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Merkezefendi vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-95 (OT)
17-17 23-26 18-11 19-23 11-18
Position#13
Record10-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#6
Record9-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Merkezefendi v Tofas
16 Nov 2025
MER78
TOF72
11 May 2025
MER92
TOF94
13 Oct 2023
MER93
TOF97
16 Apr 2023
MER88
TOF95
26 Mar 2022
MER66
TOF98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merkezefendi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#12
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
H29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
101-109 OT
101
109
-8
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
19-19
27-30
14-22
23-22
25-29
20-12
19-31
19-16
18-14
29-18
15-33
12-26
21-18
21-21
19-30
18-20
28-18
15-21
19-17
26-27
11-20
29-22
15-20
20-20
18-20
23-18
30-26
20-23
21-19
18-28
16-20
12-22
22-16
21-12
21-26
19-16
10-18
17-16
13-20
171.8Avg total
82.1Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.684.4165.0-3.842%
Season at home (11)81.880.4162.2+1.573%
Season away (13)79.687.8167.5-8.215%
Last 10 (10)82.189.7171.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)81.488.4169.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.185.3163.4-7.127%
vs Similar (15)83.387.1170.3-3.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
85-105
85
105
-20
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-24
20-16
25-28
20-27
21-20
20-28
20-19
22-18
25-15
9-21
23-22
13-18
19-19
31-21
13-24
21-19
21-29
19-21
20-17
30-24
18-24
16-27
21-30
23-27
22-11
7-30
29-15
23-24
24-15
18-18
29-32
14-21
17-13
24-19
28-24
22-22
25-25
27-19
17-28
171.0Avg total
83.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.482.0163.4-0.738%
Season at home (12)84.778.1162.8+6.658%
Season away (12)78.186.0164.1-7.917%
Last 10 (10)83.587.5171.0-4.030%
Last 5 (5)86.889.6176.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.287.6168.8-6.420%
vs Similar (15)80.585.3165.9-4.813%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.774.3155.0+6.470%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
MerkezefendiTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A12/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.7Avg total
37.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.080.8-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.640.579.1-1.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.043.582.5-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.878.7-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.276.0-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.340.476.7-4.120%-
vs Similar (15)41.343.684.9-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.5Avg total
41.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.079.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.381.0+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)37.839.777.5-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.683.5+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.842.485.2+0.440%-
vs Similar (15)39.741.581.2-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.833.673.4+6.260%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.0
53.4%
54.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.5
36.7%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.410.3
71.5%
76.0%10.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.9
53.0%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
76.0%13.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Merkezefendi
LLLWLWLWLL
Tofas
LWWLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#6
-12.5
Net rating
+12.1
107.3
Offensive rating
110.1
119.7
Defensive rating
98.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.7%
3-point %
36.4%
60.4%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 110.1Defence119.7 · 98.0Shooting54.1% · 53.6%3-point %36.7% · 36.4%Ball care17.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Merkezefendi   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Merkezefendi wins
3
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
12/12/22Tofas v Merkezefendi90-79
26/03/22Merkezefendi v Tofas66-98
01/12/21Tofas v Merkezefendi97-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ABesiktas59-70
01/04/23HKarsiyaka101-109 OT
25/03/23AManisa75-90
17/03/23HKonyaspor91-84
12/03/23ABuyukcekmece81-89
04/03/23HBahcesehir Kol.80-76
05/02/23ABursaspor73-95
29/01/23HDarussafaka97-94 OT
23/01/23APetkim Spor87-94
16/01/23AAnadolu Efes77-96
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23HTurk Telekom91-94
02/04/23AGaziantep83-77
26/03/23HFenerbahce94-89
18/03/23HGalatasaray81-83
11/03/23ABesiktas85-105
05/03/23HKarsiyaka81-86
04/02/23AManisa76-82
27/01/23HKonyaspor79-76
22/01/23ABuyukcekmece81-94
14/01/23ABahcesehir Kol.84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%73%15%
Points / game80.681.879.6
Allowed / game84.480.487.8
Point differential-3.8+1.5-8.2
Avg total165.0162.2167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %12%18%8%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game81.484.778.1
Allowed / game82.078.186.0
Point differential-0.7+6.6-7.9
Avg total163.4162.8164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom2421388%86.877.2+9.6
2 Fenerbahce2420483%87.176.8+10.3
3 Karsiyaka2518772%88.985.3+3.6
4 Anadolu Efes2417771%87.079.6+7.4
5 Bursaspor24141058%83.181.1+2.0
6 Darussafaka24121250%81.383.4-2.1
7 Galatasaray25111444%79.580.9-1.4
8 Merkezefendi24101442%80.684.4-3.8
9 Manisa24101442%76.582.3-5.8
10 Bahcesehir Kol.25101540%76.478.6-2.2
11 Buyukcekmece25101540%79.382.3-3.0
12 Petkim Spor25101540%78.582.7-4.2
13 Tofas2491538%81.482.0-0.7
14 Besiktas2481633%79.581.1-1.5
15 Gaziantep2581732%74.978.6-3.6
16 Konyaspor2471729%79.183.2-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Merkezefendi172318191188
Tofas172611231895
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