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Bursaspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 77-92
20-19 23-24 20-24 14-25
Position#5
Record17-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#6
Record13-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.1
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bursaspor v Tofas
30 Apr 2027
BUR v TOF
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
BUR113
TOF115
08 Mar 2025
BUR98
TOF93
29 Mar 2024
BUR89
TOF95
12 May 2023
BUR77
TOF92
06 Nov 2021
BUR87
TOF75
24 Oct 2020
BUR83
TOF70
29 Sep 2019
BUR80
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#9
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A22/03
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brescia
#13
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 77
H28/03
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
53avg 77
A12/04
Eurocup
Konyaspor
#16
W
74-63
74
63
+11
no box
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
H30/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
A07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
19-12
22-31
20-22
20-18
15-32
17-19
28-22
16-19
24-11
28-24
18-22
18-26
16-22
22-21
25-18
19-16
26-25
20-26
22-18
18-14
17-19
14-17
17-22
25-14
15-11
19-19
15-19
23-16
21-24
28-23
15-19
21-29
28-19
24-27
33-24
21-24
21-23
24-24
21-22
167.5Avg total
83.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.981.6165.4+2.361%
Season at home (14)88.983.1172.0+5.771%
Season away (14)78.980.0158.9-1.150%
Last 10 (10)83.983.6167.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)84.081.8165.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.085.8160.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.187.4173.4-1.344%
vs Weaker (8)90.481.2171.6+9.188%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
85-105
85
105
-20
no box
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
no box
H08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#13
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
no box
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
66-63
66
63
+3
no box
H22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#12
W
95-85
95
85
+10
no box
A29/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-29
19-21
20-17
30-24
18-24
16-27
21-30
23-27
22-11
7-30
29-15
23-24
24-15
18-18
29-32
14-21
17-13
24-19
28-24
22-22
25-25
27-19
17-28
17-17
26-23
11-18
23-19
20-19
15-14
18-18
13-12
18-20
15-19
28-18
34-28
20-25
25-20
23-27
26-21
172.8Avg total
86.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.282.1164.3+0.246%
Season at home (14)84.078.1162.1+5.964%
Season away (14)80.586.1166.6-5.629%
Last 10 (10)86.586.3172.8+0.260%
Last 5 (5)88.284.6172.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.783.5162.2-4.833%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.786.2166.9-5.514%
vs Weaker (10)84.176.7160.8+7.480%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
BursasporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/03
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brescia
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/03
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A12/04
Eurocup
Konyaspor
#16
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.4Avg total
40.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.884.3+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.940.885.7+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.782.9-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.780.4+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.680.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.044.080.0-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.342.586.8+1.869%-
vs Weaker (8)43.938.682.5+5.262%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#12
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.7Avg total
41.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.779.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.338.981.2+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)37.540.678.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.182.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.540.882.3+0.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.443.183.4-2.736%-
vs Weaker (10)38.834.473.2+4.460%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.9
56.4%
54.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.1
71.9%
76.0%14.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.9
53.0%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
76.0%13.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LWWWLWLWLL
Tofas
WWWWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#6
+0.1
Net rating
+12.1
114.8
Offensive rating
110.1
114.7
Defensive rating
98.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
36.4%
57.0%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 110.1Defence114.7 · 98.0Shooting55.6% · 53.6%3-point %36.4% · 36.4%Ball care16.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bursaspor wins
2
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23ABesiktas87-93
30/04/23HKarsiyaka106-99
22/04/23AManisa87-82
16/04/23HKonyaspor74-63
12/04/23AGran Canaria66-72
07/04/23ABuyukcekmece87-85
01/04/23HBahcesehir Kol.81-87
28/03/23HBrescia86-76
25/03/23AGalatasaray80-91
22/03/23ALietkabelis85-88
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23HDarussafaka94-93
29/04/23APetkim Spor95-85
22/04/23HAnadolu Efes66-63
16/04/23AMerkezefendi95-88 OT
08/04/23HTurk Telekom91-94
02/04/23AGaziantep83-77
26/03/23HFenerbahce94-89
18/03/23HGalatasaray81-83
11/03/23ABesiktas85-105
05/03/23HKarsiyaka81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game83.988.978.9
Allowed / game81.683.180.0
Point differential+2.3+5.7-1.1
Avg total165.4172.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW46%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLWWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%64%29%
Points / game82.284.080.5
Allowed / game82.178.186.1
Point differential+0.2+5.9-5.6
Avg total164.3162.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom2824486%86.877.2+9.5
2 Fenerbahce2621581%86.276.8+9.4
3 Anadolu Efes2719870%87.479.5+8.0
4 Karsiyaka2920969%89.085.6+3.4
5 Bursaspor28171161%83.981.6+2.3
6 Darussafaka28141450%82.784.8-2.1
7 Tofas28131546%82.282.1+0.2
8 Buyukcekmece29131645%80.281.9-1.7
9 Galatasaray28121643%80.782.5-1.8
10 Bahcesehir Kol.28121643%77.178.9-1.8
11 Petkim Spor27111641%79.083.2-4.2
12 Merkezefendi28111739%80.884.8-4.0
13 Manisa28111739%77.782.9-5.2
14 Besiktas2891932%81.082.9-2.0
15 Gaziantep2891932%75.880.0-4.2
16 Konyaspor2872125%78.583.6-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2023201477
Tofas1924242592
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