Toledo vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 66-82

17-20 17-14 18-29 14-19

Position#15

Record-

FormLLWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Toledo

Caceres 🏆

Position#3

Record-

FormLWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Segunda FEBRound 1

Other2026-27

Meetings · Toledo v Caceres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caceres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toledo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

85-68

+17

H08/03

Segunda FEB

Bowling Green

#143

77-76

H12/03

NCAA

UMass

#189

77-67

+10

H13/03

NCAA

Akron

#14

76-79

-3

A15/03

NCAA

Logrono

#24

67-65

A15/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

74-75

-1

H22/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

74-78

-4

A28/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

75-70

H05/04

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

66-64

A12/04

Segunda FEB

Caceres

#13

75-77

-2

H18/04

Segunda FEB

24-21

19-15

26-15

16-17

0-0

37-38

0-0

40-38

0-0

43-34

0-0

34-33

0-0

42-30

0-0

34-49

17-25

13-15

22-11

15-14

24-19

16-17

10-23

24-16

16-16

23-24

14-20

21-18

17-17

24-19

19-14

15-20

18-19

15-6

20-23

13-16

21-24

22-18

18-14

14-21

146.5Avg total

74.6Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	74.6	71.9	146.5	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	72.8	145.6	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.8	78.7	153.5	-3.8	33%
vs Similar (13)	77.1	75.8	152.9	+1.2	46%
vs Weaker (11)	79.5	70.6	150.2	+8.9	73%

This opponent (Caceres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

82-86

-4

A22/02

Segunda FEB

Logrono

#24

82-75

H07/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

87-86

A14/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

89-75

+14

H21/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

68-79

-11

A29/03

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

58-70

-12

H04/04

Segunda FEB

CBC Valladolid

98-85

+13

H11/04

Segunda FEB

Toledo

#12

77-75

A18/04

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

72-84

-12

H25/04

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

61-93

-32

A02/05

Segunda FEB

23-22

17-22

26-26

16-16

23-23

24-15

6-15

29-22

21-27

19-21

23-18

24-20

23-21

19-14

24-16

23-24

12-18

16-14

25-24

15-23

11-23

17-8

17-23

13-16

27-29

26-21

17-15

28-20

24-21

18-22

14-18

21-14

13-24

24-24

23-19

12-17

13-22

23-29

12-21

13-21

158.2Avg total

77.4Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	77.4	80.8	158.2	-3.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	81.4	154.6	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.2	83.2	152.5	-14.0	25%
vs Similar (16)	78.8	79.6	158.4	-0.8	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	88.3	74.4	162.7	+13.9	90%

This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ToledoCaceres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	7.4	8.0	15.4	-0.6	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	8.3	7.1	15.4	+1.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	6.5	8.9	15.3	-2.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.7	14.1	27.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	10.2	10.9	21.2	-0.7	15%	-
vs Weaker (11)	8.0	8.9	16.9	-0.9	9%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.8	41.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	22.2	37.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	21.6	40.8	-2.5	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.1	27.5	58.6	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.4	27.1	58.5	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.7	28.0	58.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	21.6	47.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.5	37.3	76.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	26.0	24.2	50.2	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	32.5	26.2	58.6	+6.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	24.2	45.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.4	16.5	37.9	+4.9	70%	-

ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

43-36

H08/03

Segunda FEB

Bowling Green

#143

37-38

-1

H12/03

NCAA

UMass

#189

43-34

H13/03

NCAA

Akron

#14

42-30

+12

A15/03

NCAA

Logrono

#24

30-40

-10

A15/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

40-36

H22/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

39-40

-1

A28/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

41-36

H05/04

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

33-25

A12/04

Segunda FEB

Caceres

#13

43-42

H18/04

Segunda FEB

74.8Avg total

39.1Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	35.5	74.0	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	34.2	73.9	+5.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	36.9	74.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	35.7	74.8	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.5	37.3	76.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.2	35.1	71.3	+1.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.5	35.1	75.5	+5.4	64%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

