Toledo vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 75-77

21-24 22-18 18-14 14-21

Position#12

Record14-11

FormWLLWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game75.4

Toledo

Caceres 🏆

Position#13

Record14-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game77.5

Segunda FEBRound 26

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caceres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toledo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buffalo

#180

98-78

+20

H07/03

NCAA

Iraurgi SB

85-68

+17

H08/03

Segunda FEB

Bowling Green

#143

77-76

H12/03

NCAA

UMass

#189

77-67

+10

H13/03

NCAA

Akron

#14

76-79

-3

A15/03

NCAA

Logrono

#24

67-65

A15/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

74-75

-1

H22/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

74-78

-4

A28/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

75-70

H05/04

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

66-64

A12/04

Segunda FEB

0-0

37-33

0-0

61-45

24-21

19-15

26-15

16-17

0-0

37-38

0-0

40-38

0-0

43-34

0-0

34-33

0-0

42-30

0-0

34-49

17-25

13-15

22-11

15-14

24-19

16-17

10-23

24-16

16-16

23-24

14-20

21-18

17-17

24-19

19-14

15-20

18-19

15-6

20-23

13-16

148.9Avg total

76.9Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.2	75.4	154.6	+3.8	56%
Season at home (12)	83.5	71.9	155.4	+11.6	83%
Season away (13)	75.2	78.5	153.8	-3.3	31%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	72.0	148.9	+4.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	70.4	141.6	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.8	78.7	153.5	-3.8	33%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	78.0	75.5	153.5	+2.5	54%
vs Weaker (11)	79.5	70.6	150.2	+8.9	73%

This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ponferrada

#14

86-60

+26

H31/01

Segunda FEB

Caja 87

92-88

A08/02

Segunda FEB

Jaen

#23

89-77

+12

H14/02

Segunda FEB

Iraurgi SB

82-86

-4

A22/02

Segunda FEB

Logrono

#24

82-75

H07/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

87-86

A14/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

89-75

+14

H21/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

68-79

-11

A29/03

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

58-70

-12

H04/04

Segunda FEB

CBC Valladolid

98-85

+13

H11/04

Segunda FEB

24-8

21-11

23-20

18-21

26-20

27-25

17-23

22-20

17-18

25-15

23-20

24-24

23-22

17-22

26-26

16-16

23-23

24-15

6-15

29-22

21-27

19-21

23-18

24-20

23-21

19-14

24-16

23-24

12-18

16-14

25-24

15-23

11-23

17-8

17-23

13-16

27-29

26-21

17-15

28-20

161.2Avg total

83.1Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	82.3	77.5	159.8	+4.8	56%
Season at home (13)	78.3	76.3	154.6	+2.0	46%
Season away (12)	86.7	78.8	165.4	+7.9	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	78.1	161.2	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	79.0	159.0	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	68.5	73.8	142.2	-5.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	77.1	79.4	156.5	-2.4	25%
vs Weaker (10)	88.3	74.4	162.7	+13.9	90%

This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ToledoCaceres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	7.4	7.9	15.4	-0.5	13%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	8.4	7.0	15.4	+1.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	6.5	8.9	15.3	-2.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	11.6	11.7	23.3	-0.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	10.4	10.8	21.2	-0.4	23%	-
vs Weaker (11)	8.0	8.9	16.9	-0.9	9%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.8	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-0.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	20.9	42.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.6	42.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.1	27.4	58.5	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.5	26.7	58.2	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.7	28.0	58.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	23.1	50.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.5	37.3	76.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	26.1	23.8	49.8	+2.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	32.5	26.2	58.6	+6.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	16.8	35.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.6	37.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.6	35.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	19.8	35.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	16.5	37.9	+4.9	70%	-

ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buffalo

#180

37-33

H07/03

NCAA

Iraurgi SB

43-36

H08/03

Segunda FEB

Bowling Green

#143

37-38

-1

H12/03

NCAA

UMass

#189

43-34

H13/03

NCAA

Akron

#14

42-30

+12

A15/03

NCAA

Logrono

#24

30-40

-10

A15/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

40-36

H22/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

39-40

-1

A28/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

41-36

H05/04

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

33-25

A12/04

Segunda FEB

73.3Avg total

38.5Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.3	73.8	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	33.7	73.6	+6.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	36.9	74.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	34.8	73.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	35.4	72.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.5	37.3	76.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.5	34.5	71.0	+1.9	69%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.5	35.1	75.5	+5.4	64%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ponferrada

#14

45-19

+26

H31/01

Segunda FEB

Caja 87

53-45

A08/02

Segunda FEB

Jaen

#23

42-33

H14/02

Segunda FEB

Iraurgi SB

40-44

-4

A22/02

Segunda FEB

Logrono

#24

47-38

H07/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

40-48

-8

A14/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

42-35

H21/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

28-32

-4

A29/03

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

28-31

-3

H04/04

Segunda FEB

CBC Valladolid

53-50

H11/04

Segunda FEB

79.3Avg total

41.8Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.6	76.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	36.1	73.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	39.2	80.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	37.5	79.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.2	77.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	38.5	74.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.4	38.9	76.3	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.5	35.0	78.5	+8.5	90%	-

