarya BB	90-96 OT
02/04/16	H	Gediz Universitesi	104-82
25/03/16	A	MKE Ankaragucu	102-74
19/03/16	H	Eskisehir	83-70
16/03/16	A	Acibadem Universitesi	86-80
12/03/16	H	Socar Spor	62-63

Afyon Belediyelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	A	Adanaspor	94-57
30/04/16	H	Final Spor	88-78
23/04/16	A	Best Balikesir	80-101
16/04/16	H	Sakarya BB	85-79
08/04/16	A	Gediz Universitesi	66-84
02/04/16	H	MKE Ankaragucu	78-69
26/03/16	A	Eskisehir	81-75
19/03/16	H	Acibadem Universitesi	85-74
15/03/16	A	Socar Spor	76-84
11/03/16	A	Gelisim Koleji	85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas

TBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	91%
Home	LWWWW	94%
Away	WWLWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	91%	94%	88%
Points / game	88.3	89.2	87.4
Allowed / game	72.0	71.7	72.4
Point differential	+16.3	+17.5	+15.1
Avg total	160.3	160.9	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	65%	65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Afyon Belediye

TBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	53%
Home	LWWWW	71%
Away	LWLLW	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	53%	71%	35%
Points / game	79.2	78.8	79.6
Allowed / game	79.1	76.4	81.8
Point differential	+0.1	+2.4	-2.2
Avg total	158.3	155.1	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	24%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	71% (7)	25% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tofas	34	31	3	91%	88.3	72.0	+16.3
2	Acibadem Universitesi	34	25	9	74%	80.9	72.8	+8.1
3	Denizli Basket	34	24	10	71%	78.0	71.9	+6.1
4	Sakarya BB	35	22	13	63%	76.4	74.1	+2.2
5	Gediz Universitesi	35	22	13	63%	78.4	76.3	+2.1
6	Best Balikesir	34	19	15	56%	80.3	79.0	+1.2
7	Socar Spor	34	18	16	53%	77.2	76.7	+0.5
8	Afyon Belediye	34	18	16	53%	79.2	79.1	+0.1
9	Pertevniyal	34	17	17	50%	78.4	79.5	-1.1
10	Gelisim Koleji	34	16	18	47%	78.0	77.9	+0.1
11	Meliksah	34	14	20	41%	75.1	75.1	+0.0
12	Akhisar Belediye	34	14	20	41%	77.3	78.0	-0.8
13	MKE Ankaragucu	34	14	20	41%	77.2	79.0	-1.8
14	Bandirma Kirmizi	34	14	20	41%	75.8	80.0	-4.2
15	Eskisehir	34	13	21	38%	75.1	78.3	-3.1
16	Final Spor	34	11	23	32%	72.5	76.9	-4.4
17	Istanbul DSI	34	10	24	29%	75.7	82.7	-7.0
18	Adanaspor	34	5	29	15%	72.6	87.1	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tofas	34	20	30	21	105
Afyon Belediye	16	18	16	18	68

← all games of the day

Tofas vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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