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Toledo vs Ponferrada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-85
20-18 20-22 19-22 23-23
Position#12
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#14
Record2-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.0
SpainSegunda FEBRound 4
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ponferrada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
65-105
65
105
-40
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-41
0-0
31-28
0-0
30-54
0-0
35-51
0-0
32-32
0-0
42-55
0-0
24-45
0-0
63-51
0-0
47-41
0-0
49-41
0-0
39-35
0-0
37-41
0-0
41-52
0-0
49-48
20-20
12-22
22-14
17-27
32-17
18-18
23-14
25-18
26-19
16-14
27-18
21-22
167.6Avg total
82.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.374.3160.7+12.067%
Season at home (1)98.067.0165.0+31.0100%
Season away (2)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)82.984.7167.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)87.881.6169.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.885.4160.2-10.633%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.976.2151.1-1.356%
vs Weaker (6)91.572.5164.0+19.083%
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PonferradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#26
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A22/03
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H29/03
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A05/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#12
L
79-86 OT
79
86
-7
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#9
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A19/04
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#11
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A26/04
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#11
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H03/05
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A12/10
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
18-12
20-16
14-17
25-18
18-30
19-20
17-6
19-18
25-23
18-26
19-20
14-15
20-20
22-13
16-24
19-18
18-18
22-19
21-18
18-21
22-19
18-25
15-29
20-14
13-19
26-13
21-17
21-14
19-12
20-24
24-26
18-20
18-26
12-17
15-12
18-23
21-20
19-23
31-11
153.5Avg total
77.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.776.0154.7+2.767%
Season at home (2)86.576.5163.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)63.075.0138.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)77.376.2153.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)77.877.0154.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.376.4152.7-0.150%
vs Weaker (12)78.370.8149.1+7.675%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
ToledoPonferrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A26/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H05/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Segunda FEB
78.4Avg total
37.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.075.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.935.973.7+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)36.040.276.2-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.078.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.440.875.2-6.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.737.773.3-2.044%-
vs Weaker (6)45.231.776.8+13.583%-
This opponent (Ponferrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PonferradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algeciras
#26
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A22/03
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H29/03
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A05/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/04
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A26/04
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H03/05
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/10
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/10
Segunda FEB
74.9Avg total
37.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.175.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.935.272.1+1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.279.1+0.664%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.274.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.038.175.1-1.144%-
vs Weaker (12)40.235.575.7+4.767%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Ponferrada wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25ALeonesa90-73
11/10/25HValle de Egues98-67
04/10/25ACBC Valladolid71-83
14/03/25AAkron90-100
13/03/25HOhio90-85 OT
08/03/25HOhio96-82
05/03/25HAkron87-96
01/03/25ABuffalo74-87
26/02/25AKent State65-105
21/02/25HBowling Green68-69
Ponferradalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HCaceres89-77
12/10/25ACordoba63-75
04/10/25HClavijo84-76
03/05/25HPrat Joventut80-63
26/04/25APrat Joventut73-94
19/04/25ALeonesa80-73
12/04/25HCaja 8779-86 OT
05/04/25ACaceres81-87
29/03/25HHuesca79-74
22/03/25AAlgeciras65-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.398.080.5
Allowed / game74.367.078.0
Point differential+12.0+31.0+2.5
Avg total160.7165.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ponferrada
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game78.786.563.0
Allowed / game76.076.575.0
Point differential+2.7+10.0-12.0
Avg total154.7163.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cordoba440100%81.067.0+14.0
2 Lliria440100%83.269.5+13.8
3 CBC Valladolid440100%86.573.5+13.0
4 Gandia440100%88.276.5+11.8
5 Iraurgi SB440100%80.070.8+9.2
6 Huesca43175%87.281.8+5.5
7 Sant Antoni43175%85.281.5+3.8
8 Benicarlo43175%83.580.8+2.8
9 Toledo32167%86.374.3+12.0
10 Caja 8732167%72.366.7+5.7
11 Ponferrada32167%78.776.0+2.7
12 CB Getafe42250%82.077.8+4.2
13 Albacete42250%86.884.0+2.8
14 Moron42250%81.579.2+2.2
15 Spanish Basketball Academy42250%76.275.5+0.8
16 Castello42250%80.582.2-1.8
17 Caceres31233%75.077.0-2.0
18 Leonesa41325%81.082.8-1.8
19 Gijon41325%77.882.2-4.5
20 Salou41325%72.077.5-5.5
21 Logrono41325%76.082.5-6.5
22 CB Zaragoza41325%80.086.8-6.8
23 Sol Girones Bisbal41325%67.875.8-8.0
24 Jaen41325%72.884.0-11.2
25 Valle de Egues41325%73.093.5-20.5
26 Clavijo4040%73.080.8-7.8
27 Mataro4040%73.083.2-10.2
28 Molina Basket4040%73.586.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toledo2020192382
Ponferrada1822222385
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