This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	7.8	7.0	14.8	+0.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	8.3	7.3	15.7	+1.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	7.3	6.7	13.9	+0.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	11.1	10.6	21.7	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	11.2	9.8	21.0	+1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	8.0	7.5	15.5	+0.5	18%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.8	41.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.2	31.7	63.0	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.3	29.7	61.9	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.2	33.8	64.0	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.3	26.6	53.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.3	41.3	76.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	29.5	30.5	59.9	-1.0	23%	-
vs Weaker (11)	31.1	28.0	59.1	+3.1	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	16.8	32.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	20.1	39.1	-1.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	38.7	77.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	37.0	77.6	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	40.5	77.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	35.0	69.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.3	41.3	76.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.7	40.2	80.9	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.1	35.5	74.6	+3.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.1	79.3	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	39.2	81.4	+2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.6	81.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	35.2	68.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.8	39.4	84.2	+5.4	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Toledo wins

Caceres wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/26	Caceres v Toledo	95-96 OT

Toledolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/26	A	Cordoba	66-64
05/04/26	H	Clavijo	75-70
28/03/26	A	Gijon	74-78
22/03/26	H	Moron	74-75
15/03/26	A	Logrono	67-65
15/03/26	A	Akron	76-79
13/03/26	H	UMass	77-67
12/03/26	H	Bowling Green	77-76
08/03/26	H	Iraurgi SB	85-68
07/03/26	H	Buffalo	98-78

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/26	H	CBC Valladolid	98-85
04/04/26	H	Cordoba	58-70
29/03/26	A	Clavijo	68-79
21/03/26	H	Gijon	89-75
14/03/26	A	Moron	87-86
07/03/26	H	Logrono	82-75
22/02/26	A	Iraurgi SB	82-86
14/02/26	H	Jaen	89-77
08/02/26	A	Caja 87	92-88
31/01/26	H	Ponferrada	86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo

Segunda FEB 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	56%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	LLWLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	56%	83%	31%
Points / game	79.2	83.5	75.2
Allowed / game	75.4	71.9	78.5
Point differential	+3.8	+11.6	-3.3
Avg total	154.6	155.4	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	50%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (14)	60% (5)	33% (9)
Overtime %	12%	8%	15%

Caceres

Segunda FEB 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	56%
Home	WWWLW	46%
Away	WWLWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	56%	46%	67%
Points / game	82.3	78.3	86.7
Allowed / game	77.5	76.3	78.8
Point differential	+4.8	+2.0	+7.9
Avg total	159.8	154.6	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	38%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Castello	25	20	5	80%	85.0	74.8	+10.1
2	Sant Antoni	25	19	6	76%	83.2	73.4	+9.8
3	Caja 87	25	17	8	68%	80.5	72.8	+7.6
4	CBC Valladolid	25	17	8	68%	85.5	78.8	+6.7
5	Spanish Basketball Academy	25	17	8	68%	81.0	75.4	+5.6
6	Albacete	25	17	8	68%	81.6	78.2	+3.4
7	Cordoba	25	17	8	68%	74.9	71.5	+3.4
8	Gandia	25	16	9	64%	83.6	77.4	+6.2
9	Iraurgi SB	25	16	9	64%	80.0	75.4	+4.6
10	Moron	25	16	9	64%	79.6	76.5	+3.0
11	Caceres	25	14	11	56%	82.3	77.5	+4.8
12	Toledo	25	14	11	56%	79.2	75.4	+3.8
13	Clavijo	25	14	11	56%	76.7	73.2	+3.5
14	Lliria	25	14	11	56%	78.1	76.4	+1.7
15	Ponferrada	25	14	11	56%	77.9	78.3	-0.4
16	Huesca	25	13	12	52%	82.7	82.6	+0.2
17	CB Zaragoza	25	12	13	48%	83.2	81.2	+1.9
18	CB Getafe	25	11	14	44%	81.2	81.5	-0.3
19	Leonesa	25	11	14	44%	82.2	84.7	-2.5
20	Sol Girones Bisbal	25	10	15	40%	73.1	77.7	-4.6
21	Logrono	25	8	17	32%	73.1	77.0	-3.8
22	Benicarlo	25	8	17	32%	74.4	80.8	-6.4
23	Molina Basket	25	7	18	28%	73.7	83.2	-9.6
24	Jaen	25	7	18	28%	74.2	83.8	-9.6
25	Mataro	25	6	19	24%	74.0	82.8	-8.8
26	Gijon	25	5	20	20%	77.2	85.9	-8.7
27	Salou	25	5	20	20%	74.3	83.5	-9.2
28	Valle de Egues	25	5	20	20%	74.8	87.2	-12.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Toledo	21	22	18	14	75
Caceres	24	18	14	21	77

← all games of the day

Toledo vs Caceres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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