PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toledo vs Miami (Ohio) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-87
36-56 37-31
Position#156
Record9-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#5
Record16-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toledo v Miami (Ohio)
05 Jan 2027
TOLE v MIAM
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
TOLE73
MIAM87
05 Jan 2024
TOLE68
MIAM64
26 Feb 2022
TOLE88
MIAM73
16 Feb 2021
TOLE87
MIAM75
11 Feb 2020
TOLE65
MIAM57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gijon
#27
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
27-16
16-16
27-21
0-0
42-24
0-0
28-51
20-24
21-16
14-21
20-17
0-0
28-58
0-0
41-34
0-0
49-28
0-0
51-39
18-22
17-16
14-19
27-17
0-0
32-41
0-0
52-38
24-22
15-18
21-25
26-21
0-0
31-41
0-0
47-34
0-0
37-25
0-0
38-36
159.0Avg total
81.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.176.7158.8+5.560%
Season at home (7)87.974.7162.6+13.171%
Season away (8)77.178.4155.5-1.250%
Last 10 (10)81.777.3159.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)81.876.8158.6+5.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.291.0171.2-10.825%
vs Similar (15)79.580.6160.1-1.133%
vs Weaker (10)88.971.4160.3+17.5100%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana East
#618
W
109-65
109
65
+44
H03/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H06/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A13/12
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A20/12
NCAA
Milligan
#639
W
135-81
135
81
+54
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-24
56-41
48-30
45-31
41-35
43-49
35-25
44-44
46-34
37-42
40-36
46-41
68-35
67-46
54-28
39-55
33-36
43-37
39-35
48-41
167.9Avg total
93.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.272.2165.5+21.0100%
Season at home (10)98.570.3168.8+28.2100%
Season away (6)84.575.5160.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.174.8167.9+18.3100%
Last 5 (5)95.478.0173.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)77.473.4150.8+4.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.672.0159.6+15.688%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +13.9+13.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +13.9+13.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
ToledoMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gijon
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/12
Segunda FEB
Robert Morris
#74
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A13/12
NCAA
Clavijo
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/12
Segunda FEB
Michigan State
#29
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A16/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#488
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Cordoba
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Segunda FEB
Western Michigan
#325
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
NCAA
Caceres
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Segunda FEB
Central Michigan
#323
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A07/01
NCAA
76.0Avg total
38.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.376.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.634.175.7+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)36.840.176.8-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.576.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.071.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.245.280.5-10.025%-
vs Similar (15)37.238.575.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker (10)42.233.275.4+9.080%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana East
#618
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H03/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A13/12
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/12
NCAA
Milligan
#639
W
68-35
68
35
+33
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/01
NCAA
77.5Avg total
45.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.432.273.6+9.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.731.874.5+10.872%-
Last 30 away (12)39.532.772.2+6.883%-
Last 10 (10)45.731.877.5+13.990%-
Last 5 (5)46.834.080.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.231.773.9+10.580%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toledo wins
1
Miami (Ohio) wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Miami (Ohio) v Toledo92-80
06/03/24Miami (Ohio) v Toledo63-97
06/01/24Toledo v Miami (Ohio)68-64
26/02/22Toledo v Miami (Ohio)88-73
12/01/22Miami (Ohio) v Toledo72-75
17/02/21Toledo v Miami (Ohio)87-75
27/01/21Miami (Ohio) v Toledo81-90
12/02/20Toledo v Miami (Ohio)65-57
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26ANorthern Illinois75-61
03/01/26ACentral Michigan78-75
03/01/26ACaceres96-95 OT
30/12/25HWestern Michigan84-79
21/12/25HCordoba76-74
20/12/25HLourdes100-67
16/12/25AMichigan State69-92
14/12/25AClavijo75-78
13/12/25ARobert Morris70-75
10/12/25HGijon94-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HWestern Michigan87-76
03/01/26HAkron76-73
31/12/25ABowling Green93-83
22/12/25HMilligan135-81
20/12/25ABall State86-77
17/12/25AWright State83-76
13/12/25AEastern Kentucky79-69
10/12/25AUNC Asheville90-87 OT
06/12/25HMaine Black Bears93-61
03/12/25HIndiana East109-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game82.187.977.1
Allowed / game76.774.778.4
Point differential+5.5+13.1-1.2
Avg total158.8162.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.298.584.5
Allowed / game72.270.375.5
Point differential+21.0+28.2+9.0
Avg total165.5168.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)16160100%93.272.2+21.0
2 Buffalo1513287%79.970.5+9.3
3 Akron1511473%94.576.3+18.2
4 Kent State1511473%90.582.0+8.5
5 Bowling Green1611569%89.370.4+18.9
6 Toledo159660%82.176.7+5.5
7 UMass169756%80.674.1+6.5
8 Ohio169756%77.275.6+1.7
9 Eastern Michigan168850%71.871.1+0.7
10 Western Michigan156940%75.979.3-3.5
11 Northern Illinois1551033%75.178.2-3.1
12 Ball State1541127%67.269.2-2.0
13 Central Michigan1641225%71.978.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo363773
Miami (Ohio)563187
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.