40-44

-4

A22/02

Segunda FEB

Logrono

#24

47-38

H07/03

Segunda FEB

Moron

#11

40-48

-8

A14/03

Segunda FEB

Gijon

#27

42-35

H21/03

Segunda FEB

Clavijo

#10

28-32

-4

A29/03

Segunda FEB

Cordoba

28-31

-3

H04/04

Segunda FEB

CBC Valladolid

53-50

H11/04

Segunda FEB

Toledo

#12

42-43

-1

A18/04

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

37-48

-11

H25/04

Segunda FEB

Sant Antoni

36-51

-15

A02/05

Segunda FEB

81.3Avg total

39.3Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	42.0	81.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	44.6	83.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	46.5	83.2	-9.8	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.3	39.6	77.9	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.5	35.0	78.5	+8.5	90%	-

This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	7.6	6.7	14.3	+0.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	7.9	6.8	14.7	+1.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	7.3	6.7	13.9	+0.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.9	12.0	24.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	0.0	0.0	0.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	10.7	9.2	19.8	+1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	8.0	7.5	15.5	+0.5	18%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.7	37.9	+0.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.2	31.9	63.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.1	30.0	62.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.2	33.8	64.0	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	24.2	46.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.3	41.3	76.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	29.3	30.8	60.2	-1.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (11)	31.1	28.0	59.1	+3.1	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.3	39.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	17.8	33.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.6	77.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	40.5	77.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	36.2	71.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	37.0	70.6	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.3	41.3	76.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.1	35.5	74.6	+3.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.0	79.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	39.1	79.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	39.0	80.1	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	38.8	76.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	36.8	70.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.5	36.8	69.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.9	39.4	79.3	+0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.8	39.4	84.2	+5.4	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Toledo wins

Caceres wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/26	Toledo v Caceres	75-77
03/01/26	Caceres v Toledo	95-96 OT

Toledolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/26	H	Caceres	75-77
12/04/26	A	Cordoba	66-64
05/04/26	H	Clavijo	75-70
28/03/26	A	Gijon	74-78
22/03/26	H	Moron	74-75
15/03/26	A	Logrono	67-65
15/03/26	A	Akron	76-79
13/03/26	H	UMass	77-67
12/03/26	H	Bowling Green	77-76
08/03/26	H	Iraurgi SB	85-68

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/26	A	Sant Antoni	61-93
25/04/26	H	Sant Antoni	72-84
18/04/26	A	Toledo	77-75
11/04/26	H	CBC Valladolid	98-85
04/04/26	H	Cordoba	58-70
29/03/26	A	Clavijo	68-79
21/03/26	H	Gijon	89-75
14/03/26	A	Moron	87-86
07/03/26	H	Logrono	82-75
22/02/26	A	Iraurgi SB	82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo

Segunda FEB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Caceres

Segunda FEB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Algeciras	1	1	0	100%	87.0	69.0	+18.0
2	Logrono	1	1	0	100%	81.0	67.0	+14.0
3	Melilla	1	1	0	100%	70.0	59.0	+11.0
4	Ponferrada	1	1	0	100%	94.0	86.0	+8.0
5	Cartagena	1	1	0	100%	93.0	86.0	+7.0
6	Gandia	1	1	0	100%	94.0	88.0	+6.0
7	Tres Cantos	1	1	0	100%	77.0	71.0	+6.0
8	Lliria	1	1	0	100%	84.0	82.0	+2.0
9	Huesca	1	0	1	0%	82.0	84.0	-2.0
10	Castello	1	0	1	0%	88.0	94.0	-6.0
11	Estudiantes B	1	0	1	0%	71.0	77.0	-6.0
12	Iraurgi SB	1	0	1	0%	86.0	93.0	-7.0
13	Spanish Basketball Academy	1	0	1	0%	86.0	94.0	-8.0
14	CBC Valladolid	1	0	1	0%	59.0	70.0	-11.0
15	Molina Basket	1	0	1	0%	67.0	81.0	-14.0
16	Badajoz	1	0	1	0%	69.0	87.0	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Toledo	17	17	18	14	66
Caceres	20	14	29	19	82

← all games of the day

Toledo vs Caceres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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