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Youngstown State vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-87
44-39 49-48
Position#117
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#167
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Youngstown State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Youngstown StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#368
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A10/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
47-81
47
81
-34
A11/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H21/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
42-67
42
67
-25
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H27/11
NCAA
Bethany
#643
W
128-60
128
60
+68
H30/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
48-31
22-37
25-44
38-31
35-42
29-38
43-24
16-28
26-39
24-30
33-34
30-36
32-37
65-30
63-30
35-21
37-37
32-23
34-27
140.0Avg total
72.1Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.167.9140.0+4.250%
Season at home (5)74.062.4136.4+11.660%
Season away (5)70.273.4143.6-3.240%
Last 10 (10)72.167.9140.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)77.061.0138.0+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)66.474.6141.0-8.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.170.3150.4+9.864%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#199
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
45-80
45
80
-35
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-28
35-39
29-43
45-41
47-41
43-39
41-33
45-44
36-35
46-32
51-35
52-43
34-41
48-39
25-34
20-46
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
153.1Avg total
78.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.675.6156.1+5.067%
Season at home (6)79.874.8154.7+5.067%
Season away (3)82.077.0159.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)78.474.7153.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)78.674.4153.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.086.6165.6-7.640%
vs Similar (14)77.473.1150.4+4.371%
vs Weaker (11)85.572.1157.6+13.573%
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.9+1.9
Youngstown StateToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Youngstown StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#368
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H21/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
16-28
16
28
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Bethany
#643
W
65-30
65
30
+35
H30/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H07/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.268.7+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.969.2+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)36.631.468.0+5.379%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.362.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.228.065.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.030.061.0+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.632.670.2+5.068%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#199
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.471.7+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.068.1+4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.637.175.7+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.771.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.471.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (14)36.033.069.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (11)39.433.172.5+6.364%-
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Youngstown State wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HOakland66-50
05/12/24ARobert Morris72-58
30/11/24HBethany128-60
27/11/24HWestern Michigan62-73
24/11/24AStephen F. Austin57-64
22/11/24HPresbyterian42-67
21/11/24HMonmouth72-62
16/11/24ASyracuse95-104 OT
11/11/24AOhio State47-81
10/11/24AChicago State80-60
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
23/11/24HUC San Diego45-80
22/11/24HJacksonville State82-80
21/11/24HStetson103-78
16/11/24ADetroit82-67
14/11/24HWright State86-77
09/11/24AMarshall90-80
05/11/24ATroy74-84
14/03/24HKent State59-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Youngstown State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game72.174.070.2
Allowed / game67.962.473.4
Point differential+4.2+11.6-3.2
Avg total140.0136.4143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%20%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.679.882.0
Allowed / game75.674.877.0
Point differential+5.0+5.0+5.0
Avg total156.1154.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 IUPUI110100%100.044.0+56.0
2 IPFW117464%81.673.3+8.4
3 Wisc. Milwaukee117464%79.372.4+6.9
4 Wright State127558%77.471.6+5.8
5 Robert Morris116555%70.869.4+1.5
6 Youngstown State105550%72.167.9+4.2
7 Detroit115645%72.974.2-1.3
8 Cleveland State115645%66.268.3-2.1
9 Northern Kentucky104640%70.372.0-1.7
10 Oakland83538%61.866.6-4.9
11 Wisc. Green Bay112918%73.283.2-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State97278%68.360.6+7.8
2 Akron86275%85.872.4+13.4
3 Toledo96367%80.675.6+5.0
4 Central Michigan85362%79.667.5+12.1
5 Miami (Ohio)85362%71.971.8+0.1
6 Eastern Michigan95456%69.071.4-2.4
7 Buffalo105550%76.178.2-2.1
8 Bowling Green94544%78.873.2+5.6
9 Ohio94544%78.779.7-1.0
10 UMass114736%75.374.7+0.5
11 Western Michigan93633%72.070.6+1.4
12 Ball State93633%72.371.7+0.7
13 Northern Illinois103730%69.676.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Youngstown State444993
Toledo394887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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