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Toledo vs Miami (Ohio) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-75
46-37 41-38
Position#40
Record16-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game72.1
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#168
Record8-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Toledo v Miami (Ohio)
05 Jan 2027
TOLE v MIAM
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
TOLE73
MIAM87
05 Jan 2024
TOLE68
MIAM64
26 Feb 2022
TOLE88
MIAM73
16 Feb 2021
TOLE87
MIAM75
11 Feb 2020
TOLE65
MIAM57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#67
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H08/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
96-63
96
63
+33
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A16/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A30/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-32
47-46
45-34
51-29
44-42
39-41
42-33
47-39
41-33
35-41
45-33
45-48
40-28
44-38
49-35
42-41
36-34
31-47
37-41
44-47
163.7Avg total
86.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.572.1152.6+8.373%
Season at home (10)81.168.1149.2+13.090%
Season away (12)79.975.5155.4+4.458%
Last 10 (10)86.377.4163.7+8.970%
Last 5 (5)82.678.4161.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.977.9155.8+0.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.967.1144.9+10.879%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#346
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A23/01
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-24
30-34
29-38
32-40
35-36
46-35
41-32
55-45
42-23
43-40
33-45
48-45
25-21
40-35
37-30
31-47
30-47
34-41
40-37
36-46
148.8Avg total
74.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.972.4144.4-0.550%
Season at home (10)75.871.3147.1+4.570%
Season away (6)65.574.3139.8-8.817%
Last 10 (10)74.774.1148.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)70.878.8149.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.578.2140.7-15.60%
vs Similar (11)72.867.7140.5+5.164%
vs Weaker (6)74.560.8135.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.3-1.3
ToledoMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#67
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A30/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/02
NCAA
77.2Avg total
42.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.270.0+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.433.369.7+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)37.133.170.3+4.073%-
Last 10 (10)42.734.577.2+8.290%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.275.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.337.774.0-1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.130.667.6+6.579%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#346
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H09/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A23/01
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A06/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.065.1-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.932.064.9+0.965%-
Last 30 away (13)31.134.265.3-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.368.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.069.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.237.265.5-9.023%-
vs Similar (11)35.332.768.0+2.564%-
vs Weaker (6)34.824.259.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toledo wins
0
Miami (Ohio) wins
DateGameScore
27/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Toledo81-90
12/02/20Toledo v Miami (Ohio)65-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HBowling Green81-88
06/02/21ABall State67-81
03/02/21HAkron91-76
30/01/21ABowling Green84-66
27/01/21AMiami (Ohio)90-81
23/01/21HKent State76-74
20/01/21HCentral Michigan89-72
16/01/21AAkron94-95 OT
13/01/21HEastern Michigan96-63
08/01/21HOhio95-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HAkron76-83
06/02/21ABuffalo64-88
02/02/21AKent State68-77
30/01/21HWestern Michigan65-56
27/01/21HToledo81-90
23/01/21AEastern Michigan85-63
21/01/21HBowling Green96-77
20/01/21HBall State81-71
13/01/21AOhio61-78
09/01/21HNorthern Illinois70-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%90%58%
Points / game80.581.179.9
Allowed / game72.168.175.5
Point differential+8.3+13.0+4.4
Avg total152.6149.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLWL70%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %50%70%17%
Points / game71.975.865.5
Allowed / game72.471.374.3
Point differential-0.5+4.5-8.8
Avg total144.4147.1139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1713476%78.869.4+9.4
2 Toledo2216673%80.572.1+8.3
3 Kent State1712571%79.871.1+8.8
4 Ohio1711665%80.173.4+6.8
5 UMass117464%77.971.5+6.5
6 Buffalo159660%82.272.6+9.6
7 Bowling Green2011955%78.876.3+2.5
8 Miami (Ohio)168850%71.972.4-0.5
9 Ball State167944%70.872.9-2.1
10 Central Michigan1761135%77.676.8+0.9
11 Eastern Michigan124833%71.775.8-4.2
12 Western Michigan1641225%63.171.4-8.3
13 Northern Illinois1421214%60.575.9-15.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo464187
Miami (Ohio)373875
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