Tofas vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 89-85

18-22 29-19 17-31 25-13

Position#1

Record16-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game71.8

Tofas 🏆

Denizli Basket

Position#3

Record12-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game71.2

TBLRound 17

Other2015-16

Meetings · Tofas v Denizli Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Denizli Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tofas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Afyon Belediye

89-65

+24

H15/11

TBL

Socar Spor

81-70

+11

A21/11

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

76-69

H24/11

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

83-74

A28/11

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

86-67

+19

H05/12

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

76-63

+13

A11/12

TBL

Sakarya BB

92-68

+24

H19/12

TBL

Best Balikesir

75-57

+18

A26/12

TBL

Final Spor

#16

95-72

+23

H03/01

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

108-88

108

+20

A09/01

TBL

15-10

24-19

19-15

31-21

19-18

23-12

24-18

15-22

22-17

23-17

16-17

15-18

15-22

27-22

22-16

19-14

29-18

15-16

18-20

24-13

20-13

23-24

19-10

14-16

21-10

27-12

21-27

23-19

19-20

27-7

18-15

11-15

22-23

23-10

30-17

20-22

35-17

29-26

13-17

31-28

155.4Avg total

86.1Scored

69.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	86.0	71.8	157.8	+14.2	100%
Season at home (8)	88.4	72.9	161.2	+15.5	100%
Season away (8)	83.6	70.8	154.4	+12.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	69.3	155.4	+16.8	100%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	69.6	158.8	+19.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	68.2	80.0	148.2	-11.8	0%
vs Similar (5)	74.0	77.0	151.0	-3.0	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	85.8	72.3	158.1	+13.5	95%

This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denizli Basket Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sakarya BB

83-63

+20

H14/11

TBL

Best Balikesir

76-70

A21/11

TBL

Final Spor

#16

91-77

+14

H24/11

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

103-80

103

+23

A28/11

TBL

Gelisim Koleji

#10

87-76

+11

A04/12

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#17

88-57

+31

H12/12

TBL

Pertevniyal

82-56

+26

A19/12

TBL

Meliksah

#11

60-67

-7

H26/12

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

#12

87-74

+13

A03/01

TBL

Bandirma Kirmizi

#14

84-71

+13

H09/01

TBL

19-14

17-14

31-17

16-18

23-21

5-16

23-18

25-15

27-19

20-26

27-17

17-15

28-20

25-22

24-17

26-21

23-24

14-23

26-23

24-6

23-11

25-12

20-18

20-16

17-15

25-13

18-13

22-15

13-15

11-14

14-19

22-19

25-22

29-19

17-19

16-14

20-16

17-25

23-18

24-12

153.2Avg total

84.1Scored

69.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.8	71.2	152.1	+9.6	75%
Season at home (8)	78.9	69.4	148.2	+9.5	75%
Season away (8)	82.8	73.1	155.9	+9.6	75%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	69.1	153.2	+15.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	65.0	145.2	+15.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	63.0	68.0	131.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	73.7	72.3	146.0	+1.4	60%
vs Weaker (19)	80.2	71.0	151.2	+9.2	79%

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TofasDenizli Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	16.8	38.5	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.6	40.0	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.4	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.8	35.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	16.5	40.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	15.8	41.6	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.1	17.9	41.0	+5.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.2	34.9	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	16.9	34.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	12.0	18.0	30.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	14.3	16.5	30.8	-2.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	53%	-

TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Afyon Belediye

39-29

+10

H15/11

TBL

Socar Spor

42-30

+12

A21/11

TBL

Acibadem Universitesi

45-34

+11

H24/11

TBL

Eskisehir

#15

42-44

-2

A28/11

TBL

MKE Ankaragucu

#13

44-34

+10

H05/12

TBL

Gediz Universitesi

43-37

A11/12

TBL

Sakarya BB

48-22

+26

H19/12

TBL

Best Balikesir

46-27

+19

A26/12

TBL

Final Spor

#16

45-33

+12

H03/01

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

64-43

+21

A09/01

TBL

79.1Avg total

45.8Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	36.4	77.8	+5.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	36.2	78.3	+5.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	36.6	77.4	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	33.3	79.1	+12.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	32.4	81.6	+16.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	39.2	74.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.2	36.0	69.2	-2.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.6	36.0	80.5	+8.6	81%	-

