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Guelph vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-89
18-20 19-16 16-29 23-24
Position#29
Record9-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#7
Record13-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game72.3
CanadaU Sports
Other2015-16
Meetings · Guelph v McMaster
30 Nov 2022
GUEL80
MCMA85
10 Nov 2021
GUEL121
MCMA123
11 Jan 2019
GUEL80
MCMA97
27 Jan 2018
GUEL83
MCMA80
14 Jan 2017
GUEL72
MCMA73
26 Feb 2016
GUEL76
MCMA89
28 Jan 2015
GUEL74
MCMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McMaster winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western
#21
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H10/01
U Sports
Windsor
#9
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H16/01
U Sports
Brock
#10
L
49-83
49
83
-34
A28/01
U Sports
Algoma
#40
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A31/01
U Sports
Queens
#18
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A06/02
U Sports
York
#38
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A07/02
U Sports
Laurier
#35
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A13/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#46
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A14/02
U Sports
TMU
#2
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H18/02
U Sports
Toronto
#37
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H20/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
22-12
28-20
20-18
20-26
17-19
27-17
17-18
14-20
10-23
14-24
11-16
16-10
17-21
26-10
21-19
17-36
16-18
27-15
21-24
26-11
17-28
29-22
22-26
26-23
18-26
26-35
21-18
19-23
20-18
24-17
27-17
21-19
30-17
11-22
34-34
23-22
15-23
23-18
23-16
164.6Avg total
82.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.378.6155.9-1.453%
Season at home (8)78.477.9156.2+0.562%
Season away (9)76.379.3155.7-3.044%
Last 10 (10)82.781.9164.6+0.870%
Last 5 (5)91.087.0178.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.488.9157.3-20.510%
vs Similar (10)76.074.8150.8+1.260%
vs Weaker (10)78.767.1145.8+11.670%
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laurier
#35
W
105-81
105
81
+24
A16/01
U Sports
Windsor
#9
W
106-74
106
74
+32
H21/01
U Sports
Western
#21
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H23/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A30/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A31/01
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H13/02
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H14/02
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H20/02
U Sports
Laurentian
#39
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H21/02
U Sports
Brock
#10
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A25/02
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
28-14
26-31
25-17
30-15
25-17
30-25
21-17
20-12
19-11
15-17
23-21
17-15
25-16
16-17
9-25
25-17
12-14
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-20
27-35
30-12
17-17
13-20
13-17
22-20
15-12
19-14
31-14
16-25
23-16
20-11
25-22
17-17
17-20
20-14
21-20
22-15
156.1Avg total
83.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.372.3156.6+11.972%
Season at home (10)84.273.8158.0+10.470%
Season away (8)84.470.5154.9+13.975%
Last 10 (10)83.472.7156.1+10.770%
Last 5 (5)81.472.8154.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.787.3167.0-7.733%
vs Similar (2)76.578.0154.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)85.268.2153.4+17.088%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
GuelphMcMaster
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western
#21
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/01
U Sports
Windsor
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H16/01
U Sports
Brock
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A28/01
U Sports
Algoma
#40
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/01
U Sports
Queens
#18
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/02
U Sports
York
#38
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A07/02
U Sports
Laurier
#35
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A13/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#46
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/02
U Sports
TMU
#2
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/02
U Sports
Toronto
#37
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H20/02
U Sports
78.8Avg total
37.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.137.372.5-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.035.272.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)33.539.272.7-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.378.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.642.374.9-9.720%-
vs Similar (10)35.139.474.5-4.330%-
vs Weaker (10)37.730.368.0+7.470%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laurier
#35
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A16/01
U Sports
Windsor
#9
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H21/01
U Sports
Western
#21
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H23/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#22
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A31/01
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H13/02
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/02
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H20/02
U Sports
Laurentian
#39
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H21/02
U Sports
Brock
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A25/02
U Sports
72.7Avg total
41.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.731.973.6+9.987%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.030.671.6+10.481%-
Last 30 away (14)42.633.475.9+9.293%-
Last 10 (10)41.031.772.7+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (2)36.541.578.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.730.172.8+12.696%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guelph wins
3
McMaster wins
DateGameScore
28/11/15McMaster v Guelph99-77
14/02/15McMaster v Guelph82-69
29/01/15Guelph v McMaster74-86
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16HToronto84-79
18/02/16HTMU96-92
14/02/16AWaterloo90-75
13/02/16ALaurier91-102
07/02/16AYork94-87
06/02/16AQueens81-93
31/01/16AAlgoma80-60
28/01/16ABrock49-83
16/01/16HWindsor81-80
10/01/16HWestern81-68
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/16ABrock80-69
21/02/16HLaurentian85-66
20/02/16HNipissing81-65
14/02/16HCarleton65-74
13/02/16HUniversity of Ottawa96-90
31/01/16ALakehead72-74
30/01/16ALakehead67-73
23/01/16HWestern77-61
21/01/16HWindsor106-74
16/01/16ALaurier105-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game77.378.476.3
Allowed / game78.677.979.3
Point differential-1.4+0.5-3.0
Avg total155.9156.2155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McMaster
U Sports 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%70%75%
Points / game84.384.284.4
Allowed / game72.373.870.5
Point differential+11.9+10.4+13.9
Avg total156.6158.0154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 University of Ottawa1715288%86.766.8+19.9
2 TMU1715288%90.974.2+16.6
3 Calgary2017385%88.677.0+11.7
4 Carleton1714382%87.461.6+25.8
5 UBC2016480%83.571.0+12.6
6 Thompson Rivers2016480%80.970.7+10.2
7 Manitoba2015575%82.676.7+6.0
8 McMaster1813572%84.372.3+11.9
9 McGill1410471%72.566.9+5.6
10 Brock1812667%78.373.7+4.6
11 Windsor1812667%80.380.4-0.2
12 Dalhousie2013765%76.074.0+2.0
13 Lethbridge2012860%85.778.3+7.4
14 UPEI2012860%93.386.4+6.9
15 Concordia159660%66.164.4+1.7
16 UFV2012860%74.573.2+1.3
17 Queens1710759%77.678.5-0.8
18 Lakehead1710759%71.673.8-2.2
19 UNB1911858%91.385.6+5.7
20 Acadia1911858%85.285.8-0.6
21 Regina2011955%81.077.4+3.6
22 Guelph179853%77.378.6-1.4
23 Saint Marys1910953%84.083.4+0.6
24 Mount Royal20101050%77.777.5+0.2
25 Western189950%70.770.6+0.2
26 MacEwan20101050%72.773.3-0.7
27 Winnipeg20101050%71.974.8-2.9
28 Alberta20101050%68.371.3-3.0
29 Cape Breton1991047%82.182.7-0.6
30 UQAM136746%73.275.6-2.5
31 Victoria2091145%71.974.2-2.3
32 Laval146843%74.372.1+2.2
33 Saskatchewan2081240%78.479.6-1.2
34 UBC Okanagan2081240%67.271.0-3.9
35 Memorial1971237%83.587.3-3.8
36 Laurier1971237%78.184.4-6.3
37 Toronto1751229%73.879.3-5.5
38 Laurentian1751229%70.180.3-10.2
39 Bishop's1441029%67.674.9-7.4
40 Algoma1851328%65.874.5-8.7
41 York1741324%73.682.2-8.6
42 StFX1941521%79.790.4-10.6
43 UNBC2041620%68.575.7-7.2
44 Nipissing1731418%64.879.5-14.7
45 Waterloo191185%68.386.5-18.2
46 Brandon201195%70.783.5-12.8
47 Trinity Western201195%72.591.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph1819162376
McMaster2016292489
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