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Tofas vs Denizli Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game88.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 17· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Denizli Basket
22 Jan 2027
TOF v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2016
TOF89
DEN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denizli Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 77
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 77
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 77
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 77
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 77
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 77
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Season at home (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Benfica
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
84avg 77
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 77
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Geneva Lions
#17
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 77
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 77
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Absheron Lions
#45
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
77avg 77
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 77
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#22
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cayirova
#14
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
no box
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
22-22
17-27
29-19
16-17
12-23
25-16
17-19
19-24
23-15
15-17
23-20
13-29
27-18
17-28
19-22
18-14
24-19
12-27
26-20
17-17
12-24
21-23
24-23
18-22
20-14
21-24
17-20
27-24
23-27
11-28
25-18
19-19
9-33
21-16
24-18
26-28
16-19
27-19
20-23
169.9Avg total
81.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.188.9172.0-5.825%
Season at home (4)86.586.8173.2-0.250%
Season away (4)79.891.0170.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)81.388.6169.9-7.320%
Last 5 (5)82.089.6171.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.186.2166.3-6.127%
vs Similar (9)73.677.8151.3-4.244%
vs Weaker (9)76.973.0149.9+3.967%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
TofasDenizli Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Geneva Lions
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Absheron Lions
#45
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#22
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cayirova
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.0Avg total
38.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.678.1-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.875.2-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.180.6-5.519%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.682.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.482.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.345.886.1-5.527%-
vs Similar (9)33.937.971.8-4.022%-
vs Weaker (9)37.836.774.4+1.144%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denizli Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denizli Basket: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
54.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.9
81.2%
75.9%16.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
Denizli Basket
WLLLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#15
-1.4
Net rating
-2.3
92.8
Offensive rating
95.7
94.2
Defensive rating
98.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.2%
3-point %
35.8%
59.8%
Assist %
58.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 95.7Defence94.2 · 98.0Shooting52.7% · 52.0%3-point %29.2% · 35.8%Ball care17.6% · 15.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Tofas   ■ Denizli Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
1
Denizli Basket wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Denizli Basket v Tofas101-87
07/05/16Denizli Basket v Tofas60-83
16/01/16Tofas v Denizli Basket89-85
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCayirova101-98 OT
11/11/26ABC Prievidza73-86
08/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.86-97
03/11/26HBakken Bears76-80
31/10/26HGalatasaray74-87
28/10/26AAbsheron Lions86-94 OT
24/10/26ATurk Telekom76-97
21/10/26AGeneva Lions80-76
18/10/26HTrabzonspor70-75
14/10/26ABenfica91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game82.077.886.2
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.2
Avg total162.5156.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denizli Basket
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.186.579.8
Allowed / game88.986.891.0
Point differential-5.8-0.2-11.2
Avg total172.0173.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce75271%86.979.6+7.3
4 Anadolu Efes75271%86.079.4+6.6
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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