This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sakarya BB

36-28

H14/11

TBL

Best Balikesir

28-37

-9

A21/11

TBL

Final Spor

#16

47-45

H24/11

TBL

Adanaspor

#18

53-42

+11

A28/11

TBL

Gelisim Koleji

#10

37-47

-10

A04/12

TBL

Istanbul DSI

#17

48-23

+25

H12/12

TBL

Pertevniyal

42-28

+14

A19/12

TBL

Meliksah

#11

24-29

-5

H26/12

TBL

Akhisar Belediye

#12

54-41

+13

A03/01

TBL

Bandirma Kirmizi

#14

37-41

-4

H09/01

TBL

76.7Avg total

40.6Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	35.9	74.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	33.4	71.3	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	38.3	77.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.1	76.7	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	32.4	73.4	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	33.0	35.0	68.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	33.3	35.4	68.7	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.3	36.2	77.4	+5.1	74%	-

This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.4	22.6	39.0	-6.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.9	40.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	16.3	37.2	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	17.6	35.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	20.2	34.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.4	18.4	42.8	+6.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	18.3	34.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	15.1	36.3	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.2	36.0	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.5	77.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	38.1	81.8	+5.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	36.9	73.4	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.0	76.3	+4.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	40.8	73.8	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.9	36.0	76.9	+4.8	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	34.9	73.3	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	35.1	71.8	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	34.6	74.9	+5.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	33.0	76.5	+10.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	32.6	71.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	30.0	33.0	63.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.4	35.7	75.1	+3.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (19)	38.4	34.5	72.9	+3.9	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tofas wins

Denizli Basket wins

No previous meetings.

Tofaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/16	A	Adanaspor	108-88
03/01/16	H	Final Spor	95-72
26/12/15	A	Best Balikesir	75-57
19/12/15	H	Sakarya BB	92-68
11/12/15	A	Gediz Universitesi	76-63
05/12/15	H	MKE Ankaragucu	86-67
28/11/15	A	Eskisehir	83-74
24/11/15	H	Acibadem Universitesi	76-69
21/11/15	A	Socar Spor	81-70
15/11/15	H	Afyon Belediye	89-65

Denizli Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/16	H	Bandirma Kirmizi	84-71
03/01/16	A	Akhisar Belediye	87-74
26/12/15	H	Meliksah	60-67
19/12/15	A	Pertevniyal	82-56
12/12/15	H	Istanbul DSI	88-57
04/12/15	A	Gelisim Koleji	87-76
28/11/15	A	Adanaspor	103-80
24/11/15	H	Final Spor	91-77
21/11/15	A	Best Balikesir	76-70
14/11/15	H	Sakarya BB	83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas

TBL 2015-16

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.0	88.4	83.6
Allowed / game	71.8	72.9	70.8
Point differential	+14.2	+15.5	+12.9
Avg total	157.8	161.2	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	62%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Denizli Basket

TBL 2015-16

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	75%
Home	WWWLW	75%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	75%	75%	75%
Points / game	80.8	78.9	82.8
Allowed / game	71.2	69.4	73.1
Point differential	+9.6	+9.5	+9.6
Avg total	152.1	148.2	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tofas	16	16	0	100%	86.0	71.8	+14.2
2	Acibadem Universitesi	17	13	4	76%	78.8	69.5	+9.2
3	Gediz Universitesi	17	13	4	76%	80.3	76.0	+4.3
4	Denizli Basket	16	12	4	75%	80.8	71.2	+9.6
5	Sakarya BB	16	11	5	69%	78.2	74.4	+3.8
6	Best Balikesir	17	10	7	59%	78.2	77.6	+0.6
7	Gelisim Koleji	17	9	8	53%	78.2	76.6	+1.6
8	Eskisehir	16	8	8	50%	75.3	77.2	-1.9
9	Pertevniyal	17	8	9	47%	80.4	81.5	-1.1
10	Akhisar Belediye	17	7	10	41%	78.8	79.4	-0.6
11	Final Spor	16	6	10	38%	73.4	74.8	-1.4
12	Afyon Belediye	16	6	10	38%	76.6	80.3	-3.8
13	Meliksah	17	6	11	35%	73.5	73.5	+0.1
14	MKE Ankaragucu	17	6	11	35%	78.4	78.4	-0.1
15	Socar Spor	16	5	11	31%	75.9	81.4	-5.5
16	Istanbul DSI	16	4	12	25%	75.3	83.4	-8.1
17	Bandirma Kirmizi	16	4	12	25%	68.4	77.1	-8.7
18	Adanaspor	16	4	12	25%	75.6	88.7	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tofas	18	29	17	25	89
Denizli Basket	22	19	31	13	85

← all games of the day

Tofas vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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