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Toledo vs Detroit Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-83
41-37 49-46
Position#156
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.3
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#184
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Detroit
15 Nov 2025
TOLE90
DETR83
06 Nov 2023
TOLE94
DETR60
13 Nov 2021
TOLE81
DETR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#21
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-52
0-0
49-48
20-20
12-22
22-14
17-27
32-17
18-18
23-14
25-18
26-19
16-14
27-18
21-22
20-18
20-22
19-22
23-23
12-26
16-16
17-11
17-17
0-0
26-39
0-0
48-37
0-0
40-30
0-0
33-55
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
0-0
34-39
0-0
47-32
159.6Avg total
81.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.077.3153.3-1.333%
Season at home (2)73.580.5154.0-7.00%
Season away (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.877.8159.6+4.040%
Last 5 (5)77.474.0151.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.786.1165.8-6.445%
vs Similar (13)76.576.0152.5+0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.275.7164.8+13.583%
This opponent (Detroit) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DetroitUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#117
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H08/02
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
A16/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H20/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A01/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
75-99
75
99
-24
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A08/11
NCAA
Cleary University
#563
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-43
46-44
42-40
35-37
31-34
40-46
25-33
40-40
33-30
38-46
31-43
36-46
37-49
38-50
31-38
40-53
31-44
39-58
40-22
52-32
158.1Avg total
73.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.782.3160.0-4.733%
Season at home (1)92.054.0146.0+38.0100%
Season away (2)70.596.5167.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)73.784.4158.1-10.710%
Last 5 (5)75.087.0162.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)65.578.0143.5-12.515%
vs Similar (3)69.378.3147.7-9.033%
vs Weaker (1)92.054.0146.0+38.0100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: -4.8-4.8
ToledoDetroit
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#21
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/11
NCAA
76.3Avg total
38.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.176.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.936.475.3+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.640.176.8-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.876.3+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.271.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.541.578.0-4.945%-
vs Similar (13)35.838.173.9-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.732.276.8+12.583%-
This opponent (Detroit) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DetroitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#117
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H08/02
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A16/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Cleary University
#563
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H12/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
32.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.435.765.1-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.132.261.2-3.125%-
Last 30 away (18)29.638.167.7-8.522%-
Last 10 (10)32.737.670.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.273.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)28.736.565.1-7.815%-
vs Similar (3)32.334.066.3-1.767%-
vs Weaker (1)40.022.062.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toledo wins
0
Detroit wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Detroit v Toledo67-82
07/11/23Toledo v Detroit94-60
14/11/21Toledo v Detroit81-73
14/12/19Detroit v Toledo72-80
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AWright State81-71
09/11/25HJaen97-68
08/11/25HMarshall73-85
04/11/25HSouth Alabama74-76
02/11/25ACaja 8762-70
26/10/25HPonferrada82-85
19/10/25ALeonesa90-73
11/10/25HValle de Egues98-67
04/10/25ACBC Valladolid71-83
14/03/25AAkron90-100
Detroitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HCleary University92-54
08/11/25ANotre Dame70-102
04/11/25AIllinois (Chi.)71-91
05/03/25ANorthern Kentucky75-99
01/03/25AWisc. Milwaukee67-89
28/02/25AWisc. Green Bay71-76
22/02/25HCleveland State65-73
20/02/25HIU Indy71-80
16/02/25AOakland83-93 OT
08/02/25HYoungstown State72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game76.073.581.0
Allowed / game77.380.571.0
Point differential-1.3-7.0+10.0
Avg total153.3154.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Detroit
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.792.070.5
Allowed / game82.354.096.5
Point differential-4.7+38.0-26.0
Avg total160.0146.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)220100%108.060.5+47.5
2 Bowling Green330100%95.357.7+37.7
3 Akron330100%99.363.7+35.7
4 Buffalo440100%78.568.0+10.5
5 UMass32167%83.073.3+9.7
6 Kent State32167%97.794.0+3.7
7 Ball State32167%71.368.0+3.3
8 Northern Illinois42250%87.582.2+5.2
9 Central Michigan42250%70.569.0+1.5
10 Western Michigan42250%80.579.5+1.0
11 Eastern Michigan31233%73.372.3+1.0
12 Toledo31233%76.077.3-1.3
13 Ohio41325%74.588.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Robert Morris43175%81.071.0+10.0
2 Youngstown State32167%88.069.3+18.7
3 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%78.285.0-6.8
4 Wright State31233%74.765.0+9.7
5 Northern Kentucky31233%81.779.7+2.0
6 Detroit31233%77.782.3-4.7
7 Cleveland State31233%74.090.3-16.3
8 IPFW41325%86.880.8+6.0
9 Wisc. Green Bay41325%67.880.0-12.2
10 Oakland3030%66.795.3-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo414990
Detroit374683
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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